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Randomized matrix algorithms have become workhorse tools in scientific computing and machine learning. To use these algorithms safely in applications, they should be coupled with posterior error estimates to assess the quality of the…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-10-03 Ethan N. Epperly , Joel A. Tropp

This paper introduces a class of jackknife-based test statistics for linear regression models with endogeneity and heteroskedasticity in the presence of many potentially weak instrumental variables. The tests may be used when considering…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-20 Federico Crudu , Giovanni Mellace , Zsolt Sándor

Conformal regression provides prediction intervals with global coverage guarantees, but often fails to capture local error distributions, leading to non-homogeneous coverage. We address this with a new adaptive method based on rescaling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Nicolas Deutschmann , Mattia Rigotti , Maria Rodriguez Martinez

Deep learning models achieve high predictive accuracy across a broad spectrum of tasks, but rigorously quantifying their predictive uncertainty remains challenging. Usable estimates of predictive uncertainty should (1) cover the true…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-28 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are instrumental in modelling sequential and time-series data. Yet, when using RNNs to inform decision-making, predictions by themselves are not sufficient; we also need estimates of predictive uncertainty.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-30 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

The topic of deep learning has seen a surge of interest in recent years both within and outside of the field of Statistics. Deep models leverage both nonlinearity and interaction effects to provide superior predictions in many cases when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-18 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan

Regression analysis based on many covariates is becoming increasingly common. However, when the number of covariates $p$ is of the same order as the number of observations $n$, maximum likelihood regression becomes unreliable due to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Emanuele Massa , Marianne Jonker , Kit Roes , Anthony Coolen

We investigate popular resampling methods for estimating the uncertainty of statistical models, such as subsampling, bootstrap and the jackknife, and their performance in high-dimensional supervised regression tasks. We provide a tight…

Bootstrap is a popular methodology for simulating input uncertainty. However, it can be computationally expensive when the number of samples is large. We propose a new approach called \textbf{Orthogonal Bootstrap} that reduces the number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-02 Kaizhao Liu , Jose Blanchet , Lexing Ying , Yiping Lu

Unbiased assessment of the predictivity of models learnt by supervised machine-learning methods requires knowledge of the learned function over a reserved test set (not used by the learning algorithm). The quality of the assessment depends,…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-11 Elias Fekhari , Bertrand Iooss , Joseph Muré , Luc Pronzato , Maria-João Rendas

We propose the so-called jackknife empirical likelihood approach for the survey data of general unequal probability sampling designs, and analyze parameters defined according to U-statistics. We prove theoretically that jackknife…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-28 Mengdong Shang , Xia Chen

Modern statistical analysis often encounters datasets with large sizes. For these datasets, conventional estimation methods can hardly be used immediately because practitioners often suffer from limited computational resources. In most…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-14 Shuyuan Wu , Xuening Zhu , Hansheng Wang

Model averaging considers the model uncertainty and is an alternative to model selection. In this paper, we propose a frequentist model averaging estimator for composite quantile regressions. In recent years, research on these topics has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Miaomiao Wang , Guohua Zou

Resampling techniques have become increasingly popular for estimation of uncertainty in data collected via surveys. Survey data are also frequently subject to missing data which are often imputed. This note addresses the issue of using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Michael W. Robbins , Lane Burgette , Sebastian Bauhoff

We give analytic methods for nonparametric bias reduction that remove the need for computationally intensive methods like the bootstrap and the jackknife. We call an estimate {\it $p$th order} if its bias has magnitude $n_0^{-p}$ as $n_0…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-03-18 Christopher S. Withers , Saralees Nadarajah

We study cluster-robust inference for logistic regression (logit) models. Inference based on the most commonly-used cluster-robust variance matrix estimator (CRVE) can be very unreliable. We study several alternatives. Conceptually the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-05 James G. MacKinnon , Morten Ørregaard Nielsen , Matthew D. Webb

A general jackknife estimator for the asymptotic covariance of moment estimators is considered in the case when the sample is taken from a mixture with varying concentrations of components. Consistency of the estimator is demonstrated. A…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-18 Rostyslav Maiboroda , Olena Sugakova

Log symmetric distributions are useful in modeling data which show high skewness and have found applications in various fields. Using a recent characterization for log symmetric distributions, we propose a goodness of fit test for testing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Anjana S , Sudheesh Kattumannil

We provide computationally attractive methods to obtain jackknife-based cluster-robust variance matrix estimators (CRVEs) for linear regression models estimated by least squares. We also propose several new variants of the wild cluster…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-14 James G. MacKinnon , Morten Ørregaard Nielsen , Matthew D. Webb

Linear instrumental variable regressions are widely used to estimate causal effects. Many instruments arise from the use of ``technical'' instruments and more recently from the empirical strategy of ``judge design''. This paper surveys and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-26 Anna Mikusheva , Liyang Sun