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This paper extends the optimal covariance steering problem for linear stochastic systems subject to chance constraints to account for optimal risk allocation. Previous works have assumed a uniform risk allocation to cast the optimal control…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-04-14 Joshua Pilipovsky , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Adaptive experiment designs can dramatically improve statistical efficiency in randomized trials, but they also complicate statistical inference. For example, it is now well known that the sample mean is biased in adaptive trials.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-16 Vitor Hadad , David A. Hirshberg , Ruohan Zhan , Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

In the classical stochastic resetting problem, a particle, moving according to some stochastic dynamics, undergoes random interruptions that bring it to a selected domain, and then, the process recommences. Hitherto, the resetting mechanism…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-12-08 Carlos A. Plata , Deepak Gupta , Sandro Azaele

Supply chains' increasing globalization and complexity have recently produced unpredictable disruptions, ripple effects, and cascading resulting failures. Proposed practices for managing these concerns include the advanced field of forward…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2025-11-27 Madison Smith , Michael Gaiewski , Sam Dulin , Laurel Williams , Jeffrey Keisler , Andrew Jin , Igor Linkov

We introduce adaptive sampling methods for stochastic programs with deterministic constraints. First, we propose and analyze a variant of the stochastic projected gradient method where the sample size used to approximate the reduced…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-02-07 Florian Beiser , Brendan Keith , Simon Urbainczyk , Barbara Wohlmuth

In this paper, we present Robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) problems with adjustable uncertainty sets. In contrast to standard Robust MPC problems with known uncertainty sets, we treat the uncertainty sets in our problems as additional…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-09-21 Yeojun Kim , Xiaojing Zhang , Jacopo Guanetti , Francesco Borrelli

In this paper, we propose a general theory of ambiguity-averse MDPs, which treats the uncertain transition probabilities as random variables and evaluates a policy via a risk measure applied to its random return. This ambiguity-averse MDP…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Axel Benyamine , Julien Grand-Clément , Marek Petrik , Michael I. Jordan , Alain Durmus

In this paper, we develop an approach to recursively estimate the quadratic risk for matrix recovery problems regularized with spectral functions. Toward this end, in the spirit of the SURE theory, a key step is to compute the (weak)…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-11-07 Charles-Alban Deledalle , Samuel Vaiter , Gabriel Peyré , Jalal Fadili , Charles Dossal

It is often the case that risk assessment and prognostics are viewed as related but separate tasks. This chapter describes a risk-based approach to prognostics that seeks to provide a tighter coupling between risk assessment and fault…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-18 John W. Sheppard

Disaster management is a complex problem demanding sophisticated modeling approaches. We propose utilizing a hybrid method involving inverse optimization to parameterize the cost functions for a road network's traffic equilibrium problem…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-10-04 Stephanie Allen , Daria Terekhov , Steven A. Gabriel

The most common approaches for solving stochastic resource allocation problems in the research literature is to either use value functions ("dynamic programming") or scenario trees ("stochastic programming") to approximate the impact of a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-06 Saeed Ghadimi , Raymond T. Perkins , Warren B. Powell

In classical Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), action costs and transition probabilities are assumed to be known, although an accurate estimation of these parameters is often not possible in practice. This study addresses MDPs under cost…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-06-24 Merve Merakli , Simge Kucukyavuz

Electricity systems are experiencing increased effects of randomness and variability due to emerging stochastic assets. The increased effects introduce new uncertainties into power systems that can impact system operability and reliability.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-10 Naeem Turner-Bandele , Amritanshu Pandey , Larry Pileggi

Risk-bounded motion planning is an important yet difficult problem for safety-critical tasks. While existing mathematical programming methods offer theoretical guarantees in the context of constrained Markov decision processes, they either…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-05 Xin Huang , Meng Feng , Ashkan Jasour , Guy Rosman , Brian Williams

In this paper, we propose a chance constrained stochastic model predictive control scheme for reference tracking of distributed linear time-invariant systems with additive stochastic uncertainty. The chance constraints are reformulated…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

We present a heuristic policy and performance bound for risk-sensitive convex stochastic control that generalizes linear-exponential-quadratic regulator (LEQR) theory. Our heuristic policy extends standard, risk-neutral model predictive…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-05-30 Nicholas Moehle

Over the last few decades, electricity markets around the world have adopted multi-settlement structures, allowing for balancing of supply and demand as more accurate forecast information becomes available. Given increasing uncertainty due…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-16 Nathan Dahlin , Rahul Jain

In this paper, we discuss the utilization of perturbed risk levels (PRLs) for the solution of chance-constrained problems via sampling-based approaches. PRLs allow the consideration of distributional ambiguity by rescaling the risk level of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-12 Moritz Heinlein , Teodoro Alamo , Sergio Lucia

Recently, there has been a surge in interest in safe and robust techniques within reinforcement learning (RL). Current notions of risk in RL fail to capture the potential for systemic failures such as abrupt stoppages from system failures…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-10-09 David Mguni

This paper proposes a new event-based parameter switching method for the control tasks of cybersecurity in the context of preventive and reactive cyber defense dynamics. Our parameter switching method helps avoid excessive control costs as…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-04-28 Zhaofeng Liu , Wenlian Lu , Yingying Lang