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In low- and middle-income countries, household surveys are the most reliable data source to examine health and demographic indicators at the subnational level, an exercise in small area estimation. Model-based unit-level models are favored…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-23 Yunhan Wu , Jon Wakefield

Improving health in the most disadvantaged populations requires reliable estimates of health and demographic indicators to inform policy and interventions. Low- and middle-income countries with the largest burden of disease and disability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Austin E Schumacher , Jon Wakefield

In low and middle income countries, household surveys are a valuable source of information for a range of health and demographic indicators. Increasingly, subnational estimates are required for targeting interventions and evaluating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-21 Katie Wilson , Jon Wakefield

In countries where population census data are limited, generating accurate subnational estimates of health and demographic indicators is challenging. Existing model-based geostatistical methods leverage covariate information and spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-08 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

Producing reliable estimates of health and demographic indicators at fine areal scales is crucial for examining heterogeneity and supporting localized health policy. However, many surveys release outcomes only at coarser administrative…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Yunhan Wu , Finn Lindgren , Heidi A. Hanson

Accurate estimates of subnational health and demographic indicators are critical for informing health policy decisions. Many countries collect relevant data using complex household surveys, but when data are limited, direct survey weighted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

Major decisions from governments and other large organizations rely on measurements of the populace's well-being, but making such measurements at a broad scale is expensive and thus infrequent in much of the developing world. We propose an…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-02 Jihyeon Lee , Dylan Grosz , Burak Uzkent , Sicheng Zeng , Marshall Burke , David Lobell , Stefano Ermon

Fay-Herriot (FH) models with variance smoothing typically use chi-squared sampling distributions for the design variance estimators. This choice is only valid under strong assumptions on the population and the sampling design, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Alana McGovern , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Jon Wakefield

Small area estimation using survey data can be achieved by using either a design-based or a model-based inferential approach. Design-based direct estimators are generally preferable because of their consistency, asymptotic normality, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-13 Alana McGovern , Katherine Wilson , Jon Wakefield

Many people living in low- and middle-income countries are not covered by civil registration and vital statistics systems. Consequently, a wide variety of other types of data, including many household sample surveys, are used to estimate…

Prevalence mapping in low resource settings is an increasingly important endeavor to guide policy making and to spatially and temporally characterize the burden of disease. We will focus our discussion on consideration of the complex design…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-15 Jon Wakefield , Daniel Simpson , Jessica Godwin

Fine resolution estimates of demographic and socioeconomic attributes are crucial for planning and policy development. While several efforts have been made to produce fine-scale gridded population estimates, socioeconomic features are…

Spatial small area estimation models have become very popular in some contexts, such as disease mapping. Data in disease mapping studies are exhaustive, that is, the available data are supposed to be a complete register of all the…

When mapping subnational health and demographic indicators, direct weighted estimators of small area means based on household survey data can be unreliable when data are limited. If survey microdata are available, unit level models can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-22 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

Spatial aggregation with respect to a population distribution involves estimating aggregate quantities for a population based on an observation of individuals in a subpopulation. In this context, a geostatistical workflow must account for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-15 John Paige , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Andrea Riebler , Jon Wakefield

Sample surveys are widely used to obtain information about totals, means, medians, and other parameters of finite populations. In many applications, similar information is desired for subpopulations such as individuals in specific…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-30 Jiahua Chen , Yukun Liu

Well-spread samples are desirable in many disciplines because they improve estimation when target variables exhibit spatial structure. This paper introduces an integrated methodological framework for spreading samples over the population's…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Bardia Panahbehagh , Mehdi Mohebbi , Amir Mohammad HosseiniNasab

Model performance evaluation is a critical and expensive task in machine learning and computer vision. Without clear guidelines, practitioners often estimate model accuracy using a one-time completely random selection of the data. However,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-07-19 Riccardo Fogliato , Pratik Patil , Mathew Monfort , Pietro Perona

Social and economic studies are often implemented as complex survey designs. For example, multistage, unequal probability sampling designs utilized by federal statistical agencies are typically constructed to maximize the efficiency of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-09 Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens
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