相关论文: Cancer Risk Messages: Public Health and Economic W…
Most human carcinomas exhibit telomere abnormalities early in the carcinogenesis process suggesting that crisis caused by telomere shortening may be a necessary event leading to human carcinomas. Epidemiological records of the age at which…
Markov Decision Processes and Dynamic Treatment Regimes have grown increasingly popular in the treatment of diseases, including cancer. However, cancer treatment often impacts quality of life drastically, and people often fail to take…
The distribution of health care payments to insurance plans has substantial consequences for social policy. Risk adjustment formulas predict spending in health insurance markets in order to provide fair benefits and health care coverage for…
According to the World Health Organization (WHO), cancer is the second leading cause of death globally. Scientific research on different types of cancers grows at an ever-increasing rate, publishing large volumes of research articles every…
High-quality healthcare in the US can be cost-prohibitive for certain socioeconomic groups. In this paper, we examined data from the US Census and the CDC to determine the degree to which specific socioeconomic factors correlate with both…
We consider an environment where sellers compete over buyers. All sellers are a-priori identical and strategically signal buyers about the product they sell. In a setting motivated by on-line advertising in display ad exchanges, where firms…
This paper considers a simple model where a social planner can influence the spread-intensity of an infection wave, and, consequently, also the economic activity and population health, through a single parameter. Population health is…
This research examines the propagation of rumors on social networks during public health emergencies and explores strategies to effectively manage false information in cyberspace. Using a simulation model, the study analyzes the impact of…
As infectious disease outbreaks emerge, public health agencies often enact vaccination and social distancing measures to slow transmission. Their success depends on not only strategies and resources, but also public adherence. Individual…
Obesity and diabetes epidemics are affecting about a third and tenth of US population, respectively, capturing the attention of the nation and its institutions. Social media provides an open forum for communication between individuals and…
Studies have shown that the traces people leave when browsing the internet may indicate the onset of diseases such as cancer. Here we show that the adaptive engines of advertising systems in conjunction with clinically verified…
Tomasetti and Vogelstein recently proposed that the majority of variation in cancer risk among tissues is due to "bad luck," that is, random mutations arising during DNA replication in normal noncancerous stem cells. They generalize this…
Regulation and risk management in banks depend on underlying risk measures. In general this is the only purpose that is seen for risk measures. In this paper we suggest that the reporting of risk measures can be used to determine the loss…
The success of a vaccination program is crucially dependent on its adoption by a critical fraction of the population, as the resulting herd immunity prevents future outbreaks of an epidemic. However, the effectiveness of a campaign can…
Models for epidemic spread typically account for variable risk factors but do not account for the correlation between behavior and risk. Here we extend these models to account for such correlations. We find that a positive correlation…
The modern information society, markedly influenced by the advent of the internet and subsequent developments such as WEB 2.0, has seen an explosive increase in information availability, fundamentally altering human interaction with…
The key concepts (calibration, discrimination, and discordance) important in understanding and comparing risk models are best conveyed graphically. To illustrate this, models predicting death and acute kidney injury in a large cohort of PCI…
Prediction markets are powerful tools to elicit and aggregate beliefs from strategic agents. However, in current prediction markets, agents may exhaust the social welfare by competing to be the first to update the market. We initiate the…
I study the economic effects of testing during the outbreak of a novel disease. I propose a model where testing permits isolation of the infected and provides agents with information about the prevalence and lethality of the disease.…
This paper presents a semi-quantitative mathematical model of the changes over time in the statistical distribution of well-being of individuals in a society. The model predicts that when individuals overvalue the more socially conspicuous…