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The extensive emergence of big data techniques has led to an increasing interest in the development of change-point detection algorithms that can perform well in a multivariate, possibly high-dimensional setting. In the current paper, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-15 Andreas Anastasiou , Angelos Papanastasiou

We propose a novel framework for learning time-varying graphs from spatiotemporal measurements. Given an appropriate prior on the temporal behavior of signals, our proposed method can estimate time-varying graphs from a small number of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-10 Haruki Yokota , Koki Yamada , Yuichi Tanaka , Antonio Ortega

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

We study the problem of change point localisation and inference for sequentially collected fragmented functional data, where each curve is observed only over discrete grids randomly sampled over a short fragment. The sequence of underlying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-10 Gengyu Xue , Haotian Xu , Yi Yu

This article addresses the challenge of adapting data-based models over time. We propose a novel two-fold modelling architecture designed to correct plant-model mismatch caused by two types of uncertainty. Out-of-domain uncertainty arises…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-17 Laura Boca de Giuli , Alessio La Bella , Riccardo Scattolini

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

We use the cavity method to study parallel dynamics of disordered Ising models on a graph. In particular, we derive a set of recursive equations in single site probabilities of paths propagating along the edges of the graph. These equations…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-04-23 I. Neri , D. Bollé

Reasoning about graphs evolving over time is a challenging concept in many domains, such as bioinformatics, physics, and social networks. We consider a common case in which edges can be short term interactions (e.g., messaging) or long term…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-22 Boris Knyazev , Carolyn Augusta , Graham W. Taylor

We introduce a novel Bayesian method that can detect multiple structural breaks in the mean and variance of a length $T$ time-series. Our method quantifies uncertainty by returning $\alpha$-level credible sets around the estimated locations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-14 Davis Berlind , Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

In this paper we propose a novel machine-learning method for anomaly detection applicable to data with periodic characteristics where randomly varying period lengths are explicitly allowed. A multi-dimensional time series analysis is…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-05-22 Lia Ahrens , Julian Ahrens , Hans D. Schotten

Networks have become indispensable and ubiquitous structures in many fields to model the interactions among different entities, such as friendship in social networks or protein interactions in biological graphs. A major challenge is to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-26 Abdulkadir Çelikkanat , Nikolaos Nakis , Morten Mørup

We consider the problem of learning a graph from a finite set of noisy graph signal observations, the goal of which is to find a smooth representation of the graph signal. Such a problem is motivated by the desire to infer relational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-08 Xiaolu Wang , Yuen-Man Pun , Anthony Man-Cho So

We consider the problem of inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a high-dimensional stationary multivariate Gaussian time series. In a time series graph, each component of the vector series is represented by distinct node,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-03 Jitendra K Tugnait

We study recovery of piecewise-constant signals on graphs by the estimator minimizing an $l_0$-edge-penalized objective. Although exact minimization of this objective may be computationally intractable, we show that the same statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-29 Zhou Fan , Leying Guan

This paper addresses the problem of localizing change points in high-dimensional linear regression models with piecewise constant regression coefficients. We develop a dynamic programming approach to estimate the locations of the change…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-21 Alessandro Rinaldo , Daren Wang , Qin Wen , Rebecca Willett , Yi Yu

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

An emerging way of tackling the dimensionality issues arising in the modeling of a multivariate process is to assume that the inherent data structure can be captured by a graph. Nevertheless, though state-of-the-art graph-based methods have…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-07-13 Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin

In this paper, we propose a fast, well-performing, and consistent method for segmenting a piecewise-stationary, linear time series with an unknown number of breakpoints. The time series model we use is the nonparametric Locally Stationary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-30 Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Ising models describe the joint probability distribution of a vector of binary feature variables. Typically, not all the variables interact with each other and one is interested in learning the presumably sparse network structure of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-09 Frank Nussbaum , Joachim Giesen

We study the nonparametric change point estimation for common changes in the means of panel data. The consistency of estimates is investigated when the number of panels tends to infinity but the sample size remains finite. Our focus is on…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-21 Leonid Torgovitski