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相关论文: Multilevel Monte Carlo for uncertainty quantificat…

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This paper proposes a new multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for the ergodic SDEs which do not satisfy the contractivity condition. By introducing the change of measure technique, we simulate the path with contractivity and add the…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-12-11 Wei Fang , Michael B. Giles

The behavior of the one-dimensional random-force-driven Burgers equation is investigated in the path integral formalism on a discrete space-time lattice. We show that by means of Monte Carlo methods one may evaluate observables, such as…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2010-11-05 P. Düben , D. Homeier , K. Jansen , D. Mesterhazy , G. Münster

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

A hydrodynamical description of coherent instabilities that take place in the longitudinal dynamics of a charged-particle coasting beam in a high-energy accelerating machine is presented. This is done in the framework of the Madelung fluid…

加速器物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 R. Fedele , D. Anderson , M. Lisak

We propose a multi-index algorithm for the Monte Carlo (MC) discretization of a linear, elliptic PDE with affine-parametric input. We prove an error vs. work analysis which allows a multi-level finite-element approximation in the physical…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-07-18 Josef Dick , Michael Feischl , Christoph Schwab

We present a new, for plasma physics, highly efficient multilevel Monte Carlo numerical method for simulating Coulomb collisions. The method separates and optimally minimizes the finite-timestep and finite-sampling errors inherent in the…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2015-08-12 M. S. Rosin , L. F. Ricketson , A. M. Dimits , R. E. Caflisch , B. I. Cohen

Monte Carlo algorithms simulate some prescribed number of samples, taking some random real time to complete the computations necessary. This work considers the converse: to impose a real-time budget on the computation, which results in the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-06-22 Lawrence M. Murray , Sumeetpal Singh , Anthony Lee

A complete uncertainty analysis on a given fringe projection set-up has been performed using Monte-Carlo approach. In particular the calibration procedure is taken into account. Two applications are given: at a macroscopic scale, phase…

光学 · 物理学 2013-07-19 Jérôme Molimard , Laurent Navarro

The expected information gain is an important quality criterion of Bayesian experimental designs, which measures how much the information entropy about uncertain quantity of interest $\theta$ is reduced on average by collecting relevant…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-11 Takashi Goda , Tomohiko Hironaka , Takeru Iwamoto

Structural and kinetic aspects of 2-D irreversible metal deposition under potentiostatic conditions are analyzed by means of dynamic Monte Carlo simulations employing embedded atom potentials for a model system. Three limiting models, all…

材料科学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 M. Cecilia Gimenez , Mario G. Del Popolo , Ezequiel P. M. Leiva

Structural equation models are commonly used to capture the relationship between sets of observed and unobservable variables. Traditionally these models are fitted using frequentist approaches but recently researchers and practitioners have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Khue-Dung Dang , Luca Maestrini

We leverage multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) to improve the performance of multi-step look-ahead Bayesian optimization (BO) methods that involve nested expectations and maximizations. Often these expectations must be computed by Monte Carlo…

An overview of recent work on Monte Carlo simulations of a granular binary mixture is presented. The results are obtained numerically solving the Enskog equation for inelastic hard-spheres by means of an extension of the well-known direct…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 J. M. Montanero

In conventional molecular simulation, metastable structures often survive over considerable computational time, resulting in difficulties in simulating equilibrium states. In order to overcome this difficulty, here we propose a newly…

计算物理 · 物理学 2011-10-21 Yuki Norizoe , Toshihiro Kawakatsu

A kinetic Monte Carlo (KMC) method is used to study the structural properties and dynamics of a supercooled binary Lennard-Jones liquid around the glass transition temperature. This technique permits us to explore the potential energy…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2015-06-24 Javier Hernandez-Rojas , David J. Wales

Monte Carlo (MC) techniques are often used to estimate integrals of a multivariate function using randomly generated samples of the function. In light of the increasing interest in uncertainty quantification and robust design applications…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-08-25 Brendan Tracey , David Wolpert , Juan J. Alonso

Monte Carlo simulation is an unbiased numerical tool for studying classical and quantum many-body systems. One of its bottlenecks is the lack of general and efficient update algorithm for large size systems close to phase transition or with…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2017-01-11 Junwei Liu , Yang Qi , Zi Yang Meng , Liang Fu

The Underdamped Langevin Monte Carlo (ULMC) is a popular Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling method. It requires the computation of the full gradient of the log-density at each iteration, an expensive operation if the dimension of the problem…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-23 Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li , Jianfeng Lu , Stephen J. Wright

In this paper we introduce a new multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator for multi-dimensional SDEs driven by Brownian motions. Giles has previously shown that if we combine a numerical approximation with strong order of convergence…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2014-05-19 Michael B. Giles , Lukasz Szpruch

Neural networks are a commonly used approach to replace physical models with computationally cheap surrogates. Parametric uncertainty quantification can be included in training, assuming that an accurate prior distribution of the model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Heikki Haario , Zhi-Song Liu , Martin Simon , Hendrik Weichel
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