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The Gaussian process (GP) regression model is a widely employed surrogate modeling technique for computer experiments, offering precise predictions and statistical inference for the computer simulators that generate experimental data.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Lulu Kang , Yuanxing Cheng , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

We present a new strategy for learning the functional relation between a pair of variables, while addressing inhomogeneities in the correlation structure of the available data, by modelling the sought function as a sample function of a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-22 Gargi Roy , Dalia Chakrabarty

We study in this paper two classes of experimental designs, support points and projected support points, which can provide robust and effective emulation of computer experiments with Gaussian processes. These designs have two important…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-15 Simon Mak , V. Roshan Joseph

We undertake Bayesian learning of the high-dimensional functional relationship between a system parameter vector and an observable, that is in general tensor-valued. The ultimate aim is Bayesian inverse prediction of the system parameters,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-17 Kangrui Wang , Dalia Chakrabarty

Differential Equation (DE) is a commonly used modeling method in various scientific subjects such as finance and biology. The parameters in DE models often have interesting scientific interpretations, but their values are often unknown and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-11-24 Ying Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

Gaussian processes regression models are an appealing machine learning method as they learn expressive non-linear models from exemplar data with minimal parameter tuning and estimate both the mean and covariance of unseen points. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-25 Vladimir Joukov , Dana Kulić

This paper provides an algorithm for simulating improper (or noncircular) complex-valued stationary Gaussian processes. The technique utilizes recently developed methods for multivariate Gaussian processes from the circulant embedding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-16 Adam M. Sykulski , Donald B. Percival

We consider the problem of active learning for global sensitivity analysis of expensive black-box functions. Our aim is to efficiently learn the importance of different input variables, e.g., in vehicle safety experimentation, we study the…

Dynamic simulators are computational models governed by differential equations that evolve over time. They are essential for scientific and engineering applications but remain challenging to emulate because of the unpredictable behavior of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Junoh Heo

We propose stochastic, non-parametric activation functions that are fully learnable and individual to each neuron. Complexity and the risk of overfitting are controlled by placing a Gaussian process prior over these functions. The result is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-01 Sebastian Urban , Marcus Basalla , Patrick van der Smagt

Gaussian processes (GPs) are generally regarded as the gold standard surrogate model for emulating computationally expensive computer-based simulators. However, the problem of training GPs as accurately as possible with a minimum number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor

An important task of uncertainty quantification is to identify {the probability of} undesired events, in particular, system failures, caused by various sources of uncertainties. In this work we consider the construction of Gaussian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-20 Hongqiao Wang , Guang Lin , Jinglai Li

Bayesian methods for learning Gaussian graphical models offer a principled framework for quantifying model uncertainty and incorporating prior knowledge. However, their scalability is constrained by the computational cost of jointly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , Lucas Vogels , S. Ilker Birbil

Complex phenomena in engineering and the sciences are often modeled with computationally intensive feed-forward simulations for which a tractable analytic likelihood does not exist. In these cases, it is sometimes necessary to estimate an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-18 Niccolò Dalmasso , Ann B. Lee , Rafael Izbicki , Taylor Pospisil , Ilmun Kim , Chieh-An Lin

With the significant advancement in quantum computation in the past couple of decades, the exploration of machine-learning subroutines using quantum strategies has become increasingly popular. Gaussian process regression is a widely used…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-03-07 Siddhartha Das , George Siopsis , Christian Weedbrook

In image reconstruction, an accurate quantification of uncertainty is of great importance for informed decision making. Here, the Bayesian approach to inverse problems can be used: the image is represented through a random function that…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-04-24 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

We develop an approach for Bayesian learning of spatiotemporal dynamical mechanistic models. Such learning consists of statistical emulation of the mechanistic system that can efficiently interpolate the output of the system from arbitrary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-11 Sudipto Banerjee , Xiang Chen , Ian Frankenburg , Daniel Zhou

We study the average case performance of multi-task Gaussian process (GP) regression as captured in the learning curve, i.e. the average Bayes error for a chosen task versus the total number of examples $n$ for all tasks. For GP covariances…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-11-05 Simon R. F. Ashton , Peter Sollich

Solving inverse problems in cardiovascular modeling is particularly challenging due to the high computational cost of running high-fidelity simulations. In this work, we focus on Bayesian parameter estimation and explore different methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Chloe H. Choi , Andrea Zanoni , Daniele E. Schiavazzi , Alison L. Marsden

In Gaussian Process (GP) dynamical model learning for robot control, particularly for systems constrained by computational resources like small quadrotors equipped with low-end processors, analyzing stability and designing a stable…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-05 Wenhan Cao , Alexandre Capone , Rishabh Yadav , Sandra Hirche , Wei Pan