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The problem of estimating the parameters of a linear regression model $Z(s,t)=m_1g_1(s,t)+ \cdots + m_pg_p(s,t)+U(s,t)$ based on observations of $Z$ on a spatial domain $G$ of special shape is considered, where the driving process $U$ is a…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-04-02 Sándor Baran , Kinga Sikolya

Maximum Likelihood (ML) offers attractive alternatives to Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimators for dynamic panel data models. However, to date no identification-robust inference methods exist that can be used in conjunction with…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-16 Hugo Kruiniger

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) enables policy learning from fixed datasets without further environment interaction, making it particularly valuable in high-risk or costly domains. Extreme $Q$-Learning (XQL) is a recent offline RL…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Xinming Gao , Shangzhe Li , Yujin Cai , Wenwu Yu

Polychoric correlation is often an important building block in the analysis of rating data, particularly for structural equation models. However, the commonly employed maximum likelihood (ML) estimator is highly susceptible to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-11 Max Welz , Patrick Mair , Andreas Alfons

When considering the problem of forecasting a continuous-time stochastic process over an entire time-interval in terms of its recent past, the notion of Autoregressive Hilbert space processes (ARH) arises. This model can be seen as a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-02-15 Jairo Cugliari

When applying machine learning/statistical methods to the environmental sciences, nonlinear regression (NLR) models often perform only slightly better and occasionally worse than linear regression (LR). The proposed reason for this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-19 William W. Hsieh

Parameter estimation and the variable selection are two pioneer issues in regression analysis. While traditional variable selection methods require prior estimation of the model parameters, the penalized methods simultaneously carry on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-01 Yetkin Tuaç , Olcay Arslan

The accessibility of vast volumes of unlabeled data has sparked growing interest in semi-supervised learning (SSL) and covariate shift transfer learning (CSTL). In this paper, we present an inference framework for estimating regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Ye Tian , Peng Wu , Zhiqiang Tan

This study presents an unsupervised machine learning approach for optimizing Profit and Loss (PnL) in quantitative finance. Our algorithm, akin to an unsupervised variant of linear regression, maximizes the Sharpe Ratio of PnL generated…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-12 Pierre Renucci

Marginal maximum likelihood estimation (MMLE) in item response theory (IRT) is highly sensitive to aberrant responses, such as careless answering and random guessing, which can reduce estimation accuracy. To address this issue, this study…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Yuki Itaya , Kenichi Hayashi

This paper revisits classical works of Rauch (1963, et al. 1965) and develops a novel method for maximum likelihood (ML) smoothing estimation from incomplete information/data of stochastic state-space systems. Score function and conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-30 Budhi Arta Surya

Latent class analysis (LCA) is a useful tool to investigate the heterogeneity of a disease population with time-to-event data. We propose a new method based on non-parametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE), which facilitates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-03 Teng Fei , John Hanfelt , Limin Peng

The maximum likelihood estimation for a time-dependent nonstationary (NS) extreme value model is often too sensitive to influential observations, such as large values toward the end of a sample. Thus, alternative methods using L-moments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Yire Shin , Yonggwan Shin , Jeong-Soo Park

We study Empirical Risk Minimizers (ERM) and Regularized Empirical Risk Minimizers (RERM) for regression problems with convex and $L$-Lipschitz loss functions. We consider a setting where $|\cO|$ malicious outliers contaminate the labels.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-28 Geoffrey Chinot

An autoregressive process with Markov regime is an autoregressive process for which the regression function at each time point is given by a nonobservable Markov chain. In this paper we consider the asymptotic properties of the maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Tobias Ryden

This paper deals with robust inference for parametric copula models. Estimation using Canonical Maximum Likelihood might be unstable, especially in the presence of outliers. We propose to use a procedure based on the Maximum Mean…

Mixtures of Linear Regressions (MLR) is an important mixture model with many applications. In this model, each observation is generated from one of the several unknown linear regression components, where the identity of the generated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-31 Yuanzhi Li , Yingyu Liang

In this paper, we study a popular method for inference of the Bradley-Terry model parameters, namely the MM algorithm, for maximum likelihood estimation and maximum a posteriori probability estimation. This class of models includes the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-29 Milan Vojnovic , Seyoung Yun , Kaifang Zhou

Optimum designs for parameter estimation in generalized regression models are standardly based on the Fisher information matrix (cf. Atkinson et al (2014) for a recent exposition). The corresponding optimality criteria are related to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-28 Katarína Burclová , Andrej Pázman

The maximum likelihood degree (ML degree) measures the algebraic complexity of a fundamental optimization problem in statistics: maximum likelihood estimation. In this problem, one maximizes the likelihood function over a statistical model.…

代数几何 · 数学 2017-02-13 Jose Israel Rodriguez , Botong Wang
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