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相关论文: Estimating drift parameters in a non-ergodic Gauss…

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We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form \[dX_t=\theta a(t,X_t)\,dt+\sigma_1(t,X_t)\sigma_2(t,Y_t)\,dW_t\] with multiplicative stochastic volatility, where $Y$ is some adapted stochastic process. We prove…

In this paper, we present a theoretical and computational workflow for the non-parametric Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion functions of autonomous diffusion processes. We base the inference on the partial differential equations…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Maximilian Kruse , Sebastian Krumscheid

Given a Wiener process with unknown and unobservable drift, we try to estimate this drift as effectively but also as quickly as possible, in the presence of a quadratic penalty for the estimation error and of a fixed, positive cost per unit…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-24 Erik Ekström , Ioannis Karatzas , Juozas Vaicenavicius

We consider a stochastic differential equation involving standard and fractional Brownian motion with unknown drift parameter to be estimated. We investigate the standard maximum likelihood estimate of the drift parameter, two non-standard…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-13 Yuriy Kozachenko , Alexander Melnikov , Yuliya Mishura

We will consider the following stochastic differential equation (SDE): \begin{equation} X_t=X_0+\int_0^tb(X_s,\theta_0)ds+\sigma B_t,~~~t\in(0,T], \end{equation} where $\{B_t\}_{t\ge 0}$ is a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-24 Yasutaka Shimizu , Shohei Nakajima

We construct a least squares estimator for the drift parameters of a fractional Ornstein Uhlenbeck process with periodic mean function and long range dependence. For this estimator we prove consistency and asymptotic normality. In contrast…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-11 Herold Dehling , Brice Franke , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

Maximizing the likelihood has been widely used for estimating the unknown covariance parameters of spatial Gaussian processes. However, evaluating and optimizing the likelihood function can be computationally intractable, particularly for…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-16 Hossein Keshavarz , XuanLong Nguyen , Clayton Scott

We consider a parameter estimation problem for one dimensional stochastic heat equations, when data is sampled discretely in time or spatial component. We prove that, the real valued parameter next to the Laplacian (the drift), and the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-17 Igor Cialenco , Yicong Huang

In this paper, we consider a partially linear model of the form $Y_t=X_t^{\tau}\theta_0+g(V_t)+\epsilon_t$, $t=1,...,n$, where $\{V_t\}$ is a $\beta$ null recurrent Markov chain, $\{X_t\}$ is a sequence of either strictly stationary or…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-16 Jia Chen , Jiti Gao , Degui Li

In this paper, we consider possibly misspecified stochastic differential equation models driven by L\'{e}vy processes. Regardless of whether the driving noise is Gaussian or not, Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimator can estimate unknown…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-11 Yuma Uehara

We consider a finite impulse response system with centered independent sub-Gaussian design covariates and noise components that are not necessarily identically distributed. We derive non-asymptotic near-optimal estimation and prediction…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-02 Boualem Djehiche , Othmane Mazhar , Cristian R. Rojas

The paper considers the problem of estimating the parameters in a continuous time regression model with a non-Gaussian noise of pulse type. The noise is specified by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by the mixture of a Brownian motion…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-17 Evgeny Pchelintsev

Diffusive motion in an externally driven potential is considered. It is shown that the distribution of work required to drive the system from an initial equilibrium state to another is Gaussian for slow but finite driving. Our result is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Thomas Speck , Udo Seifert

We introduce a new variational characterization of Gaussian diffusion processes as minimum uncertainty states. We then define a variational method constrained by kinematics of diffusions and Schr\"{o}dinger dynamics to seek states of local…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2016-09-06 F. Illuminati , L. Viola

In the present paper we propose a new stochastic diffusion process with drift proportional to the Weibull density function defined as X $\epsilon$ = x, dX t = $\gamma$ t (1 - t $\gamma$+1) - t $\gamma$ X t dt + $\sigma$X t dB t , t…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-26 H Elotma

The double Heston model is one of the most popular option pricing models in financial theory. It is applied to several issues such that risk management and volatility surface calibration. This paper deals with the problem of global…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-29 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Houssem Dahbi , Hamdi Fathallah

We study nonparametric Bayesian inference for the intensity function of a covariate-driven point process. We extend recent results from the literature, showing that a wide class of Gaussian priors, combined with flexible link functions,…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-27 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

We consider efficient estimation of the Euclidean parameters in a generalized partially linear additive models for longitudinal/clustered data when multiple covariates need to be modeled nonparametrically, and propose an estimation…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-02-05 Guang Cheng , Lan Zhou , Jianhua Z. Huang