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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are generally regarded as the gold standard technique for Bayesian inference. They are theoretically well-understood and conceptually simple to apply in practice. The drawback of MCMC is that in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-07-17 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead

Monte Carlo sampling methods are the standard procedure for approximating complicated integrals of multidimensional posterior distributions in Bayesian inference. In this work, we focus on the class of Layered Adaptive Importance Sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-07-08 F. Llorente , E. Curbelo , L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Delgado

This paper presents multilevel hybrid transport (MLHT) methods for solving the neutral-particle Boltzmann transport equation. The proposed MLHT methods are formulated on a sequence of spatial grids using a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC)…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-12 Vincent N. Novellino , Dmitriy Y. Anistratov

In this work, we extend the hybrid Chernoff tau-leap method to the multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) setting. Inspired by the work of Anderson and Higham on the tau-leap MLMC method with uniform time steps, we develop a novel algorithm that is…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-11-24 Alvaro Moraes , Raul Tempone , Pedro Vilanova

Monte Carlo simulation is often used for the reliability assessment of power systems, but it converges slowly when the system is complex. Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) can be applied to speed up computation without compromises on model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-07-12 Ensieh Sharifnia , Simon Tindemans

We investigate a stochastic version of the synthetic multicellular clock model proposed by Garcia-Ojalvo, Elowitz and Strogatz. By introducing dynamical noise in the model and assuming that the partial observations of the system can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-12-15 Inés P. Mariño , Joaquin Miguez , Alexey Zaikin

Generative diffusion models have recently emerged as a powerful strategy to perform stochastic sampling in Bayesian inverse problems, delivering remarkably accurate solutions for a wide range of challenging applications. However, diffusion…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-05-15 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Marcelo Pereyra , Luke Shaw , Konstantinos Zygalakis

Recent work has suggested using Monte Carlo methods based on piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) to sample from target distributions of interest. PDMPs are non-reversible continuous-time processes endowed with momentum, and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-28 Paul Fearnhead , Sebastiano Grazzi , Chris Nemeth , Gareth O. Roberts

This study introduces a computationally efficient algorithm, delayed acceptance Markov chain Monte Carlo (DA-MCMC), designed to improve posterior simulation in quasi-Bayesian inference. Quasi-Bayesian methods, which do not require fully…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Masahiro Tanaka

Bayesian Experimental Design (BED), which aims to find the optimal experimental conditions for Bayesian inference, is usually posed as to optimize the expected information gain (EIG). The gradient information is often needed for efficient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-14 Ziqiao Ao , Jinglai Li

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods are applied to multi-level Finite Element (FE) discretizations of elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) with a random coefficient, to estimate expected values of linear functionals of the solution.…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-05-16 Frances Y. Kuo , Christoph Schwab , Ian H. Sloan

Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) reduces the total computational cost of financial option pricing by combining SDE approximations with multiple resolutions. This paper explores a further avenue for reducing cost and improving power efficiency…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-02-12 Irina-Beatrice Haas , Michael B. Giles

We propose a Multilevel Monte-Carlo (MLMC) method for computing entropy measure valued solutions of hyperbolic conservation laws. Sharp bounds for the narrow convergence of MLMC for the entropy measure valued solutions are proposed. An…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-11-24 Kjetil Olsen Lye

In big data context, traditional MCMC methods, such as Metropolis-Hastings algorithms and hybrid Monte Carlo, scale poorly because of their need to evaluate the likelihood over the whole data set at each iteration. In order to resurrect…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-20 Changye Wu , Christian P. Robert

We propose a Multi-level Monte Carlo technique to accelerate Monte Carlo sampling for approximation of properties of materials with random defects. The computational efficiency is investigated on test problems given by tight-binding models…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-11-30 Petr Plecháč , Erik von Schwerin

In this article we propose and develop a new methodology which is inspired from Kalman filtering and multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC), entitle the multilevel localized ensemble Kalman--Bucy Filter (MLLEnKBF). Based on the work of Chada et al.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Neil K. Chada

Over the last few years there have been dramatic advances in our understanding of mathematical and computational models of complex systems in the presence of uncertainty. This has led to a growth in the area of uncertainty quantification as…

数值分析 · 数学 2013-06-05 Maziar Raissi , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

This paper proposes a new multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for the ergodic SDEs which do not satisfy the contractivity condition. By introducing the change of measure technique, we simulate the path with contractivity and add the…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-12-11 Wei Fang , Michael B. Giles

This work proposes a scheme for significantly reducing the computational complexity of discretized problems involving the non-smooth forward propagation of uncertainty by combining the adaptive hierarchical sparse grid stochastic…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-09-07 Robert L. Gates , Maximilian R. Bittens

This paper presents two novel ensemble domain decomposition methods for fast-solving the Stokes-Darcy coupled models with random hydraulic conductivity and body force. To address such random systems, we employ the Monte Carlo (MC) method to…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-08-13 Chunchi Liu , Yao Rong , Yizhong Sun , Jiaping Yu , Haibiao Zheng