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This paper considers estimation and inference about tail features when the observations beyond some threshold are censored. We first show that ignoring such tail censoring could lead to substantial bias and size distortion, even if the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-02-25 Yulong Wang , Zhijie Xiao

In this paper we investigate potential changes which may have occurred over the last two decades in the probability mass of the right tail of the wage distribution, through the analysis of the corresponding tail index. In specific, a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-04-28 João Nicolau , Pedro Raposo , Paulo M. M. Rodrigues

Kaplan-Meier and Nelson-Aalen integral estimators to the tail index of right-censored Pareto-type data traditionally rely on the assumption that the proportion p of upper uncensored observations exceeds one-half, corresponding to weak…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-14 Abdelhakim Necir , Nour Elhouda Guesmia , Djamel Meraghni

We propose a robust estimator for the tail index of Pareto-type distributions under random right-censoring, constructed within the minimum density power divergence (MDPD) framework and based on the Nelson--Aalen estimator of the cumulative…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-27 Nour Elhouda Guesmia , Abdelhakim Necir , Djamel Meraghni

We revisit the estimation of the extreme value index for randomly censored data from a heavy tailed distribution. We introduce a new class of estimators which encompasses earlier proposals given in Worms and Worms (2014) and Beirlant et al.…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-19 Jan Beirlant , Julien Worms , Rym Worms

We make use of the empirical process theory to approximate the adapted Hill estimator, for censored data, in terms of Gaussian processes. Then, we derive its asymptotic normality, only under the usual second-order condition of regular…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-07 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

The subject of tail estimation for randomly censored data from a heavy tailed distribution receives growing attention, motivated by applications for instance in actuarial statistics. The bias of the available estimators of the extreme value…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-19 Jan Beirlant , Gaonyalelwe Maribe , Andrehette Verster

Estimation of the extreme value index under right censoring is a fundamental problem in extreme value theory, with important applications in finance, insurance, and reliability. Classical integral estimators for Pareto-type tails typically…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-14 Abdelhakim Necir , Nour Elhouda Guesmia , Djamel Meraghni

The paper suggests a simple method of deriving minimax lower bounds to the accuracy of statistical inference on heavy tails. A well-known result by Hall and Welsh (Ann. Statist. 12 (1984) 1079-1084) states that if $\hat{\alpha}_n$ is an…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-14 S. Y. Novak

A tail empirical process for heavy-tailed and right-censored data is introduced and its Gaussian approximation is established. In this context, a (weighted) new Hill-type estimator for positive extreme value index is proposed and its…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-06 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir , Louiza Soltane

We consider estimation of the extreme value index and extreme quantiles for heavy-tailed data that are right-censored. We study a general procedure of removing low importance observations in tail estimators. This trimming procedure is…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-13 Martin Bladt , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant

We consider the task of heavy-tailed statistical estimation given streaming $p$-dimensional samples. This could also be viewed as stochastic optimization under heavy-tailed distributions, with an additional $O(p)$ space complexity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-28 Che-Ping Tsai , Adarsh Prasad , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Pradeep Ravikumar

On the basis of Nelson-Aalen nonparametric estimator of the cumulative distribution function, we provide a weak approximation to tail product-limit process for randomly right-censored heavy-tailed data. In this context, a new consistent…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-25 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

In this paper, we provide novel optimal (or near optimal) convergence rates for a clipped version of the stochastic subgradient method. We consider nonsmooth convex problems over possibly unbounded domains, under heavy-tailed noise that…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-04-21 Daniela Angela Parletta , Andrea Paudice , Saverio Salzo

In this work, we study the convergence \emph{in high probability} of clipped gradient methods when the noise distribution has heavy tails, ie., with bounded $p$th moments, for some $1<p\le2$. Prior works in this setting follow the same…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-04-05 Ta Duy Nguyen , Alina Ene , Huy L. Nguyen

We aim at estimating a function $\lambda:[0,1]\to \mathbb {R}$, subject to the constraint that it is decreasing (or increasing). We provide a unified approach for studying the $\mathbb {L}_p$-loss of an estimator defined as the slope of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Cécile Durot

Standard statistical analysis is unable to provide reliable confidence intervals on expectation values of probability distributions that do not satisfy the conditions of the central limit theorem. We present a regression-based estimator of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-06-24 Pablo Lopez Rios , Gareth J. Conduit

Recent studies have provided both empirical and theoretical evidence illustrating that heavy tails can emerge in stochastic gradient descent (SGD) in various scenarios. Such heavy tails potentially result in iterates with diverging…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-02-23 Hongjian Wang , Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Lingjiong Zhu , Umut Şimşekli , Murat A. Erdogdu

We consider the stochastic optimization problem with smooth but not necessarily convex objectives in the heavy-tailed noise regime, where the stochastic gradient's noise is assumed to have bounded $p$th moment ($p\in(1,2]$). Zhang et al.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Zijian Liu , Jiawei Zhang , Zhengyuan Zhou

Bayesian composite likelihood estimation of the tail index of a heavy-tailed distribution is addressed when data are randomly right-censored. Maximum a posteriori and mean posterior estimators are constructed under Jeffrey's prior…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-18 Abdelkader Ameraoui , Jean-François Dupuy , Kamal Boukhetala
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