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In a general class of Bayesian nonparametric models, we prove that the posterior distribution can be asymptotically approximated by a Gaussian process. Our results apply to nonparametric exponential family that contains both Gaussian and…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-01 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution in a broad class of statistical models where the "true" solution occurs on the boundary of the parameter space. We show that in this case Bayesian inference is consistent, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-02 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

In a smooth semiparametric model, the marginal posterior distribution of the finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of frequentist's efficient estimators. This is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-20 Minwoo Chae

We introduce a novel Bayesian estimator for the class proportion in an unlabeled dataset, based on the targeted learning framework. Our procedure requires the specification of a prior (and outputs a posterior) only for the target of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-26 Iván Díaz , Oleksander Savenkov , Hooman Kamel

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

We consider a sparse linear regression model with unknown symmetric error under the high-dimensional setting. The true error distribution is assumed to belong to the locally $\beta$-H\"{o}lder class with an exponentially decreasing tail,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-01 Kyoungjae Lee , Minwoo Chae , Lizhen Lin

We continue the investigation of Bernstein-von Mises theorems for nonparametric Bayes procedures from [Ann. Statist. 41 (2013) 1999-2028]. We introduce multiscale spaces on which nonparametric priors and posteriors are naturally defined,…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-03 Ismaël Castillo , Richard Nickl

We establish a general Bernstein--von Mises theorem for approximately linear semiparametric functionals of fractional posterior distributions based on nonparametric priors. This is illustrated in a number of nonparametric settings and for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-12 Alice L'Huillier , Luke Travis , Ismaël Castillo , Kolyan Ray

There has been significant progress in Bayesian inference based on sparsity-inducing (e.g., spike-and-slab and horseshoe-type) priors for high-dimensional regression models. The resulting posteriors, however, in general do not possess…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-11 Qihui Chen , Zheng Fang , Ruixuan Liu

Gaussian approximations are routinely employed in Bayesian statistics to ease inference when the target posterior is intractable. Although these approximations are asymptotically justified by Bernstein-von Mises type results, in practice…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-09 Daniele Durante , Francesco Pozza , Botond Szabo

In a smooth semi-parametric model, the marginal posterior distribution for a finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of any efficient point-estimator. The assertion…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-26 Minwoo Chae , Yongdai Kim , Bas Kleijn

We study asymptotic frequentist coverage and approximately Gaussian properties of Bayes posterior credible sets in nonlinear inverse problems when a Gaussian prior is placed on the parameter of the PDE. The aim is to ensure valid…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-24 Youngsoo Baek , Katerina Papagiannouli

The frequentist behavior of nonparametric Bayes estimates, more specifically, rates of contraction of the posterior distributions to shrinking $L^r$-norm neighborhoods, $1\le r\le\infty$, of the unknown parameter, are studied. A theorem for…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-12 Evarist Giné , Richard Nickl

This paper brings a contribution to the Bayesian theory of nonparametric and semiparametric estimation. We are interested in the asymptotic normality of the posterior distribution in Gaussian linear regression models when the number of…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-05 Dominique Bontemps

In this paper we adopt the familiar sparse, high-dimensional linear regression model and focus on the important but often overlooked task of prediction. In particular, we consider a new empirical Bayes framework that incorporates data in…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-28 Ryan Martin , Yiqi Tang

Bernstein-von Mises theorems for nonparametric Bayes priors in the Gaussian white noise model are proved. It is demonstrated how such results justify Bayes methods as efficient frequentist inference procedures in a variety of concrete…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-01 Ismaël Castillo , Richard Nickl

This paper aims at developing a quasi-Bayesian analysis of the nonparametric instrumental variables model, with a focus on the asymptotic properties of quasi-posterior distributions. In this paper, instead of assuming a distributional…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-21 Kengo Kato

We study nonparametric Bayesian statistical inference for the parameters governing a pure jump process of the form $$Y_t = \sum_{k=1}^{N(t)} Z_k,~~~ t \ge 0,$$ where $N(t)$ is a standard Poisson process of intensity $\lambda$, and $Z_k$ are…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-02 Richard Nickl , Jakob Söhl

This is a review of asymptotic and non-asymptotic behaviour of Bayesian methods under model specification. In particular we focus on consistency, i.e. convergence of the posterior distribution to the point mass at the best parametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-21 Natalia Bochkina

Consider the Gaussian sequence model under the additional assumption that a fixed fraction of the means is known. We study the problem of variance estimation from a frequentist Bayesian perspective. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE)…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-19 Gianluca Finocchio , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber
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