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Despite exceptional predictive performance of Deep sequence models (DSMs), the main concern of their deployment centers around the lack of uncertainty awareness. In contrast, probabilistic models quantify the uncertainty associated with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Wenlong Chen

In this article, we propose a non-parametric Bayesian level-set method for simultaneous reconstruction of two different piecewise constant coefficients in an elliptic partial differential equation. We show that the Bayesian formulation of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-28 Anuj Abhishek , Thilo Strauss , Taufiquar Khan

In this paper we consider the estimation of unknown parameters in Bayesian inverse problems. In most cases of practical interest, there are several barriers to performing such estimation, This includes a numerical approximation of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

In this work the issue of Bayesian inference for stationary data is addressed. Therefor a parametrization of a statistically suitable subspace of the the shift-ergodic probability measures on a Cartesian product of some finite state space…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-24 Fritz Moritz von Rohrscheidt

We consider the problem of estimating states and parameters in a model based on a system of coupled stochastic differential equations, based on noisy discrete-time data. Special attention is given to nonlinear dynamics and state-dependent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-01 Uffe Høgsbro Thygesen , Kasper Kristensen

We introduce a physics-driven deep latent variable model (PDDLVM) to learn simultaneously parameter-to-solution (forward) and solution-to-parameter (inverse) maps of parametric partial differential equations (PDEs). Our formulation…

In emergency response and other high-stakes societal applications, early-stage state estimates critically shape downstream outcomes. Yet, these initial state estimates-often based on limited or biased information-can be severely misaligned…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Yiwei Shi , Hongnan Ma , Mengyue Yang , Cunjia Liu , Weiru Liu

In this paper, we introduce a novel, data-driven approach for solving high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems based on partial differential equations (PDEs), called Weak Neural Variational Inference (WNVI). The method complements real…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-31 Vincent C. Scholz , Yaohua Zang , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Traditional partial differential equations with constant coefficients often struggle to capture abrupt changes in real-world phenomena, leading to the development of variable coefficient PDEs and Markovian switching models. Recently,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-02 Yi Zhang , Zhikun Zhang , Xiangjun Wang

Spatial reaction-diffusion models have been employed to describe many emergent phenomena in biological systems. The modelling technique most commonly adopted in the literature implements systems of partial differential equations (PDEs),…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-10-05 Christian A. Yates , Mark B. Flegg

Identifying dynamical system (DS) is a vital task in science and engineering. Traditional methods require numerous calls to the DS solver, rendering likelihood-based or least-squares inference frameworks impractical. For efficient parameter…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-19 Ying Zhou , Jinglai Li , Xiang Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

Inverse problems are ubiquitous because they formalize the integration of data with mathematical models. In many scientific applications the forward model is expensive to evaluate, and adjoint computations are difficult to employ; in this…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-11-05 G. A. Pavliotis , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

The numerical solution of differential equations can be formulated as an inference problem to which formal statistical approaches can be applied. However, nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) pose substantial challenges from an…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-08-26 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Oksana Chkrebtii , T. J. Sullivan , Chris. J. Oates

The use of non-differentiable priors in Bayesian statistics has become increasingly popular, in particular in Bayesian imaging analysis. Current state of the art methods are approximate in the sense that they replace the posterior with a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-17 Jacob Vorstrup Goldman , Torben Sell , Sumeetpal Sidhu Singh

We propose a novel a-posteriori error estimation technique where the target quantities of interest are ratios of high-dimensional integrals, as occur e.g. in PDE constrained Bayesian inversion and PDE constrained optimal control subject to…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-07-07 Marcello Longo , Christoph Schwab , Andreas Stein

Often the regression function is specified by a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) involving some unknown parameters. Typically analytical solution of the ODEs is not available, and hence likelihood evaluation at many…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-23 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

This paper presents a novel stochastic optimisation methodology to perform empirical Bayesian inference in semi-blind image deconvolution problems. Given a blurred image and a parametric class of possible operators, the proposed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Charlesquin Kemajou Mbakam , Marcelo Pereyra , Jean-François Giovannelli

Undirected graphical models are widely used in statistics, physics and machine vision. However Bayesian parameter estimation for undirected models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior typically involves the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-03-19 Richard G. Everitt

A method for sequential Bayesian inference of the static parameters of a dynamic state space model is proposed. The method is based on the observation that many dynamic state space models have a relatively small number of static parameters…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-28 Arnab Bhattacharya , Simon Wilson

We present two approaches to system identification, i.e. the identification of partial differential equations (PDEs) from measurement data. The first is a regression-based Variational System Identification procedure that is advantageous in…

计算物理 · 物理学 2024-03-28 Zhenlin Wang , Bowei Wu , Krishna Garikipati , Xun Huan