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Dynamics on networks is considered from the perspective of Markov stochastic processes. We partially describe the state of the system through network motifs and infer any missing data using the available information. This versatile approach…

In this paper, we explore whether the infection-rate of a disease can serve as a robust monitoring variable in epidemiological surveillance algorithms. The infection-rate is dependent on population mixing patterns that do not vary…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-17 Wyatt Bridgman , Cosmin Safta , Jaideep Ray

Stochasticity and spatial heterogeneity are of great interest recently in studying the spread of an infectious disease. The presented method solves an inverse problem to discover the effectively decisive topology of a heterogeneous network…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-03-13 Yoshiharu Maeno

For well over a quarter century, detection systems have been driven by models learned from input features collected from real or simulated environments. An artifact (e.g., network event, potential malware sample, suspicious email) is deemed…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2018-04-03 Z. Berkay Celik , Patrick McDaniel , Rauf Izmailov , Nicolas Papernot , Ryan Sheatsley , Raquel Alvarez , Ananthram Swami

Reinforcement learning (RL), owing to its adaptability to various dynamic systems in many real-world scenarios and the capability of maximizing long-term outcomes under different constraints, has been used in infectious disease control to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Mutong Liu , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

Epidemics of infectious diseases are an important threat to public health and global economies. Yet, the development of prevention strategies remains a challenging process, as epidemics are non-linear and complex processes. For this reason,…

Responding to disease outbreaks requires close surveillance of their trajectories, but outbreak detection is hindered by the high noise in epidemic time series. Aggregating information across data sources has shown great denoising ability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Ruiqi Lyu , Alistair Turcan , Bryan Wilder

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need to upgrade systems for infectious disease surveillance and forecasting and modeling of the spread of infection, both of which inform evidence-based public health guidance and policies. Here, we…

A key characteristic of the spread of infectious diseases is their ability to use efficient transmission paths within contact graphs. This enables the pathogen to maximise infection rates and spread within a target population. In this work,…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-06-11 Shishir Nagaraja

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the integration of interpretable machine learning techniques has garnered significant attention, offering transparent and understandable insights crucial for informed clinical decision making. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Jinzhi Shen , Ke Ma

Current methods for the detection of contagious outbreaks give contemporaneous information about the course of an epidemic at best. Individuals at the center of a social network are likely to be infected sooner, on average, than those at…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2011-07-26 Nicholas A. Christakis , James H. Fowler

Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The proliferation of early diagnostic technologies, including self-monitoring systems and wearables, coupled with the application of these technologies on large segments of healthy populations may significantly aggravate the problem of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-23 Anna Fedyukova , Douglas Pires , Daniel Capurro

The study proposes a modeling framework for investigating the disease dynamics with adaptive human behavior during a disease outbreak, considering the impacts of both local observations and global information. One important application…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-26 Xinwu Qian , Jiawei Xue , Satish V. Ukkusuri

Social media has become an important source for understanding mental health, providing researchers with a way to detect conditions like depression from user-generated posts. This tutorial provides practical guidance to address common…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-08-06 Yeyubei Zhang , Zhongyan Wang , Zhanyi Ding , Yexin Tian , Jianglai Dai , Xiaorui Shen , Yunchong Liu , Yuchen Cao

Clinical researchers use disease progression models to understand patient status and characterize progression patterns from longitudinal health records. One approach for disease progression modeling is to describe patient status using a…

In this paper we first introduce the general stochastic epidemic model for the spread of infectious diseases. Then we give methods for inferring model parameters such as the basic reproduction number $R_0$ and vaccination coverage $v_c$…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-14 Tom Britton , Federica Giardina

Current deep learning based disease diagnosis systems usually fall short in catastrophic forgetting, i.e., directly fine-tuning the disease diagnosis model on new tasks usually leads to abrupt decay of performance on previous tasks. What is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-03-08 Zifeng Wang , Yifan Yang , Rui Wen , Xi Chen , Shao-Lun Huang , Yefeng Zheng

Globally, the outbreaks of infectious diseases have exerted an extremely profound and severe influence on health security and the economy. During the critical phases of epidemics, devising effective intervention measures poses a significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-08 Baida Zhang , Yakai Chen , Huichun Li , Zhenghu Zu

Accurate disease detection is of paramount importance for effective medical treatment and patient care. However, the process of disease detection is often associated with extensive medical testing and considerable costs, making it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Haokun Zhao , Yingzhe Bai , Qingyang Xu , Lixin Zhou , Jianxin Chen , Jicong Fan