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We tackle the problem of quantifying failure probabilities for expensive deterministic computer experiments with stochastic inputs under a fixed budget. The computational cost of the computer simulation prohibits direct Monte Carlo (MC) and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Annie S. Booth , S. Ashwin Renganathan

Uncertainty quantification based on generalized polynomial chaos has been used in many applications. It has also achieved great success in variation-aware design automation. However, almost all existing techniques assume that the parameters…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-06-21 Chunfeng Cui , Zheng Zhang

We describe a computational framework linking Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) methods for continuum problems depending on random parameters with Equation-Free (EF) methods for performing continuum deterministic numerics by acting directly…

动力系统 · 数学 2007-05-23 Yu Zou , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Computer models, also known as simulators, can be computationally expensive to run, and for this reason statistical surrogates, known as emulators, are often used. Any statistical model, including an emulator, should be validated before…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-26 Evan Baker , Peter Challenor , Matt Eames

This paper presents an adaptive online learning framework for systems with uncertain parameters to ensure safety-critical control in non-stationary environments. Our approach consists of two phases. The initial phase is centered on a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-06 Yu Zhang , Long Wen , Xiangtong Yao , Zhenshan Bing , Linghuan Kong , Wei He , Alois Knoll

Although machine learning is increasingly applied in control approaches, only few methods guarantee certifiable safety, which is necessary for real world applications. These approaches typically rely on well-understood learning algorithms,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-16 Armin Lederer , Markus Kessler , Sandra Hirche

Segmentation of cardiac magnetic resonance images (MRI) is crucial for the analysis and assessment of cardiac function, helping to diagnose and treat various cardiovascular diseases. Most recent techniques rely on deep learning and usually…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-05-08 Bruno Viti , Franz Thaler , Kathrin Lisa Kapper , Martin Urschler , Martin Holler , Elias Karabelas

Inverse Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a process to quantify the uncertainties in random input parameters while achieving consistency between code simulations and physical observations. In this paper, we performed inverse UQ using an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-06-22 Xu Wu , Tomasz Kozlowski , Hadi Meidani , Koroush Shirvan

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

Dynamic systems described by differential equations often involve feedback among system components. When there are time delays for components to sense and respond to feedback, delay differential equation (DDE) models are commonly used. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-24 Yuxuan Zhao , Samuel W. K. Wong

This paper proposes a statistical verification framework using Gaussian processes (GPs) for simulation-based verification of stochastic nonlinear systems with parametric uncertainties. Given a small number of stochastic simulations, the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-10-03 John F. Quindlen , Ufuk Topcu , Girish Chowdhary , Jonathan P. How

Modern day engineering problems are ubiquitously characterized by sophisticated computer codes that map parameters or inputs to an underlying physical process. In other situations, experimental setups are used to model the physical process…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-02 Raphael Gautier , Piyush Pandita , Sayan Ghosh , Dimitri Mavris

With the rapid development of modern technology, massive amounts of data with complex pattern are generated. Gaussian process models that can easily fit the non-linearity in data become more and more popular nowadays. It is often the case…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-11 Zhiyong Hu , Dipak Dey

Gaussian process priors are a popular choice for Bayesian analysis of regression problems. However, the implementation of these models can be complex, and ensuring that the implementation is correct can be challenging. In this paper we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-29 John Mcleod , Fergus Simpson

Many fields of science and engineering rely on running simulations with complex and computationally expensive models to understand the involved processes in the system of interest. Nevertheless, the high cost involved hamper reliable and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-16 Daniel Heestermans Svendsen , Luca Martino , Gustau Camps-Valls

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is widely used in statistics and machine learning for prediction tasks requiring uncertainty measures. Its efficacy depends on the appropriate specification of the mean function, covariance kernel function,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-20 Shifan Zhao , Jiaying Lu , Ji Yang , Edmond Chow , Yuanzhe Xi

This article presents an approach to Bayesian semiparametric inference for Gaussian multivariate response regression. We are motivated by various small and medium dimensional problems from the physical and social sciences. The statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-18 Georgios Papageorgiou , Benjamin C. Marshall

The design of biological systems is hindered by uncertainty arising from both intrinsic stochasticity of biomolecular reactions and variability across laboratory or experimental conditions. In this work, we present a sequential framework to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Michal Kobiela , Diego A. Oyarzún , Michael U. Gutmann

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a good choice for function approximation as they are flexible, robust to over-fitting, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer generalisations of GPs,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth

We consider estimation of the parameters of a Gaussian Stochastic Process (GaSP), in the context of emulation (approximation) of computer models for which the outcomes are real-valued scalars. The main focus is on estimation of the GaSP…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-17 Mengyang Gu , Xiaojing Wang , James O. Berger