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相关论文: Confidence Interval Estimators for MOS Values

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This paper uses classical high-rate quantization theory to provide new insights into mixture-of-experts (MoE) models for regression tasks. Our MoE is defined by a segmentation of the input space to regions, each with a single-parameter…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-06 Yehuda Dar

Sequential trial emulation (STE) is an approach to estimating causal treatment effects by emulating a sequence of target trials from observational data. In STE, inverse probability weighting is commonly utilised to address time-varying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-10 Juliette M. Limozin , Shaun R. Seaman , Li Su

Modern problems in statistics tend to include estimators of high computational complexity and with complicated distributions. Statistical inference on such estimators usually relies on asymptotic normality assumptions, however, such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-08 Eyal Fisher , Regev Schweiger , Saharon Rosset

A key ethical challenge in Automated Essay Scoring (AES) is ensuring that scores are only released when they meet high reliability standards. Confidence modelling addresses this by assigning a reliability estimate measure, in the form of a…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-12-15 Abhirup Chakravarty , Mark Brenchley , Trevor Breakspear , Ian Lewin , Yan Huang

What, if anything, should a frequentist say about a single realized confidence interval (CI) and its chance of having covered the parameter? Jerzy Neyman's original answer was to refuse any nondegenerate probability for coverage ex post…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2026-03-06 Scott Lee

AIMS. The maximum-likelihood method is the standard approach to obtain model fits to observational data and the corresponding confidence regions. We investigate possible sources of bias in the log-likelihood function and its subsequent…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 J. Hartlap , P. Simon , P. Schneider

Signal processing makes extensive use of point estimators and accompanying error bounds. These work well up until the likelihood function has two or more high peaks. When it is important for an estimator to remain reliable, it becomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Ning Xu , Christopher M. Foster , Jonathan H. Manton

This research proposes an enhanced measurement method for VoIP quality assessment which provides an improvement to accuracy and reliability. To improve the objective measurement tool called the simplified E-model for the selected codec,…

多媒体 · 计算机科学 2023-12-27 Therdpong Daengsi , Pongpisit Wuttidittachotti

Recent research has shown that interval estimators with good coverage properties are achievable for some functions of quantiles, even when sample sizes are not large. Motivated by this, we consider interval estimators for the ratios of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-21 Chandima N. P. G. Arachchige , Maxwell Cairns , Luke A. Prendergast

In assessing prediction accuracy of multivariable prediction models, optimism corrections are essential for preventing biased results. However, in most published papers of clinical prediction models, the point estimates of the prediction…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-02 Hisashi Noma , Tomohiro Shinozaki , Katsuhiro Iba , Satoshi Teramukai , Toshi A. Furukawa

Confidence measures for the generalization error are crucial when small training samples are used to construct classifiers. A common approach is to estimate the generalization error by resampling and then assume the resampled estimator…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-06-18 Eric B. Laber , Susan A. Murphy

Normalised citation counts are routinely used to assess the average impact of research groups or nations. There is controversy over whether confidence intervals for them are theoretically valid or practically useful. In response, this…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2017-10-25 Mike Thelwall

In a recent review, Liu, Pek, & Maydeu-Olivares (2025b) classified reliability coefficients into two types: classical test theory (CTT) reliability and proportional reduction in mean squared error (PRMSE). This article focuses on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Youjin Sung , Yang Liu

Split sample methods have recently been put forward as a way to reduce the coverage oscillations that haunt confidence intervals for parameters of lattice distributions, such as the binomial and Poisson distributions. We study split sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-11 Måns Thulin

In this paper we consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for coefficients of martingale regression models (in particular, time series models) after variable selection. Although constructing confidence intervals are common…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-19 Ka Wai Tsang , Wei Dai

Extreme value analysis in the presence of censoring is receiving much attention as it has applications in many disciplines, including survival and reliability studies. Estimation of extreme value index (EVI) is of primary importance as it…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-03 Richard Minkah , Tertius de Wet , Kwabena Doku-Amponsah

This work develops central limit theorems for cross-validation and consistent estimators of its asymptotic variance under weak stability conditions on the learning algorithm. Together, these results provide practical, asymptotically-exact…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-03 Pierre Bayle , Alexandre Bayle , Lucas Janson , Lester Mackey

Expected coverage and expected length of 90% upper and lower limit and 68.27% central intervals are plotted as functions of the true signal for various values of expected background. Results for several objective priors are shown, and…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Ilya Narsky

The purpose of this paper is to propose methodologies for statistical inference of low-dimensional parameters with high-dimensional data. We focus on constructing confidence intervals for individual coefficients and linear combinations of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-11-05 Cun-Hui Zhang , Stephanie S. Zhang

A/B testing on platforms often faces challenges from network interference, where a unit's outcome depends not only on its own treatment but also on the treatments of its network neighbors. To address this, cluster-level randomization has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-05 Qianyi Chen , Anpeng Wu , Bo Li , Lu Deng , Yong Wang