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相关论文: Estimating drift parameters in a non-ergodic Gauss…

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We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift and diffusion coefficients of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE), based on $n$ independent replicates $\left\{X_i(t)\::\: t\in [0,1]\right\}_{1 \leq i \leq n}$, observed…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-28 Neda Mohammadi , Leonardo Santoro , Victor M. Panaretos

In recent years, we have seen a handful of work on inference algorithms over non-stationary data streams. Given their flexibility, Bayesian non-parametric models are a good candidate for these scenarios. However, reliable streaming…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-14 Ioar Casado , Aritz Pérez

In this paper, we consider the robust adaptive non parametric estimation problem for the drift coefficient in diffusion processes. An adaptive model selection procedure, based on the improved weighted least square estimates, is proposed.…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-24 Evgeny Pchelintsev , Svyatoslav Perelevskiy , Irina Makarova

Multivariate spatial fields are of interest in many applications, including climate model emulation. Not only can the marginal spatial fields be subject to nonstationarity, but the dependence structure among the marginal fields and between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-21 Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

For a wide class of stochastic athermal systems, we derive Langevin-like equations driven by non-Gaussian noise, starting from master equations and developing a new asymptotic expansion. We found an explicit condition whereby the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-03-10 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Tomohiko G. Sano , Takahiro Sagawa , Hisao Hayakawa

We propose a minimum distance estimator (MDE) for parameter identification in misspecified models characterized by a sequence of ergodic stochastic processes that converge weakly to the model of interest. The data is generated by the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-17 Jaroslav I. Borodavka , Sebastian Krumscheid , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

We consider the problem of the estimation of the invariant distribution function of an ergodic diffusion process when the drift coefficient is unknown. The empirical distribution function is a natural estimator which is unbiased, uniformly…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Ilia Negri

A problem of goodness-of-fit test for ergodic diffusion processes is presented. In the null hypothesis the drift of the diffusion is supposed to be in a parametric form with unknown shift parameter. Two Cramer-Von Mises type test statistics…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-30 Ilia Negri , Li Zhou

We obtain strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a least squares estimator of the drift coefficient for complex-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes disturbed by fractional noise, extending the result of Y. Hu and D. Nualart,…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-27 Yong Chen , Yaozhong Hu , Zhi Wang

This work presents a methodology to estimate tire parameters and their uncertainty using a Bayesian optimization approach. The literature mainly considers the estimation of tire parameters but lacks an evaluation of the parameter…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-04-30 Sven Goblirsch , Benedikt Ruhland , Johannes Betz , Markus Lienkamp

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

We present a least squares method for estimating parameters from measurements of event yields in the presence of background and crossfeed. We adopt a unified approach to incorporating the statistical and systematic uncertainties on the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Werner M. Sun

We consider the problem of optimal estimation of the value of a vector parameter $\thetavector=(\theta_0,\ldots,\theta_n)^{\top}$ of the drift term in a fractional Brownian motion represented by the finite sum…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-25 A. V. Artemov , E. V. Burnaev

By building upon the recent theory that established the connection between implicit generative modeling (IGM) and optimal transport, in this study, we propose a novel parameter-free algorithm for learning the underlying distributions of…

Complex systems are sometimes subject to non Gaussian alpha stable Levy fluctuations. A new method is devised to estimate this uncertain parameter and other system parameters, using observations on either mean exit time or escape…

动力系统 · 数学 2013-06-04 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter

We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

We propose a contrast-based estimation method for Gaussian processes with time-inhomogeneous drifts, observed under high-frequency sampling. The process is modeled as the sum of a deterministic drift function and a stationary Gaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-07 Yasutaka Shimizu

Consider a diffusion process X=(X_t), with t in [0,1], observed at discrete times and high frequency, solution of a stochastic differential equation whose drift and diffusion coefficients are assumed to be unknown. In this article, we focus…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-27 Eddy Ella-Mintsa

Let $\{Z_n\}$ be a real nonstationary stochastic process such that $E(Z_n|{\mathcaligr F}_{n-1})\stackrel{\mathrm{a.s.}}{<}\infty$ and $E(Z^2_n|{\mathcaligr F}_{n-1})\stackrel{\mathrm{a.s.}}{<}\infty$, where $\{{\mathcaligr F}_n\}$ is an…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-01-14 Christine Jacob