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Learning about the relationship between distance to landmarks and events and phenomena of interest is a multi-faceted problem, as it may require taking into account multiple dimensions, including: spatial position of landmarks, timing of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-09-11 Ines Levin

One measurement modality for rainfall is a fixed location rain gauge. However, extreme rainfall, flooding, and other climate extremes often occur at larger spatial scales and affect more than one location in a community. For example, in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-02 Carlynn Fagnant , Julia C. Schedler , Katherine B. Ensor

Longitudinal analysis is important in many disciplines, such as the study of behavioral transitions in social science. Only very recently, feature selection has drawn adequate attention in the context of longitudinal modeling. Standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-26 Tingyang Xu , Jiangwen Sun , Jinbo Bi

Motivated by a dataset of burglaries in Chicago, USA, we introduce a novel framework to analyze time series of count data combining common multivariate time series models with latent position network models. This novel methodology allows us…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-26 Hardeep Kaur , Riccardo Rastelli

Time series are characterized by complex memory and/or distribution patterns. In this letter we show that models obeying to different statistics may equally reproduce some pattern of a time series. In particular we discuss the difference…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Nicola Scafetta , Bruce J. West

We discuss some causal estimands used to study racial discrimination in policing. A central challenge is that not all police-civilian encounters are recorded in administrative datasets and available to researchers. One possible solution is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-16 Qingyuan Zhao , Luke J Keele , Dylan S Small , Marshall M Joffe

In social networks, neighborhood is crucial for understanding individual behavior in response to environments, and thus it is essential to analyze an individual's local perspective within the global network. This paper studies how to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Lijia Wang , Xiao Han , Yanhui Wu , Y. X. Rachel Wang

This research investigates the impact of dynamic, time-varying interactions on cooperative behaviour in social dilemmas. Traditional research has focused on deterministic rules governing pairwise interactions, yet the impact of interaction…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-08-20 Yujie He , Tianyu Ren , Xiao-Jun Zeng , Huawen Liang , Liukai Yu , Junjun Zheng

The accurate estimation of time delays is crucial in traffic congestion analysis, as this information can be used to address fundamental questions regarding the origin and propagation of traffic congestion. However, the exact measurement of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-28 YongKyung Oh , JiIn Kwak , Sungil Kim

Using observed language to understand interpersonal interactions is important in high-stakes decision making. We propose a causal research design for observational (non-experimental) data to estimate the natural direct and indirect effects…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-09-17 Katherine A. Keith , Douglas Rice , Brendan O'Connor

Chaotic systems pose fundamental challenges for data-driven dynamics discovery, as small modeling errors lead to exponentially growing trajectory discrepancies. Since exact long-term prediction is unattainable, it is natural to ask what a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Joon-Hyuk Ko , Andrus Giraldo , Deok-Sun Lee

In this paper, we consider modelling interaction between a set of variables in the context of time series and high dimension. We suggest two approaches. The first is similar to the neighborhood lasso when the lasso model is replaced by a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-05 Kamel Jebreen , Badih Ghattas

The use of video surveillance in public spaces -- both by government agencies and by private citizens -- has attracted considerable attention in recent years, particularly in light of rapid advances in face-recognition technology. But it…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-09-01 Hao Sheng , Keniel Yao , Sharad Goel

Deep learning methods achieve remarkable predictive performance in modeling complex, large-scale data. However, assessing the quality of derived models has become increasingly challenging, as more classical statistical assumptions may no…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-02 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

Spatio-temporal hierarchical modeling is an extremely attractive way to model the spread of crime or terrorism data over a given region, especially when the observations are counts and must be modeled discretely. The spatio-temporal…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-27 Nicholas J. Clark , Philip M. Dixon

The rapid expansion of ride-sharing services has caused significant disruptions in the transpor-tation industry and fundamentally altered the way individuals move from one place to another. Accurate estimation of ride-sharing improves…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Mohamed Elkhouly , Taqwa Alhadidi

Technological advances have led to a strong increase in the number of data collection efforts aimed at measuring co-presence of individuals at different spatial resolutions. It is however unclear how much co-presence data can inform us on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-05-10 Mathieu Génois , Alain Barrat

The objective of our research is to present the change in crime rates in Los Angeles post-Covid19. Using data analysis with Geo-Mapping, bubbles, Marimekko, and a time series charts, we can illustrate which areas have the largest crime…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2022-04-12 Rubab Hussain , Rigo Vargas , Hieu Hughes Le-Au , Will Gass , Melissa Fenn , Briseyda Serna-Marquez , Jongwook Woo

Spatio-temporal point process models play a central role in the analysis of spatially distributed systems in several disciplines. Yet, scalable inference remains computa- tionally challenging both due to the high resolution modelling…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-07 Botond Cseke , Andrew Zammit Mangion , Tom Heskes , Guido Sanguinetti

Both theoretical models and empirical findings suggest that the intensity of communication among groups of people declines with their degree of geographical separation. There is some evidence that rather than decaying uniformly with…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-05-25 Fei Li , Jukka-Pekka Onnela , Victor DeGruttola