相关论文: Smoothing Spline Growth Curves With Covariates

We propose a non-parametric extension with leverage functions to the Andersen commodity curve model. We calibrate this model to market data for WTI and NG including option skew at the standard maturities. While the model can be calibrated…

Accurately characterizing the implied volatility curves is a central challenge in option pricing and risk management. The classical SABR model by Hagan et al. has been widely adopted in practice due to its well-defined stochastic volatility…

Testing procedures for assessing specific parametric model forms, or for checking the plausibility of simplifying assumptions, play a central role in the mathematical treatment of the uncertain. No certain answers are obtained by testing…

This paper studies the high-dimensional quantile regression problem under the transfer learning framework, where possibly related source datasets are available to make improvements on the estimation or prediction based solely on the target…

Smoothing splines provide a powerful and flexible means for nonparametric estimation and inference. With a cubic time complexity, fitting smoothing spline models to large data is computationally prohibitive. In this paper, we use the…

Suppose that we observe independent random pairs $(X_1,Y_1)$, $(X_2,Y_2)$, >..., $(X_n,Y_n)$. Our goal is to estimate regression functions such as the conditional mean or $\beta$--quantile of $Y$ given $X$, where $0<\beta <1$. In order to…

Calibrating simulation models that take large quantities of multi-dimensional data as input is a hard simulation optimization problem. Existing adaptive sampling strategies offer a methodological solution. However, they may not sufficiently…

In some real world applications, such as spectrometry, functional models achieve better predictive performances if they work on the derivatives of order m of their inputs rather than on the original functions. As a consequence, the use of…

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

Penalized quantile regression (QR) is widely used for studying the relationship between a response variable and a set of predictors under data heterogeneity in high-dimensional settings. Compared to penalized least squares, scalable…

Spatio-temporal receptive field (STRF) models are frequently used to approximate the computation implemented by a sensory neuron. Typically, such STRFs are assumed to be smooth and sparse. Current state-of-the-art approaches for estimating…

We introduce a smooth variant of the SCAD thresholding rule for wavelet denoising by replacing its piecewise linear transition with a raised cosine. The resulting shrinkage function is odd, continuous on R, and continuously differentiable…

Censored quantile regression (CQR) has become a valuable tool to study the heterogeneous association between a possibly censored outcome and a set of covariates, yet computation and statistical inference for CQR have remained a challenge…

Continuous representations are fundamental for modeling sampled data and performing computations and numerical simulations directly on the model or its elements. To effectively and efficiently address the approximation of point clouds we…

For highly skewed or fat-tailed distributions, mean or median-based methods often fail to capture the central tendencies in the data. Despite being a viable alternative, estimating the conditional mode given certain covariates (or mode…

We present a static analysis for discovering differentiable or more generally smooth parts of a given probabilistic program, and show how the analysis can be used to improve the pathwise gradient estimator, one of the most popular methods…

In this paper we propose a model selection approach to fit a regression model using splines with a variable number of knots. We introduce a penalized criterion to estimate the number and the position of the knots where to anchor the splines…

Many imputation methods are based on statistical models that assume that the variable of interest is a noisy observation of a function of the auxiliary variables or covariates. Misspecification of this model may lead to severe errors in…

Statistical inference on the explained variation of an outcome by a set of covariates is of particular interest in practice. When the covariates are of moderate to high-dimension and the effects are not sparse, several approaches have been…

Dynamic inference problems in autoregressive (AR/ARMA/ARIMA), exponential smoothing, and navigation are often formulated and solved using state-space models (SSM), which allow a range of statistical distributions to inform innovations and…