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Discussions on outstanding---positively and/or negatively---athletes are common practice. The rapidly grown amount of collected sports data now allow to support such discussions with state of the art statistical methodology. Given a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-10-11 Manuel J. A. Eugster

This paper aims to reduce randomness in football by analysing the role of lineups in final scores using machine learning prediction models we have developed. Football clubs invest millions of dollars on lineups and knowing how individual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 George Peters , Diogo Pacheco

A typical approach to quantify the contribution of each player in basketball uses the plus-minus method. The ratings obtained by such a method are estimated using simple regression models and their regularized variants, with response…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-11-01 Argyro Damoulaki , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Konstantinos Pelechrinis

This paper investigates the evaluation of learned multiagent strategies in the incomplete information setting, which plays a critical role in ranking and training of agents. Traditionally, researchers have relied on Elo ratings for this…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2020-01-13 Mark Rowland , Shayegan Omidshafiei , Karl Tuyls , Julien Perolat , Michal Valko , Georgios Piliouras , Remi Munos

The objective of this work is to analyze the usefulness to transform the information to measure sports performance. This analysis is carried out within the field of basketball due to the existing tradition in this sport in data collection,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-02-13 Román Salmerón

Sports organizations often want to estimate athlete strengths. For games with scored outcomes, a common approach is to assume observed game scores follow a normal distribution conditional on athletes' latent abilities, which may change over…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-18 Jonathan Che , Mark Glickman

We present a systematic approach to the prediction of soccer matches. First, we show that the information about chances for goals is by far more informative than about the actual results. Second, we present a multivariate regression…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-07-20 Andreas Heuer , Oliver Rubner

Although the values of individual soccer players have become astronomical, subjective judgments still play a big part in the player analysis. Recently, there have been new attempts to quantitatively grasp players' styles using video-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-05 Hyunsung Kim , Jihun Kim , Dongwook Chung , Jonghyun Lee , Jinsung Yoon , Sang-Ki Ko

In daily fantasy sports, players enter into "contests" where they compete against each other by building teams of athletes that score fantasy points based on what actually occurs in a real-life sports match. For any given sports match,…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-08-21 Madiraju Srilakshmi , Kartavya Kothari , Kamlesh Marathe , Vedavyas Chigurupati , Hitesh Kapoor

Statistical applications in sports have long centered on how to best separate signal (e.g. team talent) from random noise. However, most of this work has concentrated on a single sport, and the development of meaningful cross-sport…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-11-23 Michael J. Lopez , Gregory J. Matthews , Benjamin S. Baumer

A method is presented for evaluating authors on the basis of citations. It assigns to each author a citation score which depends upon the number of times he is cited, and upon the scores of the citers. The scores are found to be the…

历史与综述 · 数学 2008-10-07 Joseph B. Keller

This paper describes a generalizable model evaluation method that can be adapted to evaluate AI/ML models across multiple criteria including core scientific principles and more practical outcomes. Emerging from prediction competitions in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Jason L. Harman , Jaelle Scheuerman

It is often said that a sign of a great player is that he makes the players around him better. The player may or may not score much himself, but his teammates perform better when he plays. One way a hockey player can improve his or her…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-07-25 Brian Macdonald , Christopher Weld , David C. Arney

Strategic classification studies the problem where self-interested individuals or agents manipulate their response to obtain favorable decision outcomes made by classifiers, typically turning to dishonest actions when they are less costly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Ziyuan Huang , Lina Alkarmi , Mingyan Liu

The underlying physics of basketball shooting seems to be a straightforward example of the Newtonian mechanics that can easily be traced by numerical methods. However, a human basketball player does not make use of all the possible…

科普物理 · 物理学 2016-10-25 Byeong June Min

Given a fixed budget for player salaries, what is the distribution of salaries of the top scoring teams? We investigated this question using the wealth of data available from fantasy premier league football (soccer). Using the players' data…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-03-26 Josef Gullholm , Jil Klünder , Julie Rowlett , Jonathan Stålberg

Market valuations for professional athletes is a difficult problem, given the amount of variability in performance and location from year to year. In the National Basketball Association (NBA), a straightforward way to address this problem…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-09 Junhao Su , David Grimsman , Christopher Archibald

The pairwise winning indices, computed in the Stochastic Multicriteria Acceptability Analysis, give the probability with which an alternative is preferred to another taking into account all the instances of the assumed preference model…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-03-29 Sally Giuseppe Arcidiacono , Salvatore Corrente , Salvatore Greco

With the increasing pace of automation, modern robotic systems need to act in stochastic, non-stationary, partially observable environments. A range of algorithms for finding parameterized policies that optimize for long-term average…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-04 David Nass , Boris Belousov , Jan Peters

In this paper we present a novel approach to optimise tactical and strategic decision making in football (soccer). We model the game of football as a multi-stage game which is made up from a Bayesian game to model the pre-match decisions…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-03-24 Ryan Beal , Georgios Chalkiadakis , Timothy J. Norman , Sarvapali D. Ramchurn
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