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We present a contact-based model to study the spreading of epidemics by means of extending the dynamic message passing approach to temporal networks. The shift in perspective from node- to edge-centric quantities enables accurate modelling…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-08-07 Andreas Koher , Hartmut H. K. Lentz , James P. Gleeson , Philipp Hövel

We show that the recently introduced logarithmic metrics used to predict disease arrival times on complex networks are approximations of more general network-based measures derived from random walks theory. Using the daily air-traffic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-01-18 Flavio Iannelli , Andreas Koher , Dirk Brockmann , Philipp Hoevel , Igor M. Sokolov

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

In diffusion-based molecular communication, information is transferred from a transmitter to a receiver using molecular carriers. The low achievable data rate is the main disadvantage of diffusion-based molecular over radio-based…

新兴技术 · 计算机科学 2018-09-18 Tayyebeh Jahani-Nezhad , Foroogh S. Tabataba

Most infectious diseases spread on a dynamic network of human interactions. Recent studies of social dynamics have provided evidence that spreading patterns may depend strongly on detailed micro-dynamics of the social system. We have…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-09-23 Arkadiusz Stopczynski , Alex Sandy Pentland , Sune Lehmann

Mathematical models of SARS-CoV-2 spread are used for guiding the design of mitigation steps aimed at containing and decelerating the contagion, and at identifying impending breaches of health care system surge capacity. The challenges of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-17 Daniela Calvetti , Alexander Hoover , Johnie Rose , Erkki Somersalo

Among the realistic ingredients to be considered in the computational modeling of infectious diseases, human mobility represents a crucial challenge both on the theoretical side and in view of the limited availability of empirical data. In…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-02-04 Duygu Balcan , Vittoria Colizza , Bruno Goncalves , Hao Hu , Jose J. Ramasco , Alessandro Vespignani

Epidemic spreading is well understood when a disease propagates around a contact graph. In a stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible setting, spectral conditions characterise whether the disease vanishes. However, modelling human…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-09-15 Desmond John Higham , Henry-Louis de Kergorlay

Metapopulation epidemic models help capture the spatial dimension of infectious disease spread by dividing heterogeneous populations into separate but interconnected communities, represented by nodes in a network. In the event of an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-02-21 Henrik Zunker , Philipp Dönges , Patrick Lenz , Seba Contreras , Martin J. Kühn

Epidemiological models describe the spread of an infectious disease within a population. They capture microscopic details on how the disease is passed on among individuals in various different ways, while making predictions about the state…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-02-27 Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino

Recently developed techniques to acquire high-quality human mobility data allow large-scale simulations of the spread of infectious diseases with high spatial and temporal resolution.Analysis of such data has revealed the oversimplification…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-12-08 Naoya Fujiwara , Abhijeet R. Sonawane , Koji Iwayama , Kazuyuki Aihara

In this paper, we aim to understand the transient dynamics of a susceptible-infected (SI) epidemic spreading process on a large network. The SI model has been largely overlooked in the literature, while it is naturally a better fit for…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-05-21 Chul-Ho Lee , Srinivas Tenneti , Do Young Eun

Molecular communication between biological entities is a new paradigm in communications. Recently, we studied molecular communication between two nodes formed from synthetic bacteria. Due to high randomness in behavior of bacteria, we used…

新兴技术 · 计算机科学 2014-10-07 Arash Einolghozati , Mohsen Sardari , Faramarz Fekri

Current epidemics in the biological and social domains are challenging the standard assumptions of mathematical contagion models. Chief among them are the complex patterns of transmission caused by heterogeneous group sizes and infection…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-03 Guillaume St-Onge , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Antoine Allard

The modeling of the spreading of communicable diseases has experienced significant advances in the last two decades or so. This has been possible due to the proliferation of data and the development of new methods to gather, mine and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-09 Alberto Aleta , Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda , Yamir Moreno

Molecular communication (MC) is a model of information transmission where the signal is transmitted by information-carrying molecules through their physical transport from a transmitter to a receiver through a communication channel. Prior…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-05-05 Phanindra Dewan , Sumantra Sarkar

Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

In this paper, a new mathematical framework to the analysis of millimeter wave cellular networks is introduced. Its peculiarity lies in considering realistic path-loss and blockage models, which are derived from recently reported…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Marco Di Renzo

The rise of the World Airline Network over the past century has lead to sharp changes in our notions of `distance' and `closeness' - both in terms of trade and travel, but also (less desirably) with respect to the spread of disease. When…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-13 Alastair Jamieson-Lane , Bernd Blasius

A novel predictive modeling framework for the spread of infectious diseases using high dimensional partial differential equations is developed and implemented. A scalar function representing the infected population is defined on a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-06 Sashikumaar Ganesan , Deepak Subramani