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The paper constructs a multi-variate Hawkes process model of Bitcoin block arrivals and price jumps. Hawkes processes are selfexciting point processes that can capture the self- and cross-excitation effects of block mining and Bitcoin price…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2022-04-01 Rui Luo , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Erik Blasch

In recent years, cryptocurrencies have attracted growing attention from both private investors and institutions. Among them, Bitcoin stands out for its impressive volatility and widespread influence. This paper explores the predictability…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-04-29 Grégory Bournassenko

We present an analysis of the Proof-of-Work consensus algorithm, used on the Bitcoin blockchain, using a Mean Field Game framework. Using a master equation, we provide an equilibrium characterization of the total computational power devoted…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-04-21 Charles Bertucci , Louis Bertucci , Jean-Michel Lasry , Pierre-Louis Lions

Mining processes of Bitcoin and similar cryptocurrencies are currently incentivized with voluntary transaction fees and fixed block rewards which will halve gradually to zero. In the setting where optional and arbitrary transaction fee…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2022-07-14 Tiantian Gong , Mohsen Minaei , Wenhai Sun , Aniket Kate

The arisen of Bitcoin has led to much enthusiasm for blockchain research and block mining, and the extensive existence of mining pools helps its participants (i.e., miners) gain reward more frequently. Recently, the mining pools are proved…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2020-08-18 Zhihuai Chen , Bo Li , Xiaohan Shan , Xiaoming Sun , Jialin Zhang

A proof of work (PoW) blockchain protocol distributes rewards to its participants, called miners, according to their share of the total computational power. Sufficiently large miners can perform selfish mining - deviate from the protocol to…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-09-16 Roi Bar-Zur , Ittay Eyal , Aviv Tamar

We present a strategy for a single quantum miner with relatively low hashing power, with the same ramifications as a 51% attack. Bitcoin nodes consider the chain with the highest cumulative proof-of-work to be the valid chain. A quantum…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-10-01 Bolton Bailey , Or Sattath

We consider the hedging problem where a futures position can be automatically liquidated by the exchange without notice. We derive a semi-closed form for an optimal hedging strategy with dual objectives - to minimise both the variance of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-08-11 Carol Alexander , Jun Deng , Bin Zou

Several attacks have been proposed against Proof-of-Work blockchains, which may increase the attacker's share of mining rewards (e.g., selfish mining, block withholding). A further impact of such attacks, which has not been considered in…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-03-16 Yoko Shibuya , Go Yamamoto , Fuhito Kojima , Elaine Shi , Shin'ichiro Matsuo , Aron Laszka

The core of many cryptocurrencies is the decentralised validation network operating on proof-of-work technology. In these systems, validation is done by so-called miners who can digitally sign blocks once they solve a computationally-hard…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-05-04 Sheng-Nan Li , Carlo Campajola , Claudio J. Tessone

Cryptocurrencies employ auction-esque transaction fee mechanisms (TFMs) to allocate transactions to blocks, and to determine how much fees miners can collect from transactions. Several impossibility results show that TFMs that satisfy a…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Yotam Gafni , Aviv Yaish

In this short note we show that the Bitcoin network can allow remote parties to gamble with their bitcoins by tossing a fair or biased coin, with no need for a trusted party, and without the possibility of extortion by dishonest parties who…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2014-02-18 Adam Back , Iddo Bentov

We study the strategic considerations of miners participating in the bitcoin's protocol. We formulate and study the stochastic game that underlies these strategic considerations. The miners collectively build a tree of blocks, and they are…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2016-07-11 Aggelos Kiayias , Elias Koutsoupias , Maria Kyropoulou , Yiannis Tselekounis

We present a new Bitcoin coin selection algorithm, "coin selection with leverage", which aims to improve upon cost savings than that of standard knapsack like approaches. Parameters to the new algorithm are available to be tuned at the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2019-11-14 Daniel J. Diroff

In this paper we develop a linear expectile hidden Markov model for the analysis of cryptocurrency time series in a risk management framework. The methodology proposed allows to focus on extreme returns and describe their temporal evolution…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-19 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

We give an explicit definition of decentralization and show you that decentralization is almost impossible for the current stage and Bitcoin is the first truly noncentralized currency in the currency history. We propose a new framework of…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2016-09-12 Xiaochao Qian

What happens to mining when the Bitcoin price changes, when there are mining supply shocks, the price of energy changes, or hardware technology evolves? We give precise answers based on the technical forces and incentives in the system. We…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-21 Nemo Semret

Proof-of-Work (PoW) is a Sybil control mechanism adopted in blockchain-based cryptocurrencies. It prevents the attempt of malicious actors to manipulate distributed ledgers. Bitcoin has successfully suppressed double-spending by accepting…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2022-08-31 Suhyeon Lee , Donghwan Lee , Seungjoo Kim

The Bitcoin cryptocurrency records its transactions in a public log called the blockchain. Its security rests critically on the distributed protocol that maintains the blockchain, run by participants called miners. Conventional wisdom…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2013-11-18 Ittay Eyal , Emin Gun Sirer

We prove Bitcoin is secure under temporary dishonest majority. We assume the adversary can corrupt a specific fraction of parties and also introduce crash failures, i.e., some honest participants are offline during the execution of the…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2019-08-02 Georgia Avarikioti , Lukas Kaeppeli , Yuyi Wang , Roger Wattenhofer