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In real-world decision-making problems, for instance in the fields of finance, robotics or autonomous driving, keeping uncertainty under control is as important as maximizing expected returns. Risk aversion has been addressed in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-09 Lorenzo Bisi , Luca Sabbioni , Edoardo Vittori , Matteo Papini , Marcello Restelli

This paper presents a model-free reinforcement learning (RL) algorithm to solve the risk-averse optimal control (RAOC) problem for discrete-time nonlinear systems. While successful RL algorithms have been presented to learn optimal control…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-03-29 Yuzhen Han , Majid Mazouchi , Subramanya Nageshrao , Hamidreza Modares

We present an elementary state augmentation method for a class of static risk measure applied to the total cost for both Markov decision processes and stochastic optimal control, such that dynamic programming equations can be derived on the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-07 Cristian Chávez , Yan Li

The problem of achieving a good trade-off in Stochastic Model Predictive Control between the competing goals of improving the average performance and reducing conservativeness, while still guaranteeing recursive feasibility and low…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-06-21 Matthias Lorenzen , Frank Allgöwer , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo

The frequency of wildfire disasters has surged five-fold in the past 50 years due to climate change. Preemptive de-energization is a potent strategy to mitigate wildfire risks but substantially impacts customers. We propose a multistage…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-04-10 Hanbin Yang , Noah Rhodes , Haoxiang Yang , Line Roald , Lewis Ntaimo

We consider the safety evaluation of discrete time, stochastic systems over a finite horizon. Therefore, we discuss and link probabilistic invariance with reachability as well as reach-avoid problems. We show how to efficiently compute…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-17 Niklas Schmid , John Lygeros

Both for the theoretical and practical treatment of Inverse Problems, the modeling of the noise is a crucial part. One either models the measurement via a deterministic worst-case error assumption or assumes a certain stochastic behavior of…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-26 Daniel Gerth , Andreas Hofinger , Ronny Ramlau

This paper proposes a safety analysis method that facilitates a tunable balance between the worst-case and risk-neutral perspectives. First, we define a risk-sensitive safe set to specify the degree of safety attained by a stochastic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-28 Margaret P. Chapman , Jonathan P. Lacotte , Kevin M. Smith , Insoon Yang , Yuxi Han , Marco Pavone , Claire J. Tomlin

The ongoing concern about systemic risk since the outburst of the global financial crisis has highlighted the need for risk measures at the level of sets of interconnected financial components, such as portfolios, institutions or members of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-03-24 Yannick Armenti , Stephane Crepey , Samuel Drapeau , Antonis Papapantoleon

This paper considers a stochastic production planning problem with regime switching. There are two regimes corresponding to different economic cycles. A factory is planning its production so as to minimize production costs. We analyze this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-01-26 Elena Cristina Canepa , Dragos-Patru Covei , Traian A. Pirvu

Robust optimization safeguards decisions against uncertainty by optimizing against worst-case scenarios, yet their effectiveness hinges on a prespecified robustness level that is often chosen ad hoc, leading to either insufficient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-02 Wenbin Zhou , Shixiang Zhu

Any optimization algorithm based on the risk parity approach requires the formulation of portfolio total risk in terms of marginal contributions. In this paper we use the independence of the underlying factors in the market to derive the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2014-09-30 Lorenzo Mercuri , Edit Rroji

We develop an approach for solving time-consistent risk-sensitive stochastic optimization problems using model-free reinforcement learning (RL). Specifically, we assume agents assess the risk of a sequence of random variables using dynamic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-01 Anthony Coache , Sebastian Jaimungal

We present an historical overview about the connections between the analysis of risk and the control of autonomous systems. We offer two main contributions. Our first contribution is to propose three overlapping paradigms to classify the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-07-13 Yuheng Wang , Margaret P. Chapman

This paper investigates the use of retrospective approximation solution paradigm in solving risk-averse optimization problems effectively via importance sampling (IS). While IS serves as a prominent means for tackling the large sample…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-06-28 Anand Deo , Karthyek Murthy , Tirtho Sarker

In this paper, we address the problem of designing stochastic model predictive control (MPC) schemes for linear systems affected by unbounded disturbances. The contribution of the paper is twofold. First, motivated by the difficulty of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-21 Mirko Fiacchini , Martina Mammarella , Fabrizio Dabbene

A method is developed to numerically solve chance constrained optimal control problems. The chance constraints are reformulated as nonlinear constraints that retain the probability properties of the original constraint. The reformulation…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-05-29 Rachel E. Keil , Alexander T. Miller , Mrinal Kumar , Anil V. Rao

We investigate statistical properties of the optimal value of the Sample Average Approximation of stochastic programs, continuing the study in Kr\"atschmer (2023). Central Limit Theorem type results are derived for the optimal value. As a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-12 Volker Krätschmer

When optimizing problems with uncertain parameter values in a linear objective, decision-focused learning enables end-to-end learning of these values. We are interested in a stochastic scheduling problem, in which processing times are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-16 Kim van den Houten , David M. J. Tax , Esteban Freydell , Mathijs de Weerdt

This paper investigates the stakes of introducing probabilistic approaches for the management of power system's security. In real-time operation, the aim is to arbitrate in a rational way between preventive and corrective control, while…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-02-18 Efthymios Karangelos , Patrick Panciatici , Louis Wehenkel