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Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

Most epidemic models assume equal mixing among members of a population. An alternative approach is to model a population as random network in which individuals may have heterogeneous connectivity. This paper builds on previous research by…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Erik Volz

In this paper we present a model describing Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) type epidemics spreading on a dynamic contact network with random link activation and deletion where link ac- tivation can be locally constrained. We use and…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-05-30 Michael Taylor , Timothy J. Taylor , Istvan Z. Kiss

We investigate the effects of heterogeneous and clustered contact patterns on the timescale and final size of infectious disease epidemics. The abundance of transitive relationships (the number of 3 cliques) in a network and the variance of…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2010-06-07 Erik M Volz

Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane

Random networks with specified degree distributions have been proposed as realistic models of population structure, yet the problem of dynamically modeling SIR-type epidemics in random networks remains complex. I resolve this dilemma by…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 Erik Volz

Recent years have seen a large amount of interest in epidemics on networks as a way of representing the complex structure of contacts capable of spreading infections through the modern human population. The configuration model is a popular…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-01-23 Frank Ball , Thomas House

Epidemics on complex networks is a widely investigated topic in the last few years, mainly due to the last pandemic events. Usually, real contact networks are dynamic, hence much effort has been invested in studying epidemics on evolving…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-05-18 Hillel Sanhedrai , Shlomo Havlin

Pairwise models are used widely to model epidemic spread on networks. These include the modelling of susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemics on regular networks and extensions to SIS dynamics and contact tracing on more exotic networks…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-09-24 István Z. Kiss , Joel C. Miller , Péter L. Simon

A random network model which allows for tunable, quite general forms of clustering, degree correlation and degree distribution is defined. The model is an extension of the configuration model, in which stubs (half-edges) are paired to form…

概率论 · 数学 2012-07-31 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , David Sirl

In this paper, we propose a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model, in which each node is assigned with an identical capability of active contacts, $A$, at each time step. In contrast to the previous studies, we find that on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Rui Yang , Bing-Hong Wang , Jie Ren , Wen-Jie Bai , Zhi-Wen Shi , Wen-Xu Wang , Tao Zhou

The importance of modeling the spread of epidemics through a population has led to the development of mathematical models for infectious disease propagation. A number of empirical studies have collected and analyzed data on contacts between…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-07-28 Rehan Ahmad , Kevin S. Xu

With the premise that social interactions are described by power-law distributions, we study a SIR stochastic dynamic on a static scale-free random network generated via configuration model. We verify our model with respect to deterministic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-05-10 Sara Sottile , Ozan Kahramanoğulları , Mattia Sensi

We present a thorough inspection of the dynamical behavior of epidemic phenomena in populations with complex and heterogeneous connectivity patterns. We show that the growth of the epidemic prevalence is virtually instantaneous in all…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Marc Barthelemy , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

The adoption of prophylaxis attitudes, such as social isolation and use of face masks, to mitigate epidemic outbreaks strongly depends on the support of the population. In this work, we investigate a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-10-05 Diogo H. Silva , Celia Anteneodo , Silvio C. Ferreira

We present the mathematical analysis of generalized complex contagions in clustered multiplex networks for susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)-like dynamics. The model is intended to understand diffusion of influence, or any other…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-02-01 Yong Zhuang , Alex Arenas , Osman Yağan

In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-05-12 Ignacio A. Perez , Paul A. Trunfio , Cristian E. La Rocca , Lidia A. Braunstein

In this work we performed a numerical study of an epidemic model that mimics the endemic state of whooping cough in the pre-vaccine era. We considered a stochastic SIR model on dynamical networks that involve local and global contacts among…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-09 Martin Dottori , Gabriel Fabricius

Accurate identification of effective epidemic threshold is essential for understanding epidemic dynamics on complex networks. The existing studies on the effective epidemic threshold of the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model generally…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-06-14 Panpan Shu , Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Pengcheng Zhao , Yi-Cheng Zhang

The spread of infectious diseases crucially depends on the pattern of contacts among individuals. Knowledge of these patterns is thus essential to inform models and computational efforts. Few empirical studies are however available that…

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