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In this work, a fully nonparametric geostatistical approach to estimate threshold exceeding probabilities is proposed. To estimate the large-scale variability (spatial trend) of the process, the nonparametric local linear regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-01 Rubén Fernández-casal , Sergio Castillo-Páez , Mario Francisco-Fernández

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane

In this work, we propose a new flow-matching Markov chain Monte Carlo (FM-MCMC) algorithm for estimating the orbital parameters of exoplanetary systems, especially for those only one exoplanet is involved. Compared to traditional methods…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-11-10 Bo Liang , Hanlin Song , Chang Liu , Tianyu Zhao , Yuxiang Xu , Zihao Xiao , Manjia Liang , Minghui Du , Wei-Liang Qian , Li-e Qiang , Peng Xu , Ziren Luo

We develop sampling methods, which consist of Gaussian invariant versions of random walk Metropolis (RWM), Metropolis adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA) and second order Hessian or Manifold MALA. Unlike standard RWM and MALA we show that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Michalis K. Titsias , Angelos Alexopoulos , Siran Liu , Petros Dellaportas

Undirected graphical models are widely used in statistics, physics and machine vision. However Bayesian parameter estimation for undirected models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior typically involves the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-03-19 Richard G. Everitt

In this short note, we consider the problem of estimating multivariate hypergeometric parameters under squared error loss when side information in aggregated data is available. We use the symmetric multinomial prior to obtain Bayes…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-08 Yasuyuki Hamura

We consider Gibbs distributions, which are families of probability distributions over a discrete space $\Omega$ with probability mass function of the form $\mu^\Omega_\beta(\omega) \propto e^{\beta H(\omega)}$ for $\beta$ in an interval…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-04-04 David G. Harris , Vladimir Kolmogorov

The Expectation--Maximization (EM) algorithm is a simple meta-algorithm that has been used for many years as a methodology for statistical inference when there are missing measurements in the observed data or when the data is composed of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-15 Hideitsu Hino , Shotaro Akaho , Noboru Murata

A new empirical Bayes approach to variable selection in the context of generalized linear models is developed. The proposed algorithm scales to situations in which the number of putative explanatory variables is very large, possibly much…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-29 Haim Bar , James Booth , Martin T. Wells

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We estimate the unknown parameters of an asymmetric bifurcating autoregressive process (BAR) when some of the data are missing. In this aim, we model the observed data by a two-type Galton-Watson process consistent with the binary tree…

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-10 Benoîte de Saporta , Anne Gégout-Petit , Laurence Marsalle

Semiparametric models are useful in econometrics, social sciences and medicine application. In this paper, a new estimator based on least square methods is proposed to estimate the direction of unknown parameters in semi-parametric models.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-10 Jinyue Han , Jun Wang , Wei Gao , Man-Lai Tang

This paper deals with the estimation of the unknown distribution of hidden random variables from the observation of pairwise comparisons between these variables. This problem is inspired by recent developments on Bradley-Terry models in…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-27 Sylvain Le Corff , Matthieu Lerasle , Elodie Vernet

In this paper we develop a bivariate discrete generalized exponential distribution, whose marginals are discrete generalized exponential distribution as proposed by Nekoukhou, Alamatsaz and Bidram ("Discrete generalized exponential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-16 Vahid Nekoukhou , Debasis Kundu

Many applications in the field of statistics require Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Determining appropriate starting values and run lengths can be both analytically and empirically challenging. A desire to overcome these problems has led…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-03-09 James M. Flegal , Radu Herbei

In this paper we propose a family of multivariate asymmetric distributions over an arbitrary subset of set of real numbers which is defined in terms of the well-known elliptically symmetric distributions. We explore essential properties,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-02 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo , Leonardo Santos , João Monteiros , Felipe Quintino

In this paper, we study the problem of learning one-dimensional Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) with a specific focus on estimating both the model order and the mixing distribution from independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Xinyu Liu , Hai Zhang

The g-and-k and (generalised) g-and-h distributions are flexible univariate distributions which can model highly skewed or heavy tailed data through only four parameters: location and scale, and two shape parameters influencing the skewness…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-22 Dennis Prangle

The probability distribution of the order parameter is exploited in order to obtain the criticality of magnetic systems. Monte Carlo simulations have been employed by using single spin flip Metropolis algorithm aided by finite-size scaling…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-24 P. H. L. Martins , J. A. Plascak
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