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We propose a novel approach to leveraging pre-trained language models (LMs) for early forecasting of academic trajectories in STEM students using high-dimensional longitudinal experiential data. This data, which captures students'…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-31 Ahatsham Hayat , Bilal Khan , Mohammad Rashedul Hasan

The number of recurrent events before a terminating event is often of interest. For instance, death terminates an individual's process of rehospitalizations and the number of rehospitalizations is an important indicator of economic cost. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-30 Willem van den Boom , Maria De Iorio , Marta Tallarita

User event modeling plays a central role in many machine learning applications, with use cases spanning e-commerce, social media, finance, cybersecurity, and other domains. User events can be broadly categorized into personal events, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Rizal Fathony , Igor Melnyk , Owen Reinert , Nam H. Nguyen , Daniele Rosa , C. Bayan Bruss

Background: Linear mixed-effects models are central for analyzing longitudinal continuous data, yet many learners meet them as scattered formulas or software output rather than as a coherent workflow. There is a need for a single,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-19 Sunday A. Adetunji

Time-to-event analysis is a branch of statistics that has increased in popularity during the last decades due to its many application fields, such as predictive maintenance, customer churn prediction and population lifetime estimation. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-13 Camila Fernandez , Chung Shue Chen , Chen Pierre Gaillard , Alonso Silva

Time-varying covariates in longitudinal studies frequently evolve through reciprocal feedback, undergo role reversal, and reflect unobserved individual heterogeneity. Standard statistical frameworks often assume fixed covariate roles and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Niloofar Ramezani , Pascal Nitiema , Jeffrey R. Wilson

This tutorial shows how various Bayesian survival models can be fitted using the integrated nested Laplace approximation in a clear, legible, and comprehensible manner using the INLA and INLAjoint R-packages. Such models include accelerated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-19 Danilo Alvares , Janet van Niekerk , Elias Teixeira Krainski , Håvard Rue , Denis Rustand

Multivariate spatio-temporal data refers to multiple measurements taken across space and time. For many analyses, spatial and time components can be separately studied: for example, to explore the temporal trend of one variable for a single…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-24 H. Sherry Zhang , Dianne Cook , Ursula Laa , Nicolas Langrené , Patricia Menéndez

The multivariate Bayesian structural time series (MBSTS) model is a general machine learning model that deals with inference and prediction for multiple correlated time series, where one also has the choice of using a different candidate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-07 Ning Ning , Jinwen Qiu

With the arrival of the R packages nlme and lme4, linear mixed models (LMMs) have come to be widely used in experimentally-driven areas like psychology, linguistics, and cognitive science. This tutorial provides a practical introduction to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-17 Tanner Sorensen , Shravan Vasishth

When modeling longitudinal biomedical data, often dimensionality reduction as well as dynamic modeling in the resulting latent representation is needed. This can be achieved by artificial neural networks for dimension reduction, and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-01 Göran Köber , Raffael Kalisch , Lara Puhlmann , Andrea Chmitorz , Anita Schick , Harald Binder

In many longitudinal microarray studies, the gene expression levels in a random sample are observed repeatedly over time under two or more conditions. The resulting time courses are generally very short, high-dimensional, and may have…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-02-26 Maurice Berk , Cheryl Hemingway , Michael Levin , Giovanni Montana

Two-part joint models for a longitudinal semicontinuous biomarker and a terminal event have been recently introduced based on frequentist estimation. The biomarker distribution is decomposed into a probability of positive value and the…

Most existing time-to-event methods focus on either single-event or competing-risks settings, leaving multi-event scenarios relatively underexplored. In many healthcare applications, for example, a patient may experience multiple clinical…

Advances in information technology have increased the availability of time-stamped relational data such as those produced by email exchanges or interaction through social media. Whereas the associated information flows could be aggregated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Federica Bianchi , Edoardo Filippi-Mazzola , Alessandro Lomi , Ernst C. Wit

Large language models (LLMs) have made significant progress in Emotional Intelligence (EI) and long-context modeling. However, existing benchmarks often overlook the fact that emotional information processing unfolds as a continuous…

Forecasting with longitudinal data has been rarely studied. Most of the available studies are for continuous response and all of them are for univariate response. In this study, we consider forecasting multivariate longitudinal binary data.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-13 Ozgur Asar , Ozlem Ilk

The BayesMortalityPlus package provides a framework for modelling and predicting mortality data. The package includes tools for the construction of life tables based on Heligman-Pollard laws, and also on dynamic linear smoothers.…

In the context of clinical and biomedical studies, joint frailty models have been developed to study the joint temporal evolution of recurrent and terminal events, capturing both the heterogeneous susceptibility to experiencing a new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-08 Chiara Masci , Marta Spreafico , Francesca Ieva

In real-world domains such as self-driving, generalization to rare scenarios remains a fundamental challenge. To address this, we introduce a new dataset designed for end-to-end driving that focuses on long-tail driving events. We provide…

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