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Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

We propose VarFA, a variational inference factor analysis framework that extends existing factor analysis models for educational data mining to efficiently output uncertainty estimation in the model's estimated factors. Such uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-18 Zichao Wang , Yi Gu , Andrew Lan , Richard Baraniuk

Its conceptual appeal and effectiveness has made latent factor modeling an indispensable tool for multivariate analysis. Despite its popularity across many fields, there are outstanding methodological challenges that have hampered practical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-12 Kenichiro McAlinn , Veronika Rockova , Enakshi Saha

In many applications, it is of interest to study trends over time in relationships among categorical variables, such as age group, ethnicity, religious affiliation, political party and preference for particular policies. At each time point,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-15 Tsuyoshi Kunihama , David B. Dunson

Very often data we encounter in practice is a collection of matrices rather than a single matrix. These multi-block data are naturally linked and hence often share some common features and at the same time they have their own individual…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-03-14 Guoxu Zhou , Andrzej Cichocki , Yu Zhang , Danilo Mandic

Matrix-valued time series are ubiquitous in modern economics and finance, yet modeling them requires navigating a trade-off between flexibility and parsimony. We propose the Matrix Autoregressive model with Common Factors (MARCF), a unified…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Zhiyun Fan , Xiaoyu Zhang , Di Wang

Analyzing demographic data collected across multiple populations, time periods, and age groups is challenging due to the interplay of high dimensionality, demographic heterogeneity among groups, and stochastic variability within smaller…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-12 Gregor Zens

Tensor factorizations have been widely used for the task of uncovering patterns in various domains. Often, the input is time-evolving, shifting the goal to tracking the evolution of the underlying patterns instead. To adapt to this more…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-18 Christos Chatzis , Carla Schenker , Max Pfeffer , Evrim Acar

Large-scale and multidimensional spatiotemporal data sets are becoming ubiquitous in many real-world applications such as monitoring urban traffic and air quality. Making predictions on these time series has become a critical challenge due…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-21 Xinyu Chen , Lijun Sun

Inspired by applications in sports where the skill of players or teams competing against each other varies over time, we propose a probabilistic model of pairwise-comparison outcomes that can capture a wide range of time dynamics. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-20 Lucas Maystre , Victor Kristof , Matthias Grossglauser

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-19 Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , Afonso C. B. Silva

The proliferation of mobile devices has led to the collection of large amounts of population data. This situation has prompted the need to utilize this rich, multidimensional data in practical applications. In response to this trend, we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-18 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated units focuses on the impacts of interventions using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Greg Barkimer , Kevin Li , Mike West

Matrix-variate data of high dimensions are frequently observed in finance and economics, spanning extended time periods, such as the long-term data on international trade flows among numerous countries. To address potential structural…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-03 Bin Chen , Elynn Y. Chen , Stevenson Bolivar , Rong Chen

In view of the current availability and variety of measured data, there is an increasing demand for powerful signal processing tools that can cope successfully with the associated problems that often arise when data are being analysed. In…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-12-16 Tomislav Stankovski , Andrea Duggento , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

Factor Analysis based on multivariate $t$ distribution ($t$fa) is a useful robust tool for extracting common factors on heavy-tailed or contaminated data. However, $t$fa is only applicable to vector data. When $t$fa is applied to matrix…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-05 Xuan Ma , Jianhua Zhao , Changchun Shang , Fen Jiang , Philip L. H. Yu

In this paper, we consider the nonstationary matrix-valued time series with common stochastic trends. Unlike the traditional factor analysis which flattens matrix observations into vectors, we adopt a matrix factor model in order to fully…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-25 Degui Li , Yayi Yan , Qiwei Yao

Bayesian computation for filtering and forecasting analysis is developed for a broad class of dynamic models. The ability to scale-up such analyses in non-Gaussian, nonlinear multivariate time series models is advanced through the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Andrew Cron , Mike West

Multiway datasets are commonly analyzed using unsupervised matrix and tensor factorization methods to reveal underlying patterns. Frequently, such datasets include timestamps and could correspond to, for example, health-related measurements…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-27 Christos Chatzis , Carla Schenker , Jérémy E. Cohen , Evrim Acar
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