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Data assimilation (DA) estimates a dynamical system's state from noisy observations. Recent generative models like the ensemble score filter (EnSF) improve DA in high-dimensional nonlinear settings but are computationally expensive. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Taos Transue , Bohan Chen , So Takao , Bao Wang

The ensemble Gaussian mixture filter (EnGMF) is a powerful, convergent particle filter capable of medium-to-high dimensional non-linear filtering. The EnGMF relies on a resampling step that can generate physically unrealistic posterior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Zain Jabbar , Andrey A. Popov

This paper presents the machine learning-based ensemble conditional mean filter (ML-EnCMF) -- a filtering method based on the conditional mean filter (CMF) previously introduced in the literature. The updated mean of the CMF matches that of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-02 Truong-Vinh Hoang , Sebastian Krumscheid , Hermann G. Matthies , Raúl Tempone

Nonlinear/non-Gaussian filtering has broad applications in many areas of life sciences where either the dynamic is nonlinear and/or the probability density function of uncertain state is non-Gaussian. In such problems, the accuracy of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-08-02 Hatef Monajemi , Peter K. Kitanidis

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is an efficient algorithm for many data assimilation problems. In certain circumstances, however, divergence of the EnKF might be spotted. In previous studies, the authors proposed an…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-08-19 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

We explore the potential of Data-Assimilation (DA) within the multi-scale framework of a shell model of turbulence, with a focus on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). The central objective is to understand how measuring mesoscales (i.e.,…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2026-01-15 Francesco Fossella , Luca Biferale , Alberto Carrassi , Massimo Cencini , Vikrant Gupta

A Data Assimilation (DA) strategy based on an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is used to enhance the predictive capabilities of scale resolving numerical tools for the analysis of flows exhibiting cyclic behaviour. More precisely, an ensemble…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-03-20 Lucas Villanueva , Karine Truffin , Jacques Borée , Marcello Meldi

Transformer-based models are at the forefront in long time-series forecasting (LTSF). While in many cases, these models are able to achieve state of the art results, they suffer from a bias toward low-frequencies in the data and high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Elisha Dayag , Nhat Thanh Van Tran , Jack Xin

Filtering - the task of estimating the conditional distribution for states of a dynamical system given partial and noisy observations - is important in many areas of science and engineering, including weather and climate prediction.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Eviatar Bach , Ricardo Baptista , Enoch Luk , Andrew Stuart

We present a novel sampling-based method for estimating probabilities of rare or failure events. Our approach is founded on the Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for inverse problems. Therefore, we reformulate the rare event problem as an…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-12-15 Fabian Wagner , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

In a global numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling framework we study the implementation of Gaussian uncertainty of individual particles into the assimilation step of a localized adaptive particle filter (LAPF). We obtain a local…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-16 Anne Rojahn , Nora Schenk , Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Roland Potthast

In this paper, stochastic optimal control problems in continuous time and space are considered. In recent years, such problems have received renewed attention from the lens of reinforcement learning (RL) which is also one of our motivation.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-29 Anant A. Joshi , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta , Sean P. Meyn

A new type of ensemble filter is proposed, which combines an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) with the ideas of morphing and registration from image processing. This results in filters suitable for nonlinear problems whose solutions exhibit…

动力系统 · 数学 2011-11-09 Jonathan D. Beezley , Jan Mandel

This paper develops efficient ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) implementations based on shrinkage covariance estimation. The forecast ensemble members at each step are used to estimate the background error covariance matrix via the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-03 Elias D. Nino-Ruiz , Adrian Sandu

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a Monte Carlo approximation of the Kalman filter for high dimensional linear Gaussian state space models. EnKF methods have also been developed for parameter inference of static Bayesian models with a…

In many physical applications, the system's state varies with spatial variables as well as time. The state of such systems is modelled by partial differential equations and evolves on an infinite-dimensional space. Systems modelled by…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-02-17 Sepideh Afshar , Fabian Germ , Kirsten A. Morris

Data assimilation has been applied to coastal hydrodynamic models to better estimate system states or parameters by incorporating observed data into the model. Kalman Filter (KF) is one of the most studied data assimilation methods whose…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-07-05 Milad Hooshyar , Stephen C. Medeiros , Dingbao Wang , Scott C. Hagen

Compressed Estimation approaches, such as the Generalised Compressed Kalman Filter (GCKF), reduce the computational cost and complexity of high dimensional and high frequency data assimilation problems; usually without sacrificing…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-11-21 Karan Narula , Jose Guivant

Ensemble Kalman Filtering (EnKF) is a popular technique for data assimilation, with far ranging applications. However, the vanilla EnKF framework is not well-defined when perturbations are nonlinear. We study two non-linear extensions of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-24 Zachariah Malik , Romit Maulik

To date most linear and nonlinear Kalman filters (KFs) have been developed under the Gaussian assumption and the well-known minimum mean square error (MMSE) criterion. In order to improve the robustness with respect to impulsive (or…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-04-18 Badong Chen , Lujuan Dang , Yuantao Gu , Nanning Zheng , Jose C. Prıncipe