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Active labor market policies are widely used by the Swiss government, enrolling over half of all unemployed individuals. This paper evaluates the effectiveness of Swiss programs in improving employment and earnings outcomes using causal…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-13 Federica Mascolo , Nora Bearth , Fabian Muny , Michael Lechner , Jana Mareckova

Active labor market programs are important instruments used by European employment agencies to help the unemployed find work. Investigating large administrative data on German long-term unemployed persons, we analyze the effectiveness of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-05-30 Daniel Goller , Tamara Harrer , Michael Lechner , Joachim Wolff

We systematically investigate the effect heterogeneity of job search programmes for unemployed workers. To investigate possibly heterogeneous employment effects, we combine non-experimental causal empirical models with Lasso-type…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-10-13 Michael Knaus , Michael Lechner , Anthony Strittmatter

This paper evaluates the short and medium-term effectiveness of payroll tax reductions aimed at promoting the permanent conversion of temporary contracts through social contribution exemptions. Using rich administrative data from Tuscany,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-18 Michele Cantarella , Maria Cristina Maurizio , Francesco Serti

The use of data-driven decision support by public agencies is becoming more widespread and already influences the allocation of public resources. This raises ethical concerns, as it has adversely affected minorities and historically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-03 Sebastian Scher , Simone Kopeinik , Andreas Trügler , Dominik Kowald

This paper shows that group composition shapes the effectiveness of labor market training programs for jobseekers. Using rich administrative data from Germany and a novel measure of employability, I find that participants benefit from…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-29 Ulrike Unterhofer

Deploying an algorithmically informed policy is a significant intervention in society. Prominent methods for algorithmic fairness focus on the distribution of predictions at the time of training, rather than the distribution of social goods…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Sebastian Zezulka , Konstantin Genin

Algorithmic profiling is increasingly used in the public sector as a means to allocate limited public resources effectively and objectively. One example is the prediction-based statistical profiling of job seekers to guide the allocation of…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-08-10 Christoph Kern , Ruben L. Bach , Hannah Mautner , Frauke Kreuter

We conduct an extensive meta-regression analysis of counterfactual programme evaluations from Italy, considering both published and grey literature on enterprise and innovation policies. We specify a multilevel model for the probability of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-06 Chiara Bocci , Annalisa Caloffi , Marco Mariani , Alessandro Sterlacchini

The hiring problem is studied for general strategies based only on the relative ranking of the candidates; this includes some well known strategies studied before such as hiring above the median. We give general limit theorems for the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-12 Svante Janson

We present a data-driven prescriptive framework for fair decisions, motivated by hiring. An employer evaluates a set of applicants based on their observable attributes. The goal is to hire the best candidates while avoiding bias with regard…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-06-22 Yinchu Zhu , Ilya O. Ryzhov

Do labor market policies initiated in periods of loose monetary policy yield different outcomes from those introduced when monetary tightening prevails? Using data from 11 euro-area members up to 2010 -- and extending to 17 countries up to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-17 Povilas Lastauskas , Julius Stakėnas

The purpose of this paper is to provide a micro-economic foundation for an argument that the direct employment by the government is more desirable than the government purchase of private goods to eliminate unemployment. A general…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-01 Kensuke Ohtake

Unemployment benefits in the US were extended by up to 73 weeks during the Great Recession. Equilibrium labor market theory indicates that extensions of benefit duration impact not only search decisions by job seekers but also job vacancy…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-27 Aiwei Huang

Based on administrative data of unemployed in Belgium, we estimate the labour market effects of three training programmes at various aggregation levels using Modified Causal Forests, a causal machine learning estimator. While all programmes…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-20 Bart Cockx , Michael Lechner , Joost Bollens

Youth unemployment rates are still in alerting levels for many countries, among which Italy. Direct consequences include poverty, social exclusion, and criminal behaviours, while negative impact on the future employability and wage cannot…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-10-15 Alessandra Urbinati , Kyriaki Kalimeri , Andrea Bonanomi , Alessandro Rosina , Ciro Cattuto , Daniela Paolotti

Evidence on the effectiveness of retraining U.S. unemployed workers primarily comes from evaluations of training programs, which represent one narrow avenue for skill acquisition. We use high-quality records from Ohio and a matching method…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-30 Pauline Leung , Zhuan Pei

Using rich Swedish administrative data, we apply causal machine learning methods to study how earnings losses after job displacement vary with observable characteristics that may be relevant for targeting policy interventions for workers.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-17 Susan Athey , Lisa K. Simon , Oskar N. Skans , Johan Vikstrom , Yaroslav Yakymovych

We empirically investigate the distributional effects of inflation on workers' unemployment tail risks using instrumental variable quantile regression. We find that supply-driven inflation disproportionately raises unemployment tail risks…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-12 Hie Joo Ahn , Lam Nguyen

We study the consequences of job markets' heavy reliance on referrals. Referrals lead to more opportunities for workers to be hired, which lead to better matches and increased productivity, but also disadvantage job-seekers with few or no…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-10 Lukas Bolte , Nicole Immorlica , Matthew O. Jackson
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