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相关论文: Optimal Containment of Epidemics over Temporal Act…

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This paper investigates the dynamics of infectious diseases with a non-exponentially distributed infectious period. This is achieved by considering a multi-stage infection model on networks. Using pairwise approximation with a standard…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-11-23 N. Sherborne , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss

We consider the optimization problem of seeding a spreading process on a temporal network so that the expected size of the resulting outbreak is maximized. We frame the problem for a spreading process following the rules of the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-20 Sirag Erkol , Dario Mazzilli , Filippo Radicchi

We present a general framework for adaptive allocation of viral tests in social contact networks. We pose and solve several complementary problems. First, we consider the design of a social sensing system whose objective is the early…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-11-05 Pau Batlle , Joan Bruna , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Victor M. Preciado

We study the stability properties of a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) diffusion model, so-called the $n$-intertwined Markov model, over arbitrary directed network topologies. As in the majority of the work on infection spread…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-02-23 Ali Khanafer , Tamer Başar , Bahman Gharesifard

We show how one can trace in a systematic way the coarse-grained solutions of individual-based stochastic epidemic models evolving on heterogeneous complex networks with respect to their topological characteristics. In particular, we have…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-03-24 Andreas I. Reppas , Konstantinos Spiliotis , Constantinos Siettos

In the present work the spread of epidemic is studied over complex networks which are characterized by power law degree distribution of links and heterogeneous rate of disease transmission. The random allocation of epidemic transmission…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-07-19 Vikram Sagar , Yi Zhao

While most existing epidemic models focus on the influence of isolated factors, infectious disease transmission is inherently shaped by the complex interplay of multiple interacting elements. To better capture real-world dynamics, it is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-04-18 Guangyuan Mei , Yao Cai , Su-Su Zhang , Ying Huang , Chuang Liu , Xiu-Xiu Zhan

We study the class of SIS epidemics on temporal networks and propose a new activity-driven and adaptive epidemic model that captures the impact of asymptomatic and infectious individuals in the network. In the proposed model, referred to as…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-04 Ashish R. Hota , Kavish Gupta

Random walk is one of the basic mechanisms found in many network applications. We study the epidemic spreading dynamics driven by biased random walks on complex networks. In our epidemic model, each time infected nodes constantly spread…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-22 Cunlai Pu , Siyuan Li , Jian Yang

Pathogen introduction in plant communities can cause serious impact and biodiversity losses that may take long time to manage and restore. Effective control of epidemic spreading in the wild is a problem of paramount importance, because of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-06-15 Ignacio Taguas , José A. Capitán , Juan C. Nuño

Epidemic risk assessment poses inherent challenges, with traditional approaches often failing to balance health outcomes and economic constraints. This paper presents a data-driven decision support tool that models epidemiological dynamics…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-24 Chang Zhai , Ping Chen , Zhuo Jin , David Pitt

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

Epidemic modelling on complex networks has been studied intensively all the time. The majority of relative research assumes that the time scale of the underlying network evolution is much larger compared to the propagation dynamics on it,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-04-14 Minyu Feng , Yuhan Li , Jürgen Kurths

The vast majority of strategies aimed at controlling contagion processes on networks considers the connectivity pattern of the system as either quenched or annealed. However, in the real world many networks are highly dynamical and evolve…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Suyu Liu , Nicola Perra , Marton Karsai , Alessandro Vespignani

Efficient testing and vaccination protocols are critical aspects of epidemic management. To study the optimal allocation of limited testing and vaccination resources in a heterogeneous contact network of interacting susceptible, recovered,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-12 Mingtao Xia , Lucas Böttcher , Tom Chou

We consider the effects of noise on a model of epidemic outbreaks, where the outbreaks appear. randomly. Using a constructive transition approach that predicts large outbreaks, prior to their occurrence, we derive an adaptive control.…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 I. B. Schwartz , L. Billings , E. M. Bollt

In this paper, a stochastic dynamic control strategy is presented to prevent the spread of an infection over a homogeneous network. The infectious process is persistent, i.e., it continues to contaminate the network once it is established.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-02 Jalal Arabneydi , Amir G. Aghdam

Short-horizon epidemic forecasts guide near-term staffing, testing, and messaging. Mobility data are now routinely used to improve such forecasts, yet work diverges on whether the volume of mobility or the structure of mobility networks…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-10-24 Sepehr Ilami , Qingtao Cao , Babak Heydari

In this paper, we investigate game-theoretic strategies for containing spreading processes on large-scale networks. Specifically, we consider the class of networked susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemics where a large population…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-04 Abhisek Satapathi , Ashish R. Hota