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Probabilistic forecasting of electricity load curves is of fundamental importance for effective scheduling and decision making in the increasingly volatile and competitive energy markets. We propose a novel approach to construct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-16 Xiuqin Xu , Ying Chen , Yannig Goude , Qiwei Yao

The large penetration of renewable resources has resulted in rapidly changing net loads, resulting in the characteristic "duck curve". The resulting ramping requirements of bulk system resources is an operational challenge. To address this,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-02-03 Rabab Haider , Giulio Ferro , Michela Robba , Anuradha M. Annaswamy

The growing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) significantly changes typical load curves in smart grids. With the development of fast charging technology, the volatility of EV charging demand is increasing, which requires additional…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-05 Kedi Zheng , Hanwei Xu , Zeyang Long , Yi Wang , Qixin Chen

Smart grids are envisioned to accommodate high penetration of distributed photovoltaic (PV) generation, which may cause adverse grid impacts in terms of voltage violations. Therefore, PV Hosting capacity (HC) is being used as a planning…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-31 Sai Munikoti , Mohammad Abujubbeh , Kumarsinh Jhala , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

High renewable energy penetration into power distribution systems causes a substantial risk of exceeding voltage security limits, which needs to be accurately assessed and properly managed. However, the existing methods usually rely on the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-08 Yuanhai Gao , Xiaoyuan Xu , Zheng Yan , Mohammad Shahidehpour , Bo Yang , Xinping Guan

The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources introduces significant challenges to power grid stability, primarily due to their inherent variability. A new opportunity for grid operation is the smart integration of electricity…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-30 Janik Pinter , Frederik Zahn , Maximilian Beichter , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

Electricity price forecasting is a critical tool for the efficient operation of power systems and for supporting informed decision-making by market participants. This paper explores a novel methodology aimed at improving the accuracy of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-13 Bartosz Uniejewski , Florian Ziel

In this paper, a stochastic model with regime switching is developed for solar photo-voltaic (PV) power in order to provide short-term probabilistic forecasts. The proposed model for solar PV power is physics inspired and explicitly…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-19 Raksha Ramakrishna , Anna Scaglione , Vijay Vittal

With an increasing high penetration of solar photovoltaic generation in electric power grids, voltage phasors and branch power flows experience more severe fluctuations. In this context, probabilistic power flow (PPF) study aims at…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-03 Kejun Chen , Yu Zhang

Battery storage, particularly residential battery storage coupled with rooftop PV, is emerging as an essential component of the smart grid technology mix. However, including battery storage and other flexible resources like electric…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-04-16 Yiju Ma , Donald Azuatalam , Thomas Power , Gregor Verbic , Archie C. Chapman

From an operational and planning perspective, it is important to quantify the impact of increasing penetration of photovoltaics on the distribution system. Most existing impact assessment studies are scenario-based where derived results are…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-30 Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Kumarsinh Jhala , Kexing Lai

The integration of various power sources, including renewables and electric vehicles, into smart grids is expanding, introducing uncertainties that can result in issues like voltage imbalances, load fluctuations, and power losses. These…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-26 Qi Li , Ye Shi , Yuning Jiang , Yuanming Shi , Haoyu Wang , H. Vincent Poor

With the increasing adoption of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs), it is critical to develop efficient charging coordination mechanisms that minimize the cost and impact of PEV integration to the power grid. In this paper, we consider the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-04-04 Wanrong Tang , Ying Jun Zhang

The operating conditions of the power system have become more complex and changeable. This paper proposes a probabilistic load flow based on the cumulant method (PLF-CM) for the voltage sourced converter high voltage direct current…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-17 Yinfeng Sun , Dapeng Xia , Zichun Gao , Zhenhao Wang , Guoqing Li , Weihua Lu , Xueguang Wu , Yang Li

Photovoltaic Power Ramp-Rate Control (PRRC) constitutes a key ancillary service for future power systems. Although its implementation through the installation of storage systems or irradiance sensors has been widely investigated, fewer…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-22 Jose Miguel Riquelme-Dominguez , Francisco de Paula García-López , Sergio Martinez

The rapid integration of renewable energy resources, such as tidal and photovoltaic (PV) power, coupled with the growing deployment of electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure, necessitates coordinated planning for coastal urban…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-11-13 Wenhao Gao , Yongheng Wang , Wei Chen , Xinwei Shen

This paper develops a power management scheme that jointly optimizes the real power consumption of programmable loads and reactive power outputs of photovoltaic (PV) inverters in distribution networks. The premise is to determine the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-10-20 Mohammadhafez Bazrafshan , Nikolaos Gatsis

With increasing penetration of renewable energy and active consumers, control and management of power distribution networks has become challenging. Renewable energy sources can cause random voltage fluctuations as their output power depends…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-08-26 Mohammad Abujubbeh , Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

This paper presents a distributionally robust model predictive control (DRMPC) framework for the optimal Virtual Power Plant (VPP) operation under electricity price uncertainty. A unified VPP model is formulated that captures the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-15 Nikolas Recke , Mathias Hudoba de Badyn

The high penetration of volatile renewable energy sources such as solar make methods for coping with the uncertainty associated with them of paramount importance. Probabilistic forecasts are an example of these methods, as they assist…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-21 Vinayak Sharma , Jorge Angel Gonzalez Ordiano , Ralf Mikut , Umit Cali
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