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A birth-death-sampling model gives rise to phylogenetic trees with samples from the past and the present. Interpreting "birth" as branching speciation, "death" as extinction, and "sampling" as fossil preservation and recovery, this model --…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-03-12 Tanja Stadler , Alexandra Gavryushkina , Rachel C. M. Warnock , Alexei J. Drummond , Tracy A. Heath

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

Understanding how stochastic and non-linear deterministic processes interact is a major challenge in population dynamics theory. After a short review, we introduce a stochastic individual-centered particle model to describe the evolution in…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-29 Regis Ferriere , Viet Chi Tran

We present an individual based model of evolutionary ecology. The reproduction rate of individuals characterized by their genome depends on the composition of the population in genotype space. Ecological features such as the taxonomy and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-31 Matt Hall , Kim Christensen , Simone A. di Collobiano , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

We are interested in a stochastic model of trait and age-structured population undergoing mutation and selection. We start with a continuous time, discrete individual-centered population process. Taking the large population and rare…

概率论 · 数学 2009-03-28 Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

Modeling how individuals evolve over time is a fundamental problem in the natural and social sciences. However, existing datasets are often cross-sectional with each individual observed only once, making it impossible to apply traditional…

Continuous-time branching processes describe the evolution of a population whose individuals generate a random number of children according to a birth process. Such branching processes can be used to understand preferential attachment…

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

概率论 · 数学 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We examine birth--death processes with state dependent transition probabilities and at least one absorbing boundary. In evolution, this describes selection acting on two different types in a finite population where reproductive events occur…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-10-12 Philipp M. Altrock , Chaytanya S. Gokhale , Arne Traulsen

This article is a presentation of specific recent results describing scaling limits of individual-based models. Thanks to them, we wish to relate the time-scales typical of demographic dynamics and natural selection to the parameters of the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

We consider a stochastic individual-based model of adaptive dynamics for an asexually reproducing population with mutation, with linear birth and death rates, as well as a density-dependent competition. To depict repeating changes of the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-05-28 Manuel Esser , Anna Kraut

Evolutionary branching is analysed in a stochastic, individual-based population model under mutation and selection. In such models, the common assumption is that individual reproduction and life career are characterised by values of a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-10-01 S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig , P. Jagers , V. Vatutin

The interplay between space and evolution is an important issue in population dynamics, that is in particular crucial in the emergence of polymorphism and spatial patterns. Recently, biological studies suggest that invasion and evolution…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard

At any moment in time, evolution is faced with a formidable challenge: refining the already highly optimised design of biological species, a feat accomplished through all preceding generations. In such a scenario, the impact of random…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-02-20 Alessandro Fontana , Marios Kyriazis

We present a mathematical simplification for the evolutionary dynamics of a heritable trait within a two-sex population. This trait is assumed to control the timing of sex-specific life-history events, such as the age of sexual maturity and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-07-04 M. H. Chan , K. Hawkes , P. S. Kim

The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in various contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the dynamics of survival analysis,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-09-30 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

A new stochastic method for describing mortality is proposed and explored. It is based on differences of observed times series of the transform $\log(-\log x)$ of survival probabilities which seem to follow simple patterns over the years.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-02-26 Meitner Cadena

The biological theory of adaptive dynamics proposes a description of the long-term evolution of a structured asexual population. It is based on the assumptions of large population, rare mutations and small mutation steps, that lead to a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

Standard evolutionary theories of aging and mortality, implicitly based on assumptions of spatial averaging, hold that natural selection cannot favor shorter lifespan without direct compensating benefit to individual reproductive success.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-06-15 Justin Werfel , Donald E. Ingber , Yaneer Bar-Yam

We introduce a broad class of spatial models to describe how spatially heterogeneous populations live, die, and reproduce. Individuals are represented by points of a point measure, whose birth and death rates can depend both on spatial…

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