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In this work we consider a class of uncertainty quantification problems where the system performance or reliability is characterized by a scalar parameter $y$. The performance parameter $y$ is random due to the presence of various sources…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-07-20 Keyi Wu , Jinglai Li

Modern coordinate measurement machines (CMM) are universal tools to measure geometric features of complex three-dimensional workpieces. To use them as reliable means of quality control, the suitability of the device for the specific…

仪器与探测器 · 物理学 2019-07-25 Daniel Heißelmann , Matthias Franke , Kerstin Rost , Klaus Wendt , Thomas Kistner , Carsten Schwehn

Uncertainty quantification approaches have been more critical in large language models (LLMs), particularly high-risk applications requiring reliable outputs. However, traditional methods for uncertainty quantification, such as…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-01 Ferhat Ozgur Catak , Murat Kuzlu

The multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method has been used for a wide variety of stochastic applications. In this paper we consider its use in situations in which input random variables can be replaced by similar approximate random variables…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-04-08 Mike Giles , Oliver Sheridan-Methven

Kinetic equations play a major rule in modeling large systems of interacting particles. Uncertainties may be due to various reasons, like lack of knowledge on the microscopic interaction details or incomplete informations at the boundaries.…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-05-01 Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

Monte Carlo methods play important part in modern statistical physics. The application of these methods suffer from two main difficulties.The first is caused by the relatively small number of particles that can participate in any numerical…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 A. Brandt , V. Ilyin

The Dynamic Monte Carlo (DMC) method is an established molecular simulation technique for the analysis of the dynamics in colloidal suspensions. An excellent alternative to Brownian Dynamics or Molecular Dynamics simulation, DMC is…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2020-07-15 Fabián A. García Daza , Alejandro Cuetos , Alessandro Patti

In many real-world engineering systems, the performance or reliability of the system is characterised by a scalar parameter. The distribution of this performance parameter is important in many uncertainty quantification problems, ranging…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-03 Robert Millar , Jinglai Li , Hui Li

The computational complexity of naive, sampling-based uncertainty quantification for 3D partial differential equations is extremely high. Multilevel approaches, such as multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC), can reduce the complexity significantly,…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2016-07-13 Björn Gmeiner , Daniel Drzisga , Ulrich Ruede , Robert Scheichl , Barbara Wohlmuth

We establish a notion of random entropy solution for degenerate fractional conservation laws incorporating randomness in the initial data, convective flux and diffusive flux. In order to quantify the solution uncertainty, we design a…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-10-02 Ujjwal Koley , Deep Ray , Tanmay Sarkar

Mode shape information play the essential role in deciding the spatial pattern of vibratory response of a structure. The uncertainty quantification of mode shape, i.e., predicting mode shape variation when the structure is subjected to…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-02-24 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

Uncertainty propagation in high-dimensional nonlinear dynamic structural systems is pivotal in state-of-the-art performance-based design and risk assessment, where uncertainties from both excitations and structures, i.e., the aleatoric…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Manisha Sapkota , Min Li , Bowei Li

This position paper summarizes a recently developed research program focused on inference in the context of data centric science and engineering applications, and forecasts its trajectory forward over the next decade. Often one endeavours…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-06 Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Alexander Tarakanov , Fangyuan Yu

In this article we develop a multi-grid multi-level Monte Carlo (MGMLMC) method for the stochastic Stokes-Darcy interface model with random hydraulic conductivity both in the porous media domain and on the interface. Because the randomness…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-03-07 Zhipeng Yang , Xiaoming He , Li Zhang , Ju Ming

The uncertainty of Compton backscattering process is studied by virtue of analytical formulas, and the special effects of variant energy spread and energy drift on the systematic uncertainty estimation are also studied with Monte Carlo…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2013-12-13 X. H. Mo

We propose novel scale-invariant error estimators for the Monte Carlo and multilevel Monte Carlo estimation of mean and variance. For any linear transformation of the distribution of the quantity of interest, the computation cost across…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-12-09 Sharana Kumar Shivanand , Bojana Rosić

We employ kinetic Monte Carlo (KMC) simulations and a thin-film continuum model to comparatively study the transverse (i.e., Plateau-Rayleigh) instability of ridges formed by molecules on pre-patterned substrates. It is demonstrated that…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2018-07-24 Walter Tewes , Oleg Buller , Andreas Heuer , Uwe Thiele , Svetlana V. Gurevich

In the context of Monte Carlo (MC) simulation of particle transport Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) addresses the issue of predicting non statistical errors affecting the physical results, i.e. errors deriving mainly from uncertainties in…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-06-18 Paolo Saracco , Maria Grazia Pia

Many quantum technologies rely on high-precision dynamics, which raises the question of how these are influenced by the experimental uncertainties that are always present in real-life settings. A standard approach in the literature to…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-04-27 Mogens Dalgaard , Carrie A. Weidner , Felix Motzoi

We analyze the accuracy and sample complexity of variational Monte Carlo approaches to simulate the dynamics of many-body quantum systems classically. By systematically studying the relevant stochastic estimators, we are able to: (i) prove…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-10-11 Alessandro Sinibaldi , Clemens Giuliani , Giuseppe Carleo , Filippo Vicentini