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Quantifying uncertainties in physical or engineering systems often requires a large number of simulations of the underlying computer models that are computationally intensive. Emulators or surrogate models are often used to accelerate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-11 Junda Xiong , Xin Cai , Jinglai Li

Gaussian Process (GP) emulators are widely used to approximate complex computer model behaviour across the input space. Motivated by the problem of coupling computer models, recently progress has been made in the theory of the analysis of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-20 Victoria Volodina , Nikki Sonenberg , Peter Challenor , Jim Q. Smith

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

The modeling and uncertainty quantification of closed curves is an important problem in the field of shape analysis, and can have significant ramifications for subsequent statistical tasks. Many of these tasks involve collections of closed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-15 Hengrui Luo , Justin D. Strait

Future advancement of engineering applications is dependent on design of novel materials with desired properties. Enormous size of known chemical space necessitates use of automated high throughput screening to search the desired material.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-10 Saket Mishra , Piyush Tagade

Identifying dynamical system (DS) is a vital task in science and engineering. Traditional methods require numerous calls to the DS solver, rendering likelihood-based or least-squares inference frameworks impractical. For efficient parameter…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-19 Ying Zhou , Jinglai Li , Xiang Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) provide a rich class of models that can better represent functions with varying regimes or sharp changes, compared to conventional GPs. In this work, we propose a novel inference method for DGPs for computer…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-18 Deyu Ming , Daniel Williamson , Serge Guillas

Gaussian processes have become a promising tool for various safety-critical settings, since the posterior variance can be used to directly estimate the model error and quantify risk. However, state-of-the-art techniques for safety-critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-22 Alexandre Capone , Armin Lederer , Sandra Hirche

Non-Gaussian observations such as binary responses are common in some computer experiments. Motivated by the analysis of a class of cell adhesion experiments, we introduce a generalized Gaussian process model for binary responses, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-26 Chih-Li Sung , Ying Hung , William Rittase , Cheng Zhu , C. F. Jeff Wu

Within the past two decades, Gaussian process regression has been increasingly used for modeling dynamical systems due to some beneficial properties such as the bias variance trade-off and the strong connection to Bayesian mathematics. As…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-11 Thomas Beckers

Probabilistic estimation of cardiac electrophysiological model parameters serves an important step towards model personalization and uncertain quantification. The expensive computation associated with these model simulations, however, makes…

Complex computer codes are often too time expensive to be directly used to perform uncertainty propagation studies, global sensitivity analysis or to solve optimization problems. A well known and widely used method to circumvent this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-04-06 Amandine Marrel , Bertrand Iooss , Francois Van Dorpe , Elena Volkova

A functional risk curve gives the probability of an undesirable event as a function of the value of a critical parameter of a considered physical system. In several applicative situations, this curve is built using phenomenological…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-26 Bertrand Iooss , Loïc Le Gratiet

Gaussian process modeling is a standard tool for building emulators for computer experiments, which are usually used to study deterministic functions, for example, a solution to a given system of partial differential equations. This work…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-01 Wenjia Wang

Multi-fidelity Gaussian process is a common approach to address the extensive computationally demanding algorithms such as optimization, calibration and uncertainty quantification. Adaptive sampling for multi-fidelity Gaussian process is a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-30 Sayan Ghosh , Jesper Kristensen , Yiming Zhang , Waad Subber , Liping Wang

Parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification are crucial in computational cardiology, as they enable the construction of digital twins that faithfully replicate the behavior of physical patients. Robust and efficient mathematical…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-10-07 Matteo Salvador , Francesco Regazzoni , Luca Dede' , Alfio Quarteroni

Computer models are widely used in science and engineering to simulate complex systems. However, these models are affected by several sources of uncertainty, which may limit their use for decision making in risk management. We present a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Oumar Baldé , Guillaume Damblin , Amandine Marrel , Antoine Bouloré , Loïc Giraldi

Investigating uncertainties in computer simulations can be prohibitive in terms of computational costs, since the simulator needs to be run over a large number of input values. Building an emulator, i.e. a statistical surrogate model of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-18 Ayao Ehara , Serge Guillas

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential for the reliable application of computational models in engineering and science. Among surrogate modeling techniques, Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is particularly valuable for its…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-15 Jinglai Li , Hongqiao Wang

Running a reliability analysis on engineering problems involving complex numerical models can be computationally very expensive, requiring advanced simulation methods to reduce the overall numerical cost. Gaussian process based active…