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Assigning passenger trips to specific network paths using automatic fare collection (AFC) data is a fundamental application in urban transit analysis. The task is a difficult inverse problem: the only available information consists of each…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-31 Xiaoxu Chen , Alexandra M. Schmidt , Zhenliang Ma , Lijun Sun

Accurately forecasting bus travel time and passenger occupancy with uncertainty is essential for both travelers and transit agencies/operators. However, existing approaches to forecasting bus travel time and passenger occupancy mainly rely…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-12 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Alexandra M. Schmidt , Lijun Sun

Understanding the variability of people's travel patterns is key to transport planning and policy-making. However, to what extent daily transit use displays geographic and temporal variabilities, and what are the contributing factors have…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Sui Tao , Francisco Rowe , Hongyu Shan

Accurate forecasting of bus travel time and its uncertainty is critical to service quality and operation of transit systems; for example, it can help passengers make better decisions on departure time, route choice, and even transport mode…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-15 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Jian Gang Jin , Martin Trepanier , Lijun Sun

The macro influencing factors analysis of urban traffic safety is important to guide the direction of urban development to reduce the frequency of traffic accidents. In this study, a Bayesian vector autoregressive(BVAR) model was developed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-08 Jieling Jin

This paper proposes a hierarchical Bayesian network model (BNM) to quantitatively evaluate the resilience of urban transportation infrastructure. Based on systemic thinkings and sustainability perspectives, we investigate the long-term…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-08-27 Junqing Tang , Hans Heinimann , Ke Han , Hanbin Luo , Botao Zhong

As a newly-emerging travel mode in the era of mobile internet, ride-hailing that connects passengers with private-car drivers via an online platform has been very popular all over the world. Although it attracts much attention in both…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-04-13 Zhengbing He

With the booming economy in China, many researches have pointed out that the improvement of regional transportation infrastructure among other factors had an important effect on economic growth. Utilizing a large-scale dataset which…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-02-06 Bin Li , Song Gao , Yunlei Liang , Yuhao Kang , Timothy Prestby , Yuqi Gao , Runmou Xiao

In cargo logistics, a key performance measure is transport risk, defined as the deviation of the actual arrival time from the planned arrival time. Neither earliness nor tardiness is desirable for customer and freight forwarders. In this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-07-22 Yan Shang , David B. Dunson , Jing-Sheng Song

Understanding passengers' path choice behavior in urban rail systems is a prerequisite for effective operations and planning. This paper attempts bridging the gap by proposing a probabilistic approach to infer passengers' path choice…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-11 Baichuan Mo , ZhenLiang Ma , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

The modeling of disaggregated vehicular mobility and its associations with the ambient urban built environment is essential for developing operative transport intervention and urban optimization plans. However, established vehicular route…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-15 Chaogui Kang , Zheren Liu

Understanding travel demand and behavior, particularly route and mode choices, is critical for effective transportation planning and policy design in multi-modal systems with emerging mobility options. Multi-modal system-level data, such as…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-04 Xiaoyu Ma , Sean Qian

The rapid expansion of ride-sharing services has caused significant disruptions in the transpor-tation industry and fundamentally altered the way individuals move from one place to another. Accurate estimation of ride-sharing improves…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Mohamed Elkhouly , Taqwa Alhadidi

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve is a representation of the statistical information discovered in binary classification problems and is a key concept in machine learning and data science. This paper studies the statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-09 Kai Feng , Han Hong , Ke Tang , Jingyuan Wang

The road safety of traffic is greatly affected by the driving performance of online ride-hailing, which has become an increasingly popular travel option for many people. Little attention has been paid to the fact that the use of cell phone…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-11-28 Xiangnan Song , Xianghong Li , Kai Yin , Huimin Qi , Xufei Fang

As one of the most promising alternatives to internal combustion engine vehicles, battery electric vehicles (BEVs) have become increasingly prevalent in recent years. However, range anxiety is still a major concern among BEV users or…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Jiyao Wang , Wenbo Zhang , Xiao , Wen , Dengbo He , Ran Tu

Dockless bike-sharing (DBS) users often encounter difficulties in finding available bikes at their preferred times and locations. This study examines the determinants of the users' mode shifts in the context of bike absence, using survey…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-19 Hongjun Cui , Zhixiao Ren , Xinwei Ma , Minqing Zhu

Uncertainty is inevitable in transportation system due to the stochastic change of demand and supply. It is one of the most important factors affecting travelers' choice behavior. Based on the framework of Vickrey's bottleneck model, we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-01-07 Dongxu Lu , Rui Jiang , Ronghui Liu , Qiumin Liu , Ziyou Gao

The decision making involved behind the mode choice is critical for transportation planning. While statistical learning techniques like discrete choice models have been used traditionally, machine learning (ML) models have gained traction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-26 Tanmay Ghosh , Nithin Nagaraj

In this paper, we present a three-step methodological framework, including location identification, bias modification, and out-of-sample validation, so as to promote human mobility analysis with social media data. More specifically, we…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-08-15 Yilan Cui , Xing Xie , Yi Liu
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