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In this paper, we present a numerical framework for constructing bounds on stationary performance measures of random walks in the positive orthant using the Markov reward approach. These bounds are established in terms of stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-22 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

We consider a discrete latent variable model for two-way data arrays, which allows one to simultaneously produce clusters along one of the data dimensions (e.g. exchangeable observational units or features) and contiguous groups, or…

In this work, we focus on the stationary analysis of a specific class of continuous time Markov-modulated reflected random walks in the quarter plane with applications in the modelling of two-node Markov-modulated queueing networks with…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-02 Ioannis Dimitriou

Approximate Bayesian computation methods are useful for generative models with intractable likelihoods. These methods are however sensitive to the dimension of the parameter space, requiring exponentially increasing resources as this…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Grégoire Clarté , Christian P. Robert , Robin Ryder , Julien Stoehr

Spatial birth-and-death processes with a finite number of particles are obtained as unique solutions to certain stochastic equations. Conditions are given for existence and uniqueness of such solutions, as well as for continuous dependence…

概率论 · 数学 2015-02-25 Viktor Bezborodov

In this paper we present an alternative representation of the Negative Binomial--Lindley distribution recently proposed by Zamani and Ismail (2010) which shows some advantages over the latter model. This new formulation provides a tractable…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-16 Emilio Gomez-Deniz , Enrique Calderin-Ojeda

We derive the exact solution of a one-dimensional Markov functional model with log-normally distributed interest rates in discrete time. The model is shown to have two distinct limiting states, corresponding to small and asymptotically…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-19 Dan Pirjol

We propose a probability distribution for multivariate binary random variables. The probability distribution is expressed as principal minors of the parameter matrix, which is a matrix analogous to the inverse covariance matrix in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-08 Takashi Arai

Asymptotic properties of Markov Processes, such as steady state probabilities or hazard rate for absorbing states can be efficiently calculated by means of linear algebra even for large-scale problems. This paper discusses the methods for…

性能 · 计算机科学 2017-05-17 Vitali Volovoi

We introduce a powerful and flexible MCMC algorithm for stochastic simulation. The method builds on a pseudo-marginal method originally introduced in [Genetics 164 (2003) 1139--1160], showing how algorithms which are approximations to an…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-04-01 Christophe Andrieu , Gareth O. Roberts

This paper is intended to give closed formulae for binomial determinants with consecutive or almost consecutive rows or columns, as well as calculating the generator of left nullspaces defined by some binomial matrices. In the meantime, we…

组合数学 · 数学 2026-04-01 Laura González , Francesc Planas-Vilanova

For a network of discrete states with a periodically driven Markovian dynamics, we develop an inference scheme for an external observer who has access to some transitions. Based on waiting-time distributions between these transitions, the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-09-12 Alexander M. Maier , Julius Degünther , Jann van der Meer , Udo Seifert

Markov networks are popular models for discrete multivariate systems where the dependence structure of the variables is specified by an undirected graph. To allow for more expressive dependence structures, several generalizations of Markov…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Johan Pensar , Henrik Nyman , Jukka Corander

Markov chains for probability distributions related to matrix product states and 1D Hamiltonians are introduced. With appropriate 'inverse temperature' schedules, these chains can be combined into a random approximation scheme for ground…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2014-05-14 S. Iblisdir

We consider a piecewise deterministic Markov decision process, where the expected exponential utility of total (nonnegative) cost is to be minimized. The cost rate, transition rate and post-jump distributions are under control. The state…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-22 Xin Guo , Yi Zhang

We discuss general concept of Markov statistical dynamics in the continuum. For a class of spatial birth-and-death models, we develop a perturbative technique for the construction of statistical dynamics. Particular examples of such systems…

泛函分析 · 数学 2015-01-27 Dmitri Finkelshtein , Yuri Kondratiev , Oleksandr Kutoviy

We consider the filtering problem of estimating a hidden random variable $X$ by noisy observations. The noisy observation process is constructed by a randomised Markov bridge (RMB) $(Z_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ of which terminal value is set to…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-17 Andrea Macrina , Jun Sekine

We report some properties of heavy-tailed Sibuya-like distributions related to thinning, self-decomposability and branching processes. Extension of the thinning operation of on-negative integer-valued random variables to scaling by…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-03 Lev B. Klebanov , Michal Šumbera

Deep Markov models (DMM) are generative models that are scalable and expressive generalization of Markov models for representation, learning, and inference problems. However, the fundamental stochastic stability guarantees of such models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-09 Ján Drgoňa , Sayak Mukherjee , Jiaxin Zhang , Frank Liu , Mahantesh Halappanavar

This paper contributes an in-depth study of properties of continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs) on non-negative integer lattices $\N_0^d$, with particular interest in one-dimensional CTMCs with polynomial transitions rates. Such stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-22 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf