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相关论文: A Simulation Approach to Multi-station Solar Irrad…

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Accurate mechanisms for forecasting solar irradiance and insolation provide important information for the planning of renewable energy and agriculture projects as well as for environmental and socio-economical studies. This research…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-15 Laura S. Hoyos-Gómez , Jose F. Ruiz-Muñoz , Belizza J. Ruiz-Mendoza

We develop a probabilistic framework for joint simulation of short-term electricity generation from renewable assets. In this paper we describe a method for producing hourly day-ahead scenarios of generated power at grid-scale across…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-05-11 Mike Ludkovski , Glen Swindle , Eric Grannan

We describe an experimental setup developed aiming to irradiate samples under UV radiation for accelerated test for solar effects according to the relevant ECSS-ESA standards. This facility has been already used for projects belonging to…

Long-term hourly time series representing the PV generation in European countries have been obtained and made available under open license. For every country, four different PV configurations, i.e. rooftop, optimum tilt, tracking, and delta…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-05-14 Marta Victoria , Gorm B. Andresen

This paper describes a flexible approach to short term prediction of meteorological variables. In particular, we focus on the prediction of the solar irradiance one hour ahead, a task that has high practical value when optimizing solar…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-11-06 Pierrick Bruneau , Philippe Pinheiro , Yoann Didry

Our simulation-based experiments are aimed to demonstrate a use case on the feasibility of fulfillment of global energy demand by primarily relying on solar energy through the integration of a longitudinally-distributed grid. These…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Harsh Vardhan , Neal M Sarkar , Himanshu Neema

The residential electrical energy scheduling of solar Photovoltaics (PV) is an important research area of the modern green buildings. On the demand side, factors such as building load, and the renewable PV energy resources are integrated…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-03-16 Sara Zainaa , Shima Sadaf , Ansaruddin Kunjuc , Mohammad Meraj , Devrim Unal , Farid Touati

Modern advances in space technology have enabled the capture and recording of unprecedented volumes of data. In the field of solar physics this is most readily apparent with the advent of the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO), which returns…

空间物理 · 物理学 2018-06-18 Karl Battams

Using solar power in the process industry can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and make the production process more sustainable. However, the intermittent nature of solar power renders its usage challenging. Building a model to predict…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-17 Yu Yang , Jia Mao , Richard Nguyen , Annas Tohmeh , Hen-Geul Yeh

This paper compares different forecasting methods and models to predict average values of solar irradiance with a sampling time of 15 min over a prediction horizon of up to 3 h. The methods considered only require historic solar irradiance…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-07-30 Christian A. Hans , Elin Klages

Generating representative scenarios for power system planning in which the stochasticity of renewable generation and cross-correlations between renewables and load are fully captured, is a challenging problem. Traditional methods for…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-09 Dhaval Dalal , Anamitra Pal , Philip Augustin

Accurate intraday solar irradiance forecasting is crucial for optimizing dispatch planning and electricity trading. For this purpose, we introduce a novel and effective approach that includes three distinguishing components from the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Yanan Niu , Roy Sarkis , Demetri Psaltis , Mario Paolone , Christophe Moser , Luisa Lambertini

The engineering of solar power applications, such as photovoltaic energy (PV) or thermal solar energy requires the knowledge of the solar resource available for the solar energy system. This solar resource is generally obtained from…

空间物理 · 物理学 2014-10-17 Jonathan Leloux , Luis Narvarte , Loreto Gonzalez-Bonilla

Considering the grid manager's point of view, needs in terms of prediction of intermittent energy like the photovoltaic resource can be distinguished according to the considered horizon: following days (d+1, d+2 and d+3), next day by hourly…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2013-07-24 Cyril Voyant , Christophe Paoli , Marc Muselli , Marie Laure Nivet

It is speculated that higher penetration of inverter-based distributed photo-voltaic (PV) power generators can increase the risk of tripping events due to voltage fluctuations. To quantify this risk utilities need to solve the interactive…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-02-17 Kaveh Dehghanpour , Yuxuan Yuan , Fankun Bu , Zhaoyu Wang

In order to enable the transition towards renewable energy sources, probabilistic energy forecasting is of critical importance for incorporating volatile power sources such as solar energy into the electrical grid. Solar energy forecasting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-03 Benedikt Schulz , Mehrez El Ayari , Sebastian Lerch , Sándor Baran

When cloud layers cover photovoltaic (PV) panels, the amount of power the panels produce fluctuates rapidly. Therefore, to maintain enough energy on a power grid to match demand, utilities companies rely on reserve power sources that…

In this paper, a stochastic model with regime switching is developed for solar photo-voltaic (PV) power in order to provide short-term probabilistic forecasts. The proposed model for solar PV power is physics inspired and explicitly…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-19 Raksha Ramakrishna , Anna Scaglione , Vijay Vittal

The integration of renewable resources has increased in power generation as a means to reduce the fossil fuel usage and mitigate its adverse effects on the environment. However, renewables like solar energy are stochastic in nature due to…

We analyze and model total solar irradiance variability on time scales from minutes to months, excluding variations due to p-mode oscillations, using a combination of convective and magnetic components. These include granulation, the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2013-03-11 Andrey D. Seleznyov , Sami K. Solanki , Natalie A. Krivova