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Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

We study the problem of regression in a generalized linear model (GLM) with multiple signals and latent variables. This model, which we call a matrix GLM, covers many widely studied problems in statistical learning, including mixed linear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-10 Nelvin Tan , Ramji Venkataramanan

We consider the problem of reconstructing a signal from multi-layered (possibly) non-linear measurements. Using non-rigorous but standard methods from statistical physics we present the Multi-Layer Approximate Message Passing (ML-AMP)…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-01-22 Andre Manoel , Florent Krzakala , Marc Mézard , Lenka Zdeborová

The maximum ${\log}_q$ likelihood estimation method is a generalization of the known maximum $\log$ likelihood method to overcome the problem for modeling non-identical observations (inliers and outliers). The parameter $q$ is a tuning…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-16 Mehmet Niyazi Çankaya , Roberto Vila

The problem of estimating an unknown deterministic parameter vector from sign measurements with a perturbed sensing matrix is studied in this paper. We analyze the best achievable mean square error (MSE) performance by exploring the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-18 Jiang Zhu , Xiaohan Wang , Yuantao Gu

Maximum regularized likelihood estimators (MRLEs) are arguably the most established class of estimators in high-dimensional statistics. In this paper, we derive guarantees for MRLEs in Kullback-Leibler divergence, a general measure of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-18 Rui Zhuang , Johannes Lederer

This paper proposed a new regression model called $l_1$-regularized outlier isolation and regression (LOIRE) and a fast algorithm based on block coordinate descent to solve this model. Besides, assuming outliers are gross errors following a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2014-11-21 Sheng Han , Suzhen Wang , Xinyu Wu

We show that a maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation in agent-based models (ABMs) of opinion dynamics outperforms the typical simulation-based approach. Simulation-based approaches simulate the model repeatedly in search of a…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-10-06 Jacopo Lenti , Corrado Monti , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

Mixed linear regression (MLR) has attracted increasing attention because of its great theoretical and practical importance in capturing nonlinear relationships by utilizing a mixture of linear regression sub-models. Although considerable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-25 Yujing Liu , Zhixin Liu , Lei Guo

Quantile Regression (QR) can be used to estimate aleatoric uncertainty in deep neural networks and can generate prediction intervals. Quantifying uncertainty is particularly important in critical applications such as clinical diagnosis,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-15 Haleh Akrami , Omar Zamzam , Anand Joshi , Sergul Aydore , Richard Leahy

The aim this study is discussed on the detection and correction of data containing the additive outlier (AO) on the model ARIMA (p, d, q). The process of detection and correction of data using an iterative procedure popularized by Box,…

The linear regression model with a random variable (RV) measurement matrix, where the mean of the random measurement matrix has full column rank, has been extensively studied. In particular, the quasiconvexity of the maximum likelihood…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-16 Ruohai Guo , Jiang Zhu , Xing Jiang , Fengzhong Qu

Autoregressive models (ARMs) have become the workhorse for sequence generation tasks, since many problems can be modeled as next-token prediction. While there appears to be a natural ordering for text (i.e., left-to-right), for many data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Zhe Wang , Jiaxin Shi , Nicolas Heess , Arthur Gretton , Michalis K. Titsias

Outliers widely occur in big-data applications and may severely affect statistical estimation and inference. In this paper, a framework of outlier-resistant estimation is introduced to robustify an arbitrarily given loss function. It has a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-20 Yiyuan She , Zhifeng Wang , Jiahui Shen

Skew normal mixture models provide a more flexible framework than the popular normal mixtures for modelling heterogeneous data with asymmetric behaviors. Due to the unboundedness of likelihood function and the divergency of shape…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-05 Libin Jin , Wangli Xu , Liping Zhu , Lixing Zhu

The maximum correntropy criterion (MCC) has recently been successfully applied in robust regression, classification and adaptive filtering, where the correntropy is maximized instead of minimizing the well-known mean square error (MSE) to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-27 Badong Chen , Lei Xing , Haiquan Zhao , Bin Xu , Jose C. Principe

Large Language Models (LLMs) are widely used to evaluate natural language generation tasks as automated metrics. However, the likelihood, a measure of LLM's plausibility for a sentence, can vary due to superficial differences in sentences,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Masanari Oi , Masahiro Kaneko , Ryuto Koike , Mengsay Loem , Naoaki Okazaki

For basic machine learning problems, expected error is used to evaluate model performance. Since the distribution of data is usually unknown, we can make simple hypothesis that the data are sampled independently and identically distributed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-01 Xuli Shen , Qing Xu , Xiangyang Xue

Model-based offline reinforcement learning (RL) is a compelling approach that addresses the challenge of learning from limited, static data by generating imaginary trajectories using learned models. However, these approaches often struggle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-04 Kwanyoung Park , Youngwoon Lee

We introduce the conditional Maximum Composite Likelihood (MCL) estimation method for the stochastic factor ordered Probit model of credit rating transitions of firms. This model is recommended for internal credit risk assessment procedures…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-14 Antoine Djogbenou , Christian Gouriéroux , Joann Jasiak , Maygol Bandehali