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We study a model of electoral accountability and selection whereby heterogeneous voters aggregate incumbent politician's performance data into personalized signals through paying limited attention. Extreme voters' signals exhibit an…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-05 Anqi Li , Lin Hu

Despite many examples to the contrary, most models of elections assume that rules determining the winner will be followed. We present a model where elections are solely a public signal of the incumbent popularity, and citizens can protests…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-02-04 Andrew T. Little , Joshua A. Tucker , Tom LaGatta

This paper presents a theoretical model of an autocrat who controls the media in an attempt to persuade society of his competence. We base our analysis on a Bayesian persuasion framework in which citizens have heterogeneous preferences and…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-29 A. Arda Gitmez , Pooya Molavi

There is growing evidence of systematic attempts to influence democratic elections by controlled and digitally organized dissemination of fake news. This raises the question of the intrinsic robustness of democratic electoral processes…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-03 Glory M. Givi , Robin Delabays , Matthieu Jacquemet , Philippe Jacquod

In recent studies of political decision-making, apparently anomalous behavior has been observed on the part of voters, in which negative information about a candidate strengthens, rather than weakens, a prior positive opinion about the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-06-12 William W. Cohen , David P. Redlawsk , Douglas Pierce

Does electoral replacement ensure that officeholders eventually act in voters' interests? We study a reputational model of accountability. Voters observe incumbents' performance and decide whether to replace them. Politicians may be "good"…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-16 Navin Kartik , Elliot Lipnowski , Harry Pei

Presidential debates are viewed as providing an important public good by revealing information on candidates to voters. We consider an endogenous model of presidential debates in which an incumbent and a challenger (who is privately…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-02-27 Doron Klunover , John Morgan

An increasing number of politicians are relying on cheaper, easier to access technologies such as online social media platforms to communicate with their constituency. These platforms present a cheap and low-barrier channel of communication…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-08 Benson Tsz Kin Leung , Pinar Yildirim

In recent years, scholars have raised concerns on the effects that unreliable news, or "fake news," has on our political sphere, and our democracy as a whole. For example, the propagation of fake news on social media is widely believed to…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-09-28 Banafsheh Behzad , Bhavana Bheem , Daniela Elizondo , Deyana Marsh , Susan Martonosi

This essay argues that a new form of democracy - an "Emergent Democracy" - will develop as a result of the use of Internet communication tools and platforms such as blogs. The essay explores a variety of tools available and explores the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-07-27 Joichi Ito

How can voters induce politicians to put forth more proximate (in terms of preference) as well as credible platforms (in terms of promise fulfillment) under repeated elections? Building on the work of Aragones et al. (2007), I study how…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-11 Shiladitya Kumar

How does targeted advertising influence electoral outcomes? This paper presents a one-dimensional spatial model of voting in which a privately informed challenger persuades voters to support him over the status quo. I show that targeted…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-01 Maria Titova

It is believed that interventions that change the media's costs of misreporting can increase the information provided by media outlets. This paper analyzes the validity of this claim and the welfare implications of those types of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-08-26 Federico Vaccari

Democratic societies increasingly rely on communication networks to aggregate citizen preferences and information, yet these same networks can systematically mislead voters under certain conditions. We introduce an agent-based model that…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-06-30 Hsuan-Wei Lee , Po-Kang Hsiao

Over the past decade it has become evident that intentional disinformation in the political context -- so-called fake news -- is a danger to democracy. However, until now there has been no clear understanding of how to define fake news,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-01 Dorje C. Brody , David M. Meier

We present an equilibrium model of politics in which political platforms compete over public opinion. A platform consists of a policy, a coalition of social groups with diverse intrinsic attitudes to policies, and a narrative. We…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-06-28 Kfir Eliaz , Simone Galperti , Ran Spiegler

The spread of online misinformation on social media is increasingly perceived as a problem for societal cohesion and democracy. The role of political leaders in this process has attracted less research attention, even though politicians who…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-06-16 Jana Lasser , Segun Taofeek Aroyehun , Fabio Carrella , Almog Simchon , David Garcia , Stephan Lewandowsky

The integrity of democratic elections depends on voters' access to accurate information. However, modern media environments, which are dominated by social media, provide malicious actors with unprecedented ability to manipulate elections…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-11-22 Bryan Wilder , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Disinformation research has proliferated in reaction to widespread false, problematic beliefs purported to explain major social phenomena. Yet while the effects of disinformation are well-known, there is less consensus about its causes; the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Nicholas Rabb

We present a model of news media that shape consumer beliefs by providing information (signals about an exogenous state) and narratives (models of what determines outcomes). To amplify consumers' engagement, media maximize consumers'…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-15 Kfir Eliaz , Ran Spiegler
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