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When we plan to use money as an incentive to change the behavior of a person (such as making riders to deliver more orders or making consumers to buy more items), the common approach of this problem is to adopt a two-stage framework in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-08 Juhua Chen , Karson shi , Jialing He , North Chen , Kele Jiang

In causal inference, it is common to estimate the causal effect of a single treatment variable on an outcome. However, practitioners may also be interested in the effect of simultaneous interventions on multiple covariates of a fixed target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-24 Jaime Roquero Gimenez , Dominik Rothenhäusler

This article studies the estimation of the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on time-to-an-event or on some other continuously distributed outcome. The paper applies to the situation where treatment is repeatedly adapted to…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-06-19 Judith J. Lok

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) represent a gold standard when developing policy guidelines. However, RCTs are often narrow, and lack data on broader populations of interest. Causal effects in these populations are often estimated using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-07 Zeshan Hussain , Michael Oberst , Ming-Chieh Shih , David Sontag

Causal mediation analysis examines causal pathways linking exposures to disease. The estimation of interventional effects, which are mediation estimands that overcome certain identifiability problems of natural effects, has been advanced…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-23 Tong Chen , Stijn Vansteelandt , David Burgner , Toby Mansell , Margarita Moreno-Betancur

This article investigates the model-robustness of fixed-effects models for analyzing a broad class of longitudinal cluster trials (CTs) such as stepped-wedge, parallel-with-baseline and crossover designs, encompassing both randomized (CRTs)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-10 Kenneth M. Lee , Fan Li

An N-of-1 trial is a multiple crossover trial conducted in a single individual to provide evidence to directly inform personalized treatment decisions. Advancements in wearable devices greatly improved the feasibility of adopting these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-15 Kexin Qu , Christopher H. Schmid , Tao Liu

When making treatment selection decisions, it is essential to include a causal effect estimation analysis to compare potential outcomes under different treatments or controls, assisting in optimal selection. However, merely estimating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Sherly Alfonso-Sánchez , Kristina P. Sendova , Cristián Bravo

Treatment switching in a randomized controlled trial is said to occur when a patient randomized to one treatment arm switches to another treatment arm during follow-up. This can occur at the point of disease progression, whereby patients in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-24 Andrew Ying , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT)s are relied upon to assess new treatments, but suffer from limited power to guide personalized treatment decisions. On the other hand, observational (i.e., non-experimental) studies have large and diverse…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Zeshan Hussain , Ming-Chieh Shih , Michael Oberst , Ilker Demirel , David Sontag

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) are often considered the gold standard for estimating causal effect, but they may lack external validity when the population eligible to the RCT is substantially different from the target population.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-11 Bénédicte Colnet , Julie Josse , Erwan Scornet , Gaël Varoquaux

Causal identification of treatment effects for infectious disease outcomes in interconnected populations is challenging because infection outcomes may be transmissible to others, and treatment given to one individual may affect others'…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-11 Xiaoxuan Cai , Eben Kenah , Forrest W. Crawford

Estimating the treatment effect within network structures is a key focus in online controlled experiments, particularly for social media platforms. We investigate a scenario where the unit-level outcome of interest comprises a series of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-28 Yilin Li , Lu Deng , Yong Wang , Wang Miao

In observational studies, the identification of causal estimands depends on the no unmeasured confounding (NUC) assumption. As this assumption is not testable from observed data, sensitivity analysis plays an important role in observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Md Abdul Basit , Mahbub A. H. M. Latif , Abdus S Wahed

Estimating a causal effect from observational data can be biased if we do not control for self-selection. This selection is based on confounding variables that affect the treatment assignment and the outcome. Propensity score methods aim to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-09-10 Daniel Jacob

Machine learning is increasingly used to select which individuals receive limited-resource interventions in domains such as human services, education, development, and more. However, it is often not apparent what the right quantity is for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-20 Vibhhu Sharma , Bryan Wilder

With increasing data availability, causal effects can be evaluated across different data sets, both randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies. RCTs isolate the effect of the treatment from that of unwanted (confounding)…

The health effects of environmental exposures have been studied for decades, typically using standard regression models to assess exposure-outcome associations found in observational non-experimental data. We propose and illustrate a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-20 Marie-Abele C. Bind , Donald B. Rubin

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is central to data-driven decision-making, yet industrial applications often face a fundamental tension between limited randomized controlled trial (RCT) budgets and abundant but biased…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Jiacan Gao , Xinyan Su , Mingyuan Ma , Yiyan Huang , Xiao Xu , Xinrui Wan , Tianqi Gu , Enyun Yu , Jiecheng Guo , Zhiheng Zhang

Multi-regional clinical trials (MRCTs) are central to global drug development, enabling evaluation of treatment effects across diverse populations. A key challenge is valid and efficient inference for a region-specific estimand when the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Chenxi Li , Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Xiaofei Wang