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相关论文: Bayesian Multivariate Nonlinear State Space Copula…

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We propose a score test for dependence predictability in conditional copulas that is robust to temporal instabilities. Our semiparametric procedure accommodates flexible dynamics in the marginal processes and remains agnostic about the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-03 Alexander Mayer , Tatsushi Oka , Dominik Wied

We present a novel approach for the analysis of multivariate case-control georeferenced data using Bayesian inference in the context of disease mapping, where the spatial distribution of different types of cancers is analyzed. Extending…

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian matrix-variate spatiotemporal modeling framework for jointly analyzing multiple response variables observed at spatial locations over time. The approach relaxes the standard assumption of spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Rodrigo de Souza Bulhões , Marina Silva Paez , Dani Gamerman

We present a scalable approach to performing approximate fully Bayesian inference in generic state space models. The proposed method is an alternative to particle MCMC that provides fully Bayesian inference of both the dynamic latent states…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-13 Marcel Hirt , Petros Dellaportas

State-space models effectively model multivariate time series by updating over time a representation of the system state from which predictions are made. The state representation is usually a vector without any explicit structure.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Daniele Zambon , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

We introduce a Bayesian approach for multivariate spatio-temporal prediction for high-dimensional count-valued data. Our primary interest is when there are possibly millions of data points referenced over different variables, geographic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-24 Jonathan R. Bradley , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

Factor copula models for item response data are more interpretable and fit better than (truncated) vine copula models when dependence can be explained through latent variables, but are not robust to violations of conditional independence.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-08 Sayed H. Kadhem , Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

We consider monotonic, multiple regression for a set of contiguous regions (lattice data). The regression functions permissibly vary between regions and exhibit geographical structure. We develop new Bayesian non-parametric methodology…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-16 Christian Rohrbeck , Deborah Costain , Arnoldo Frigessi

In employing spatial regression models for counts, we usually meet two issues. First, ignoring the inherent collinearity between covariates and the spatial effect would lead to causal inferences. Second, real count data usually reveal over…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-21 Mahsa Nadifar , Hossein Baghishani , Afshin Fallah

Nonlinear state-space models are powerful tools to describe dynamical structures in complex time series. In a streaming setting where data are processed one sample at a time, simultaneous inference of the state and its nonlinear dynamics…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-06 Yuan Zhao , Josue Nassar , Ian Jordan , Mónica Bugallo , Il Memming Park

In this work, we propose a non-iterative Gaussian transformation strategy based on copula function, which doesn't require some commonly seen restrictive assumptions in the previous studies such as the elliptically symmetric distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Rongxiang Rui , Maozai Tian

Copulas are mathematical objects that fully capture the dependence structure among random variables and hence, offer a great flexibility in building multivariate stochastic models. In statistics, a copula is used as a general way of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-01 Abhik Ghosh , Aritra Chakravorty

Nonlinear stochastic motion presents significant challenges for Bayesian particle tracking. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a framework to construct an invertible transformation that maps the nonlinear state-space model (SSM)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-13 Yonatan L. Ashenafi

We propose a new class of extreme-value copulas which are extreme-value limits of conditional normal models. Conditional normal models are generalizations of conditional independence models, where the dependence among observed variables is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-16 Pavel Krupskii , Marc G. Genton

Vine copulas (or pair-copula constructions) have become an important tool for high-dimensional dependence modeling. Typically, so called simplified vine copula models are estimated where bivariate conditional copulas are approximated by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-19 Christian Schellhase , Fabian Spanhel

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

The basic goal of computer engineering is the analysis of data. Such data are often large data sets distributed according to various distribution models. In this manuscript we focus on the analysis of non-Gaussian distributed data. In the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-11 Krzysztof Domino

This paper introduces a new class of observation driven dynamic models. The time evolving parameters are driven by innovations of copula form. The resulting models can be made strictly stationary and the innovation term is typically chosen…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-05 Landan Zhang , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

Vine copulas, constructed using bivariate copulas as building blocks, provide a flexible framework for modeling multi-dimensional dependencies. However, this flexibility is accompanied by rapidly increasing complexity as dimensionality…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-25 Ichiro Nishi , Yoshinori Kawasaki

In this paper we review Bernstein and grid-type copulas for arbitrary dimensions and general grid resolutions in connection with discrete random vectors possessing uniform margins. We further suggest a pragmatic way to fit the dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-30 Dietmar Pfeifer , Doreen Strassburger , Joerg Philipps