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Bayesian inference provides a principled way of estimating the parameters of a stochastic process that is observed discretely in time. The overdamped Brownian motion of a particle confined in an optical trap is generally modelled by the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-02-01 Sudipta Bera , Shuvojit Paul , Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , Avijit Kundu , Ayan Banerjee , R. Adhikari

We introduce a new residual-bridge proposal for approximately simulating conditioned diffusions. This proposal is formed by applying the modified diffusion bridge approximation of Durham and Gallant (2002) to the difference between the true…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-24 Sean Malory , Chris Sherlock

One of the significant challenges in monitoring the quality of products today is the high dimensionality of quality characteristics. In this paper, we address Phase I analysis of high-dimensional processes with individual observations when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-02 Mohsen Ebadi , Shojaeddin Chenouri , Stefan H. Steiner

This paper proposes consistent and asymptotically Gaussian estimators for the drift, the diffusion coefficient and the Hurst exponent of the discretely observed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. For the estimation of the drift, the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-12-19 Alexandre Brouste , Stefano M. Iacus

We consider the problem of change point detection for high-dimensional distributions in a location family when the dimension can be much larger than the sample size. In change point analysis, the widely used cumulative sum (CUSUM)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-14 Mengjia Yu , Xiaohui Chen

In this paper, we investigate the parameter estimation for threshold Ornstein$\mathit{-}$Uhlenbeck processes. Least squares method is used to obtain continuous-type and discrete-type estimators for the drift parameters based on continuous…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-28 Yuecai Han , Dingwen Zhang

In the present paper, we consider that $N$ diffusion processes $X^1,\dots,X^N$ are observed on $[0,T]$, where $T$ is fixed and $N$ grows to infinity. Contrary to most of the recent works, we no longer assume that the processes are…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

We investigate robust parameter estimation and testing procedure for multivariate diffusion processes observed at high frequency via the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). Within a general diffusion framework and under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Sourojyoti Barick

We study the problem of robustly estimating the posterior distribution for the setting where observed data can be contaminated with potentially adversarial outliers. We propose Rob-ULA, a robust variant of the Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-30 Kush Bhatia , Yi-An Ma , Anca D. Dragan , Peter L. Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

While robust divergence such as density power divergence and $\gamma$-divergence is helpful for robust statistical inference in the presence of outliers, the tuning parameter that controls the degree of robustness is chosen in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-15 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Shouto Yonekura

The panel data regression models have gained increasing attention in different areas of research including but not limited to econometrics, environmental sciences, epidemiology, behavioral and social sciences. However, the presence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-24 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

This paper considers the problem of comparing two processes with panel data. A nonparametric test is proposed for detecting a monotone change in the link between the two process distributions. The test statistic is of CUSUM type, based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-05-04 Denys Pommeret , Mohamed Boutahar , Badih Ghattas

We propose a practical empirical fitting function to characterize the non-Gaussian displacement distribution functions (DispD) often observed for heterogeneous diffusion problems. We first test this fitting function with the problem of a…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2022-07-20 Le Qiao , Nicholas Ilow , Maxime Ignacio , Gary W. Slater

This paper investigates change-point of variance in panel data models with time series of $\alpha$-mixing. Based on the cumulative sum (CUSUM) method and the individual differences, we construct a CUSUM test for panel data models to detect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-16 Wenzhi Yang , Yueting Xu , Xiaoping Shi , Qiong Li

Gaussian process regression (GPR) model is well-known to be susceptible to outliers. Robust process regression models based on t-process or other heavy-tailed processes have been developed to address the problem. However, due to the nature…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-10 Wang Zhanfeng , Noh Maengseok , Lee Youngjo , Shi Jianqing

In this paper, two tests, based on CUSUM of the residuals and least squares estimation, are studied to detect in real time a change-point in a nonlinear model. A first test statistic is proposed by extension of a method already used in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-28 Gabriela Ciuperca

We study online changepoint detection in the context of a linear regression model. We propose a class of heavily weighted statistics based on the CUSUM process of the regression residuals, which are specifically designed to ensure timely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-08 Fabrizio Ghezzi , Eduardo Rossi , Lorenzo Trapani

In this paper we consider parameter estimation for discretely observed diffusion processes. In particular, we focus on data that are observed at low frequency and methodology that can estimate parameters with uncertainty quantification.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Jingning Yao , Ajay Jasra , Sheng Jiang

We investigate the online detection of changepoints in the distribution of a sequence of observations using degenerate U-statistic-type processes. We study weighted versions of: an ordinary, CUSUM-type scheme, a Page-CUSUM-type scheme, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horvath , Lorenzo Trapani

An important assumption in the work on testing for structural breaks in time series consists in the fact that the model is formulated such that the stochastic process under the null hypothesis of "no change-point" is stationary. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-31 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou