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The accessibility of spatially distributed data, enabled by affordable sensors, field, and numerical experiments, has facilitated the development of data-driven solutions for scientific problems, including climate change, weather…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Vardhan Dongre , Gurpreet Singh Hora

We consider the numerical approximation of different ordinary differential equations (ODEs) and partial differential equations (PDEs) with periodic boundary conditions involving a one-dimensional random parameter, comparing the intrusive…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-11-29 Julian Clausnitzer , Andreas Kleefeld

The rapid adoption of complex Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) models has led to their characterization as black boxes due to the difficulty of explaining their internal decision-making processes. This lack of…

In this paper, we develop a numerical approach based on Chaos expansions to analyze the sensitivity and the propagation of epistemic uncertainty through a queueing systems with breakdowns. Here, the quantity of interest is the stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-17 Katia Bachi , Cédric Chauvière , Hacène Djellout , Karim Abbas

This work introduces a method to equip data-driven polynomial chaos expansion surrogate models with intervals that quantify the predictive uncertainty of the surrogate. To that end, jackknife-based conformal prediction is integrated into…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-18 Dimitrios Loukrezis , Dimitris G. Giovanis

PCA is a classical statistical technique whose simplicity and maturity has seen it find widespread use as an anomaly detection technique. However, it is limited in this regard by being sensitive to gross perturbations of the input, and by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-01 Raghavendra Chalapathy , Aditya Krishna Menon , Sanjay Chawla

Reliability analysis typically relies on deterministic simulators, which yield repeatable outputs for identical inputs. However, many real-world systems display intrinsic randomness, requiring stochastic simulators whose outputs are random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 A. Pires , M. Moustapha , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, trustworthy uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for ensuring the safety and reliability of these models. Traditional UQ methods rely on specifying a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-14 Abhineet Agarwal , Michael Xiao , Rebecca Barter , Omer Ronen , Boyu Fan , Bin Yu

The increasing uncertainty level caused by growing renewable energy sources (RES) and aging transmission networks poses a great challenge in the assessment of total transfer capability (TTC) and available transfer capability (ATC). In this…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-29 Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang , Hao Sheng , Xi Lin

We apply the Tensor Train (TT) decomposition to construct the tensor product Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) of a random field, to solve the stochastic elliptic diffusion PDE with the stochastic Galerkin discretization, and to compute some…

The task of simultaneously reconstructing multiple physical coefficients in partial differential equations (PDEs) from observed data is ubiquitous in applications. In this work, we propose an integrated data-driven and model-based iterative…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-07-04 Kui Ren , Lu Zhang

We present an approach to the simulation of quantum systems driven by classical stochastic processes that is based on the polynomial chaos expansion, a well-known technique in the field of uncertainty quantification. The polynomial chaos…

量子物理 · 物理学 2013-12-17 Kevin C. Young , Matthew D. Grace

A probabilistic performance-oriented controller design approach based on polynomial chaos expansion and optimization is proposed for flight dynamic systems. Unlike robust control techniques where uncertainties are conservatively handled,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-20 Dalong Shi , Xiang Fang , Florian Holzapfel

Differential equations with random parameters have gained significant prominence in recent years due to their importance in mathematical modelling and data assimilation. In many cases, random ordinary differential equations (RODEs) are…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-12-13 Maxime Breden , Christian Kuehn

Implementations of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods need to confront two fundamental challenges: accurate representation of prior information and efficient evaluation of likelihoods. Principal component analysis (PCA) and related…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-10-20 Giovanni Angelo Meles , Macarena Amaya , Shiran Levy , Stefano Marelli , Niklas Linde

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) minimizes the reconstruction error given a class of linear models of fixed component dimensionality. Probabilistic PCA adds a probabilistic structure by learning the probability distribution of the PCA…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-20 Vanessa Böhm , Uroš Seljak

When dealing with real-world optimization problems, decision-makers usually face high levels of uncertainty associated with partial information, unknown parameters, or complex relationships between these and the problem decision variables.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-05-01 Antonio Alcántara , Carlos Ruiz

Most machine learning techniques are based upon statistical learning theory, often simplified for the sake of computing speed. This paper is focused on the uncertainty aspect of mathematical modeling in machine learning. Regression analysis…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-07 Valentin Arkov

Breakthroughs in machine learning (ML) and advances in quantum computing (QC) drive the interdisciplinary field of quantum machine learning to new levels. However, due to the susceptibility of ML models to adversarial attacks, practical use…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-05 Tom Wollschläger , Aman Saxena , Nicola Franco , Jeanette Miriam Lorenz , Stephan Günnemann

To achieve high performance of a machine learning (ML) task, a deep learning-based model must implicitly capture the entire distribution from data. Thus, it requires a huge amount of training samples, and data are expected to fully present…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-17 Hung Nguyen , Morris Chang