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Spatio-Temporal Multivariate time series Forecast (STMF) uses the time series of $n$ spatially distributed variables in a period of recent past to forecast their values in a period of near future. It has important applications in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-29 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Yupu Zhang , Zhengkun Xiao , Haibo Wang , Shigang Chen

For a spatiotemporal process $\{X_j(s,t) | ~s \in S~,~t \in T \}_{j =1, \ldots , n} $, where $S$ denotes the set of spatial locations and $T$ the time domain, we consider the problem of testing for a change in the sequence of mean…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-10 Holger Dette , Pascal Quanz

This study proposes a novel approach based on the Ising model for analyzing socio-economic emerging patterns between municipalities by investigating the observed configuration of a network of selected territorial units which are classified…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Pierpaolo Massoli

We develop a cross-sectional research design to identify causal effects in the presence of unobservable heterogeneity without instruments. When units are dense in physical space, it may be sufficient to regress the "spatial first…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-08-22 Hannah Druckenmiller , Solomon Hsiang

Small area (or small domain) estimation is still rarely applied in business statistics, because of challenges arising from the skewness and variability of variables such as turnover. We examine a range of small area estimation methods as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-10 Paul A. Smith , Chiara Bocci , Nikos Tzavidis , Sabine Krieg , Marc J. E. Smeets

Parametric statistical methods play a central role in analyzing risk through its underlying frequency and severity components. Given the wide availability of numerical algorithms and high-speed computers, researchers and practitioners often…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-17 Michael R. Powers , Jiaxin Xu

We introduce a new statistical test based on the observed spacings of ordered data. The statistic is sensitive to detect non-uniformity in random samples, or short-lived features in event time series. Under some conditions, this new test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-27 Philipp Eller , Lolian Shtembari

We present the $U$-Statistic Permutation (USP) test of independence in the context of discrete data displayed in a contingency table. Either Pearson's chi-squared test of independence, or the $G$-test, are typically used for this task, but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-19 Thomas B. Berrett , Richard J. Samworth

The stochastic block model is a popular tool for detecting community structures in network data. Detecting the difference between two community structures is an important issue for stochastic block models. However, the two-sample test has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-21 Kang Fu , Jianwei Hu , Seydou Keita , Hao Liu

Effect modification means the size of a treatment effect varies with an observed covariate. Generally speaking, a larger treatment effect with more stable error terms is less sensitive to bias. Thus, we might be able to conclude that a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Yijun Fan , Dylan S. Small

This paper proposes a new test for a change point in the mean of high-dimensional data based on the spatial sign and self-normalization. The test is easy to implement with no tuning parameters, robust to heavy-tailedness and theoretically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Feiyu Jiang , Runmin Wang , Xiaofeng Shao

The Multidimensional Assignment Problem (MAP or s-AP in the case of s dimensions) is an extension of the well-known assignment problem. The most studied case of MAP is 3-AP, though the problems with larger values of s have also a number of…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2010-03-30 Gregory Gutin , Daniel Karapetyan

There are many data sources available that report related variables of interest that are also referenced over geographic regions and time; however, there are relatively few general statistical methods that one can readily use that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-09-05 Jonathan R. Bradley , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

In this paper, the development of a mathematical method is presented to explore spatially non-uniform phases with no long-range order in mathematical models of first order phase transitions. We use essential results regarding the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-09-08 Gyula I. Toth

An algorithmic limit of compressed sensing or related variable-selection problems is analytically evaluated when a design matrix is given by an overcomplete random matrix. The replica method from statistical mechanics is employed to derive…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2018-11-14 Tomoyuki Obuchi , Yoshinori Nakanishi-Ohno , Masato Okada , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

This paper presents a procedure for testing the hypothesis that the underlying distribution of the data is elliptical when using robust location and scatter estimators instead of the sample mean and covariance matrix. Under mild assumptions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-20 Ana M. Bianco , Graciela Boente , Isabel M. Rodrigues

Spatial association and heterogeneity are two critical areas in the research about spatial analysis, geography, statistics and so on. Though large amounts of outstanding methods has been proposed and studied, there are few of them tend to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-03-26 Zihao Yuan

Angular anisotropy techniques for cosmic diffuse radiation maps are powerful probes, even for quite small data sets. A popular observable is the angular power spectrum; we present a detailed study applicable to any unbinned source skymap…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-23 Sheldon S. Campbell

A non parametric method based on the empirical likelihood is proposed for detecting the change in the coefficients of high-dimensional linear model where the number of model variables may increase as the sample size increases. This amounts…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-22 Gabriela Ciuperca , Zahraa Salloum

We present the first finite-sample goodness-of-fit test for the mixed membership stochastic block model (MMSBM). Using algebraic statistics theory, we derive a Markov basis that lets a Metropolis-Hastings sampler explore exactly the set of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Sourav Majumdar