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The stochastic expansion of the marginal quasi-likelihood function associated with a class of generalized linear models is shown. Based on the expansion, a quasi-Bayesian information criterion is proposed that is able to deal with…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-04-19 Shoichi Eguchi

We consider Bayesian model selection in generalized linear models that are high-dimensional, with the number of covariates p being large relative to the sample size n, but sparse in that the number of active covariates is small compared to…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-12-26 Rina Foygel , Mathias Drton

The problem of model selection is considered for the setting of interpolating estimators, where the number of model parameters exceeds the size of the dataset. Classical information criteria typically consider the large-data limit,…

Model selection and order selection problems frequently arise in statistical practice. A popular approach to addressing these problems in the frequentist setting involves information criteria based on penalised maxima of log-likelihoods for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-29 Hien Duy Nguyen , Mayetri Gupta , Jacob Westerhout , TrungTin Nguyen

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-03 Nan Shen , Bárbara González

We consider approximate Bayesian model choice for model selection problems that involve models whose Fisher-information matrices may fail to be invertible along other competing submodels. Such singular models do not obey the regularity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-24 Mathias Drton , Martyn Plummer

The application of Bayesian inference for the purpose of model selection is very popular nowadays. In this framework, models are compared through their marginal likelihoods, or their quotients, called Bayes factors. However, marginal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-27 F. Llorente , L. Martino , E. Curbelo , J. Lopez-Santiago , D. Delgado

The first investigation is made of designs for screening experiments where the response variable is approximated by a generalised linear model. A Bayesian information capacity criterion is defined for the selection of designs that are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-27 David C. Woods , James M. McGree , Susan M. Lewis

The widely applicable Bayesian information criterion (WBIC) is a simple and fast approximation to the model evidence that has received little practical consideration. WBIC uses the fact that the log evidence can be written as an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-29 N. Friel , J. P. McKeone , C. J. Oates , A. N. Pettitt

In the problem of selecting variables in a multivariate linear regression model, we derive new Bayesian information criteria based on a prior mixing a smooth distribution and a delta distribution. Each of them can be interpreted as a fusion…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-29 Haruki Kono , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Evaluation of the marginal likelihood plays an important role in model selection problems. The widely applicable Bayesian information criterion (WBIC) and singular Bayesian information criterion (sBIC) give approximations to the log…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-28 Toru Imai

We propose a new model selection method, the posterior averaging information criterion, for Bayesian model assessment from a predictive perspective. The theoretical foundation is built on the Kullback-Leibler divergence to quantify the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-22 Shouhao Zhou

In objective Bayesian model selection, no single criterion has emerged as dominant in defining objective prior distributions. Indeed, many criteria have been separately proposed and utilized to propose differing prior choices. We first…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-09-25 M. J. Bayarri , J. O. Berger , A. Forte , G. García-Donato

For linear models with a diverging number of parameters, it has recently been shown that modified versions of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) can identify the true model consistently. However, in many cases there is little…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-07-26 Heng Lian

The information criterion for determining the number of explanatory variables in a subset regression modeling is discussed. Information criterion such as AIC is effective and frequently used in model selection for ordinary regression models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-18 Genshiro Kitagawa

We consider the use of Bayesian information criteria for selection of the graph underlying an Ising model. In an Ising model, the full conditional distributions of each variable form logistic regression models, and variable selection…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-09 Rina Foygel Barber , Mathias Drton

Supervised topic models with a logistic likelihood have two issues that potentially limit their practical use: 1) response variables are usually over-weighted by document word counts; and 2) existing variational inference methods make…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-10-10 Jun Zhu , Xun Zheng , Bo Zhang

How do we compare between hypotheses that are entirely consistent with observations? The marginal likelihood (aka Bayesian evidence), which represents the probability of generating our observations from a prior, provides a distinctive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-03 Sanae Lotfi , Pavel Izmailov , Gregory Benton , Micah Goldblum , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

In computational mechanics, multiple models are often present to describe a physical system. While Bayesian model selection is a helpful tool to compare these models using measurement data, it requires the computationally expensive…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Subhayan De , Reza Farzad , Patrick T. Brewick , Erik A. Johnson , Steven F. Wojtkiewicz
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