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相关论文: Estimating causal effects of time-dependent exposu…

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Understanding directed temporal interactions in multivariate time series is essential for interpreting complex dynamical systems and the predictive models trained on them. We present Causal-INSIGHT, a model-agnostic, post-hoc interpretation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-27 Benjamin Redden , Hui Wang , Shuyan Li

Mendelian randomization is an instrumental variable method that utilizes genetic information to investigate the causal effect of a modifiable exposure on an outcome. In most cases, the exposure changes over time. Understanding the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-11 Haodong Tian , Ashish Patel , Stephen Burgess

We consider time to treatment initiation. This can commonly occur in preventive medicine, such as disease screening and vaccination; it can also occur with non-fatal health conditions such as HIV infection without the onset of AIDS. While…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Zhichen Zhao , Andrew Ying , Ronghui Xu

Existing causal methods for time-varying exposure and time-varying confounding focus on estimating the average causal effect of a time-varying binary treatment on an end-of-study outcome, offering limited tools for characterizing marginal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Yu Luo , Kuan Liu , Ramandeep Singh , Daniel J. Graham

In the statistical literature, a number of methods have been proposed to ensure valid inference about marginal effects of variables on a longitudinal outcome in settings with irregular monitoring times. However, the potential biases due to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Janie Coulombe , Erica E M Moodie , Robert W Platt

Estimating causal effects on time-to-event outcomes from observational data is particularly challenging due to censoring, limited sample sizes, and non-random treatment assignment. The need for answering such "when-if" questions--how the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-19 Jessy Xinyi Han , Devavrat Shah

Parkinson's disease (PD) is a chronic, degenerative neurological disorder. PD cannot be prevented, slowed or cured as of today but highly effective symptomatic treatments are available. We consider relevant estimands and treatment effect…

Dynamic prediction of causal effects under different treatment regimes conditional on an individual's characteristics and longitudinal history is an essential problem in precision medicine. This is challenging in practice because outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Yizhen Xu , Jisoo Kim , Laura K. Hummers , Ami A. Shah , Scott Zeger

We consider the problem of estimating the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in linear structural causal models (SCM) with latent confounders when we have access to a single proxy variable. Several methods (such as…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-06-13 Yaroslav Kivva , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

Unobserved confounding is the main obstacle to causal effect estimation from observational data. Instrumental variables (IVs) are widely used for causal effect estimation when there exist latent confounders. With the standard IV method,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jiji Zhang , Thuc duy Le , Jixue Liu

Causal effect estimation has been studied by many researchers when only observational data is available. Sound and complete algorithms have been developed for pointwise estimation of identifiable causal queries. For non-identifiable causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-26 Ziwei Jiang , Lai Wei , Murat Kocaoglu

Motivation: Algorithms that discover variables which are causally related to a target may inform the design of experiments. With observational gene expression data, many methods discover causal variables by measuring each variable's degree…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2014-07-30 Eric V. Strobl , Shyam Visweswaran

Identifying causal interactions in complex dynamical systems is a fundamental challenge across the computational sciences. Existing functional connectivity methods capture correlations but not causation. While addressing directionality,…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2026-03-10 Rahul Biswas , SuryaNarayana Sripada , Somabha Mukherjee , Reza Abbasi-Asl

We consider a a collection of categorical random variables. Of special interest is the causal effect on an outcome variable following an intervention on another variable. Conditionally on a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG), we assume that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-29 Federico Castelletti , Guido Consonni , Marco Luigi Della Vedova

We are not only observers but also actors of reality. Our capability to intervene and alter the course of some events in the space and time surrounding us is an essential component of how we build our model of the world. In this doctoral…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-09-19 Gilles Blondel

Biomarker measurements can be relatively easy and quick to obtain and they are useful to investigate whether a compound works as intended on a mechanistic, pharmacological level. In some situations, it is realistic to assume that patients,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-26 Björn Bornkamp , Georgina Bermann

Pearl's do calculus is a complete axiomatic approach to learn the identifiable causal effects from observational data. When such an effect is not identifiable, it is necessary to perform a collection of often costly interventions in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-21 Sina Akbari , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

The PC algorithm uses conditional independence tests for model selection in graphical modeling with acyclic directed graphs. In Gaussian models, tests of conditional independence are typically based on Pearson correlations, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-03 Naftali Harris , Mathias Drton

We study the identification of causal effects in the presence of different types of constraints (e.g., logical constraints) in addition to the causal graph. These constraints impose restrictions on the models (parameterizations) induced by…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Yizuo Chen , Adnan Darwiche

Causal discovery from observational data is an important tool in many branches of science. Under certain assumptions it allows scientists to explain phenomena, predict, and make decisions. In the large sample limit, sound and complete…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-13 Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Raanan Y. Rohekar , Gal Novik