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There is resurging interest, in statistics and machine learning, in solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that return probability measures instead of point estimates. Recently, Conrad et al. introduced a sampling-based class of…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2018-11-06 Hans Kersting , Philipp Hennig

This paper focusses on the formulation of numerical integration as an inferential task. To date, research effort has largely focussed on the development of Bayesian cubature, whose distributional output provides uncertainty quantification…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-21 Toni Karvonen , Chris J. Oates , Simo Särkkä

This article is concerned with Gaussian process quadratures, which are numerical integration methods based on Gaussian process regression methods, and sigma-point methods, which are used in advanced non-linear Kalman filtering and smoothing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-24 Simo Särkkä , Jouni Hartikainen , Lennart Svensson , Fredrik Sandblom

A stable square-root approach has been recently proposed for the unscented Kalman filter (UKF) and fifth-degree cubature Kalman filter (5D-CKF) as well as for the mixed-type methods consisting of the extended Kalman filter (EKF) time update…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-06 Maria V. Kulikova , Gennady Yu. Kulikov

The aim of this article is to design a moment transformation for Student- t distributed random variables, which is able to account for the error in the numerically computed mean. We employ Student-t process quadrature, an instance of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-17 Jakub Prüher , Filip Tronarp , Toni Karvonen , Simo Särkkä , Ondřej Straka

Bayesian cubature provides a flexible framework for numerical integration, in which a priori knowledge on the integrand can be encoded and exploited. This additional flexibility, compared to many classical cubature methods, comes at a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Toni Karvonen , Simo Särkkä , Chris. J. Oates

A priori state vector and error covariance computation for the Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) is described. The original UKF propagates multiple sigma points to compute the a priori mean state vector and the error covariance, resulting in a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-29 Sanat Biswas , Li Qiao , Andrew Dempster

In this work, we explore the recent advances in equivariant filtering for inertial navigation systems to improve state estimation for uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAVs). Traditional state-of-the-art estimation methods, e.g., the multiplicative…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-10-17 Martin Scheiber , Alessandro Fornasier , Christian Brommer , Stephan Weiss

Computation of moments of transformed random variables is a problem appearing in many engineering applications. The current methods for moment transformation are mostly based on the classical quadrature rules which cannot account for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-06 Jakub Prüher , Ondřej Straka

Bayesian quadrature is a probabilistic, model-based approach to numerical integration, the estimation of intractable integrals, or expectations. Although Bayesian quadrature was popularised already in the 1980s, no systematic and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Maren Mahsereci , Toni Karvonen

Quantum metrology derives its capabilities from the careful employ of quantum resources for carrying out measurements. This advantage, however, relies on refined data postprocessing, assessed based on the variance of the estimated…

The Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) is a ubiquitous tool for nonlinear state estimation; however, its performance is limited by the static parameterization of the Unscented Transform (UT). Conventional weighting schemes, governed by fixed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Kenan Majewski , Michał Modzelewski , Marcin Żugaj , Piotr Lichota

We examine the problem of time delay estimation, or temporal calibration, in the context of multisensor data fusion. Differences in processing intervals and other factors typically lead to a relative delay between measurement updates from…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-18 Jonathan Kelly , Christopher Grebe , Matthew Giamou

Recent research in inverse cognition with cognitive radar has led to the development of inverse stochastic filters that are employed by the target to infer the information the cognitive radar may have learned. Prior works addressed this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-04-22 Himali Singh , Kumar Vijay Mishra , Arpan Chattopadhyay

Bayesian Model Calibration is used to revisit the problem of scaling factor calibration for semi-empirical correction of ab initio harmonic properties (e.g. vibrational frequencies and zero-point energies). A particular attention is devoted…

化学物理 · 物理学 2016-11-15 Pascal Pernot , Fabien Cailliez

Bayesian quadrature (BQ) is a method for solving numerical integration problems in a Bayesian manner, which allows users to quantify their uncertainty about the solution. The standard approach to BQ is based on a Gaussian process (GP)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-03 Harrison Zhu , Xing Liu , Ruya Kang , Zhichao Shen , Seth Flaxman , François-Xavier Briol

Most nonlinear filters used in spacecraft navigation are based on a linear approximation of the optimal minimum mean square error estimator. The Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) handles nonlinear dynamics through a sigma-point transform, but…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-24 Chiran Cherian , Simone Servadio

Bayesian quadrature (BQ) is a model-based numerical integration method that is able to increase sample efficiency by encoding and leveraging known structure of the integration task at hand. In this paper, we explore priors that encode…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-06 Masha Naslidnyk , Javier Gonzalez , Maren Mahsereci

Practical Bayes filters often assume the state distribution of each time step to be Gaussian for computational tractability, resulting in the so-called Gaussian filters. When facing nonlinear systems, Gaussian filters such as extended…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Zeju Sun , Chang Liu , Stephen S. -T. Yau , Shengbo Eben Li

It is often convenient to separate a state estimation task into smaller "local" tasks, where each local estimator estimates a subset of the overall system state. However, neglecting cross-covariance terms between state estimates can result…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-02-14 Mohammed Shalaby , Charles Champagne Cossette , Jerome Le Ny , James Richard Forbes
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