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Unobserved confounding is one of the main challenges when estimating causal effects. We propose a causal reduction method that, given a causal model, replaces an arbitrary number of possibly high-dimensional latent confounders with a single…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Maximilian Ilse , Patrick Forré , Max Welling , Joris M. Mooij

Attribution modelling lies at the heart of marketing effectiveness, yet most existing approaches depend on user-level path data, which are increasingly inaccessible due to privacy regulations and platform restrictions. This paper introduces…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-25 Georgios Filippou , Boi Mai Quach , Diana Lenghel , Arthur White , Ashish Kumar Jha

We consider linear non-Gaussian structural equation models that involve latent confounding. In this setting, the causal structure is identifiable, but, in general, it is not possible to identify the specific causal effects. Instead, a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-12 Daniela Schkoda , Elina Robeva , Mathias Drton

Causal effect identification considers whether an interventional probability distribution can be uniquely determined from a passively observed distribution in a given causal structure. If the generating system induces context-specific…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-03 Santtu Tikka , Antti Hyttinen , Juha Karvanen

This article studies the estimation of the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on time-to-an-event or on some other continuously distributed outcome. The paper applies to the situation where treatment is repeatedly adapted to…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-06-19 Judith J. Lok

We develop a necessary and sufficient causal identification criterion for maximally oriented partially directed acyclic graphs (MPDAGs). MPDAGs as a class of graphs include directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), completed partially directed…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-23 Emilija Perković

Learning directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) to identify causal relations underlying observational data is crucial but also poses significant challenges. Recently, topology-based methods have emerged as a two-step approach to discovering DAGs by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-17 Anpeng Wu , Haoxuan Li , Kun Kuang , Keli Zhang , Fei Wu

There have been significant efforts devoted to solving the longevity risk given that a continuous growth in population ageing has become a severe issue for many developed countries over the past few decades. The Cairns-Blake-Dowd (CBD)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

This paper considers how to classify the effects of interventions in causal models for outcomes and exposures observed over time. First, we demonstrate the limitations of the most common uses of potential outcomes and causal directed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Russell Steele , Naftali Weinberger , Tess Baker , Ian Shrier

Recent advances have established the identifiability of a directed acyclic graph (DAG) under additive noise models (ANMs), spurring the development of various causal discovery methods. However, most existing methods make restrictive model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Stella Huang , Qing Zhou

Observational studies in fields such as epidemiology often rely on covariate adjustment to estimate causal effects. Classical graphical criteria, like the back-door criterion and the generalized adjustment criterion, are powerful tools for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-24 Isabela Belciug , Simon Ferreira , Charles K. Assaad

Machine learning can benefit from causal discovery for interpretation and from causal inference for generalization. In this line of research, a few invariant learning algorithms for out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization have been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-06 Borja Guerrero Santillan

We consider the problem of identifying intermediate variables (or mediators) that regulate the effect of a treatment on a response variable. While there has been significant research on this classical topic, little work has been done when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-29 Abhishek Chakrabortty , Preetam Nandy , Hongzhe Li

Fair machine learning aims to prevent discrimination against individuals or sub-populations based on sensitive attributes such as gender and race. In recent years, causal inference methods have been increasingly used in fair machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-11 Aoqi Zuo , Yiqing Li , Susan Wei , Mingming Gong

We propose a new method to quantify the impact of cyber attacks in Cyber Physical Systems (CPSs). In particular, our method allows to identify the Design Parameter (DPs) affected due to a cyber attack launched on a different set of DPs in…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-07-27 Rajib Ranjan Maiti , Sridhar Adepu , Emil Lupu

Estimation of the skeleton of a directed acyclic graph (DAG) is of great importance for understanding the underlying DAG and causaleffects can be assessed from the skeleton when the DAG is notidentifiable. We propose a novel method named…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-08 Min Jin Ha , Wei Sun , Jichun Xie

Deep learning (DL) has recently drawn much attention in image analysis, natural language process, and high-dimensional medical data analysis. Under the causal direct acyclic graph (DAG) interpretation, the input variables without incoming…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Jong-Hyeon Jeong , Yichen Jia

Many research questions involve time-to-event outcomes that can be prevented from occurring due to competing events. In these settings, we must be careful about the causal interpretation of classical statistical estimands. In particular,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-01 Torben Martinussen , Mats Julius Stensrud

We study causal effect estimation under interference from network data. We work under the chain-graph formulation pioneered in Tchetgen Tchetgen et. al (2021). Our first result shows that polynomial time evaluation of treatment effects is…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-10 Sohom Bhattacharya , Subhabrata Sen