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We propose a simple method that combines neural networks and Gaussian processes. The proposed method can estimate the uncertainty of outputs and flexibly adjust target functions where training data exist, which are advantages of Gaussian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-20 Tomoharu Iwata , Zoubin Ghahramani

Gaussian processes are a versatile framework for learning unknown functions in a manner that permits one to utilize prior information about their properties. Although many different Gaussian process models are readily available when the…

Although Gaussian processes (GPs) with deep kernels have been successfully used for meta-learning in regression tasks, its uncertainty estimation performance can be poor. We propose a meta-learning method for calibrating deep kernel GPs for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Atsutoshi Kumagai

Surrogate models have shown to be an extremely efficient aid in solving engineering problems that require repeated evaluations of an expensive computational model. They are built by sparsely evaluating the costly original model and have…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-12-01 M. Moustapha , B. Sudret

An important issue in model-based control design is that an accurate dynamic model of the system is generally nonlinear, complex, and costly to obtain. This limits achievable control performance in practice. Gaussian process (GP) based…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-08 Yuhan Liu , Pengyu Wang , Roland Tóth

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGP) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes (GP) that have proven to work effectively on a multiple supervised regression tasks. They combine the well calibrated uncertainty estimates of GPs with the…

Computer experiments have become ubiquitous in science and engineering. Commonly, runs of these simulations demand considerable time and computing, making experimental design extremely important in gaining high quality information with…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-15 Benjamin Haaland , Wenjia Wang , Vaibhav Maheshwari

Active learning of physical systems must commonly respect practical safety constraints, which restricts the exploration of the design space. Gaussian Processes (GPs) and their calibrated uncertainty estimations are widely used for this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-16 Jörn Tebbe , Christoph Zimmer , Ansgar Steland , Markus Lange-Hegermann , Fabian Mies

Accurate assessment of systematic uncertainties is an increasingly vital task in physics studies, where large, high-dimensional datasets, like those collected at the Large Hadron Collider, hold the key to new discoveries. Common approaches…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Alexis Romero , Kyle Cranmer , Daniel Whiteson

Complex-valued Gaussian processes are commonly used in Bayesian frequency-domain system identification as prior models for regression. If each realization of such a process were an $H_\infty$ function with probability one, then the same…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-19 Alex Devonport , Peter Seiler , Murat Arcak

We present a multivariate Gaussian process regression approach for parameter field reconstruction based on the field's measurements collected at two different scales, the coarse and fine scales. The proposed approach treats the parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-19 David A. Barajas-Solano , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

Computer models (simulators) are vital tools for investigating physical processes. Despite their utility, the prohibitive run-time of simulators hinders their direct application for uncertainty quantification. Gaussian process emulators…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-25 Conor Crilly , Oliver Johnson , Alexander Lewis , Jonathan Rougier

Developing machine learning enabled smart manufacturing is promising for composite structures assembly process. To improve production quality and efficiency of the assembly process, accurate predictive analysis on dimensional deviations and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-24 Cheolhei Lee , Jianguo Wu , Wenjia Wang , Xiaowei Yue

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Tomographic reconstruction, despite its revolutionary impact on a wide range of applications, suffers from its ill-posed nature in that there is no unique solution because of limited and noisy measurements. Therefore, in the absence of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-10 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Carlo Graziani , Zichao Wendy Di

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

Estimation of the response probability distributions of computer simulators in the presence of randomness is a crucial task in many fields. However, achieving this task with guaranteed accuracy remains an open computational challenge,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Chao Dang , Marcos A. Valdebenito , Nataly A. Manque , Jun Xu , Matthias G. R. Faes

Computer models are now widely used across a range of scientific disciplines to describe various complex physical systems, however to perform full uncertainty quantification we often need to employ emulators. An emulator is a fast…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-06 Ian Vernon , Samuel E. Jackson , Jonathan A. Cumming

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler