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相关论文: Optimal control under uncertainty: Application to …

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In this paper, a simple heuristic is proposed for the design of uncertainty aware predictive controllers for nonlinear models involving uncertain parameters. The method relies on Machine Learning-based approximation of ideal deterministic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-05 Mazen Alamir

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

In recent years, the growing frequency and severity of natural disasters have increased the need for effective tools to manage catastrophe risk. Catastrophe (CAT) bonds allow the transfer of part of this risk to investors, offering an…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2025-12-30 Julia Kończal , Michał Balcerek , Krzysztof Burnecki

We consider a control problem constrained by the unsteady stochastic Stokes equations with nonhomogeneous boundary conditions in connected and bounded domains. In this paper, controls are defined inside the domain as well as on the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-09-05 Peter Benner , Christoph Trautwein

Robust optimization methods have shown practical advantages in a wide range of decision-making applications under uncertainty. Recently, their efficacy has been extended to multi-period settings. Current approaches model uncertainty either…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-02-23 Omid Nohadani , Kartikey Sharma

We study an industrial computer code related to nuclear safety. A major topic of interest is to assess the uncertainties tainting the results of a computer simulation. In this work we gain robustness on the quantification of a risk…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-29 Jerome Stenger , Fabrice Gamboa , Merlin Keller , Bertrand Iooss

Although uncertainty quantification has been making its way into nuclear theory, these methods have yet to be explored in the context of reaction theory. For example, it is well known that different parameterizations of the optical…

核理论 · 物理学 2017-03-01 A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes , J. Sarich , S. M. Wild

Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi

The aim of this paper is to explain how parameters adjustments can be integrated in the design or the control of automates of trading. Typically, we are interested by the online estimation of the market impacts generated by robots or single…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2017-12-06 N Baradel , B Bouchard , Ngoc Minh Dang

We can overcome uncertainty with uncertainty. Using randomness in our choices and in what we control, and hence in the decision making process, could potentially offset the uncertainty inherent in the environment and yield better outcomes.…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-10-06 Ravi Kashyap

Agent behavior is arguably the greatest source of uncertainty in trajectory planning for autonomous vehicles. This problem has motivated significant amounts of work in the behavior prediction community on learning rich distributions of the…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-07-16 Allen Wang , Ashkan Jasour , Brian Williams

We use Lyapunov-like functions and convex optimization to propagate uncertainty in the initial condition of nonlinear systems governed by ordinary differential equations. We consider the full nonlinear dynamics without approximation,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-08-04 Francesca Covella , Giovanni Fantuzzi

In this paper, we discuss optimality conditions for optimization problems involving random state constraints, which are modeled in probabilistic or almost sure form. While the latter can be understood as the limiting case of the former, the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-01-17 Caroline Geiersbach , René Henrion

We consider a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. Such uncertainty not only comes from the fact that the true probability law of the underlying stochastic process is unknown, but the parametric family…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-03-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Tao Chen

This paper deals with nonlinear mechanics of an elevator brake system subjected to uncertainties. A deterministic model that relates the braking force with uncertain parameters is deduced from mechanical equilibrium conditions. In order to…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-09-30 Piotr Wolszczak , Pawel Lonkwic , Americo Cunha , Grzegorz Litak , Szymon Molski

We design the controls of physical systems that are faced by uncertainties. The system dynamics are described by random hyperbolic balance laws. The control aims to steer the system to a desired state under uncertainties. We propose a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-07-20 Stephan Gerster , Markus Bambach , Michael Herty , Muhammad Imran

Hyperparameter tuning is a challenging problem especially when the system itself involves uncertainty. Due to noisy function evaluations, optimization under uncertainty can be computationally expensive. In this paper, we present a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-09 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

Due to their intuitive appeal, Bayesian methods of modeling and uncertainty quantification have become popular in modern machine and deep learning. When providing a prior distribution over the parameter space, it is straightforward to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-05 Ivan Melev , Goeran Kauermann

We study dynamic allocation problems for discrete time multi-armed bandits under uncertainty, based on the the theory of nonlinear expectations. We show that, under strong independence of the bandits and with some relaxation in the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-16 Samuel N. Cohen , Tanut Treetanthiploet

We consider optimal control of the scalar wave equation where the control enters as a coefficient in the principal part. Adding a total variation penalty allows showing existence of optimal controls, which requires continuity results for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-28 Christian Clason , Karl Kunisch , Philip Trautmann